Tuesday 15 July 2008

15/7

315 BEV
BETTING FORECAST: 5/2 Desert Falls, 11/4 Solo Act, 6/1 Positivity, 13/2 Monsieur Jourdain, Noble Heart, 16/1 Cool Sonata, Noodles Blue Boy, 20/1 Sale Or Return, Shadows Lengthen, 25/1 Future Gem, Real Diamond ,

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: Desert Falls sets the standard but his C&D form has a hole or two to be picked in it and SOLO ACT, who is the daughter of an early 2yo, is taken to emulate her dam by winning first time out

Solo act's odds shortened - but a debutant - 5 furlong maiden - worth laying if short enough - how on earth are we going to know how the horse is going to perform?

230 BRIGHTON
BETTING FORECAST: 2/1 Hand Painted, 9/4 Johnny Rook, Skid Solo, 10/1 Kutanga, 14/1 Cash In The Attic, 40/1 Cashed Up ,

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: Quite a warm little maiden. Hand Painted shaped really well when a long way in front of Cash In The Attic at Chepstow on his debut and is expected to improve plenty on that which makes him a major contender, but it may pay to give JOHNNY ROCK another chance back at the trip over which he shaped so well on his debut. Skid Solo is the other one who has an ordinary maiden within his compass and must be considered.

Decimated field leaves a virtual 2 horse race BUT this is a maiden. Interesting to see whether betfair still payout 2 for the place as this could be a good place to start. Hand painted for me to win in a 50/50 toss of a coin

610 GREAT LEIGHS
BETTING FORECAST: 10/11 Billion Dollar Kid, 4/1 Bazguy, 6/1 Copperbottomed, 10/1 Wreningham, 12/1 Glenveagh, 20/1 Azzaamm, Bahamian Blue, Rockjumper, 66/1 Westwood Dawn ,

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: Billion Dollar Kid's best form would see him win this as he pleased but he has been reported as having a breathing problem, is back in trip and tackling Polytrack for the first time. Copperbottomed is unlikely to be far away, but BAZGUY faces his optimum conditions here and can capitalise on this drop in grad

I made a mistake yesterday of opposing an odds on shot and NOT laying it, rather looking for something to beat it, BUT I like Copperbottomed who put in an excellent run and at 5/1 is an each way chance.
I can't make my mind up regarding laying Billion Dollar Kid - lots of negatives and 5/6 won't harm the liability

640 GREAT LEIGHS
BETTING FORECAST: 7/4 Foresight, 9/4 Solas Alainn, 7/2 Kritzia, 6/1 Don´t Stop Me Now, 25/1 Kaichou, Sponge, 66/1 Renege The Joker .

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: Foresight's debut effort sets the standard here but he wasn't at his best on his reappearance and could be worth taking on this time. Kritzia looks sure to do better with her initial outing under her belt but this step up in trip should suit SOLAS ALAINN well and he can get off the mark at the fourth attemp

An intersting early market with Foresight out to 10/3, and Kritzia in to 15/8 -significant? 7 horses - 2 the place - a potential 3 (stretch to 4) horse race - Kritzia to place.

KILLARNEY tonight - irish combos represented by Pat Smullen but the prices are short

FOOTY
I had some success with a half hearted back of Blackburn against MAcclesfield - ince as Manager - first signing Robbie Fowler - Ince has also looked into signing Gordon BAnks, Pele, and George Best who ince has mentioned as " an upcoming talent from Northern Ireland"

Villa take on Lincoln tonight in another friendly having been unable to beat the mighty FC Zurich ( 2 pens for them so may have been unfair)
This should be easy pickings but is a friendly

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