Friday 18 July 2008

18/7

More internet problems yesterday
725 HAMILTON
BETTING FORECAST: 4/6 Guest Connections, 5/2 Fire Up The Band, 10/1 Obe One, 20/1 Alfie Lee, 25/1 Ducal Regancy Red, 33/1 Howards Prince, Mutayam, 50/1 La Guancha .

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: A poor event. GUEST CONNECTIONS won a better race than this with something in hand over C&D yesterday and a reproduction of that will make him hard to beat

Potential HTB here, but Fire up the band is close - place only on him I think
Alternatively, given the look of the betting forecast Obe one and Alfie Lee each way appeal at big odds in the hope the first 2 in the betting are not the first 2 home

645 NMKT
BETTING FORECAST: 7/4 Carniolan, 7/1 Blue Sky Basin, Danish Art, Naval Review, 8/1 Choiseau, 12/1 Solar Spirit, 14/1 Brassini, 20/1 Mister Fips, San Jose City, 25/1 Arctic Cape, Charlie Allnut, Far Gone, Talk Of Saafend, 33/1 Ballycroy Boy, 50/1 Dry Speedfit .

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: A competitive handicap in which the visor may well do the trick with Naval Review. The likes of Choiseau and Danish Art are open to further improvement but it was hard not to be taken by CARNIOLAN last weekend and he's the call under a penalty.

Quite a price gap there - very noticeable - and it remains in the live market (albeit 6 hours before off time) "a competitive handicap"
A back bet for me at odds against to rack up another 1.

715
BETTING FORECAST: 11/8 Hoh Mike, 5/2 Peace Offering, 7/2 Cute Ass, 10/1 Prior Warning, 12/1 Matsunosuke, 14/1 Biniou, Sakhee´s Song, 66/1 Thoughtsofstardom, 200/1 Lindbergh, 500/1 Little Miss Ginger, Shatter Resistant ,

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: The weights favour Hoh Mike but he is not the easiest to win with given his run style and it remains to be seen how he takes to a visor. Preference is for the more straightforward PEACE OFFERING (nap) who suggested he retains all his speed in a Sandown Group 3 on his recent return when not far behind the Bell colt despite being hampered

Reasons to Lay Hoh Mike , especially if getting odds on?

245 NOTT
BETTING FORECAST: 7/4 Master Rooney, 11/4 Zuzu, 6/1 Spinners End, 8/1 Definightly, 10/1 Cook´s Endeavour, 12/1 Waahej, 14/1 Mabait, 20/1 Yaldas Girl, 25/1 Join Up, 33/1 Mattamia, 50/1 Liliaceae, 100/1 Prom ,

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: MASTER ROONEY sets the standard among those with experience and gets the thumbs up, though it would be no surprise to see Lowther entrant Zuzu make a race of it. Spinners End is one of the more likely newcomers

2nd fav a newcomer and fancied against Master Rooney. Lay Zuzu if can get odds on in the hope experience and Master Rooney can beat it

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