Tuesday 1 July 2008

01/07

Good to get Indian Art beaten, and Lee Miller placed. Precision Break won a 4th consective handicap and I will be looking to lay next race I think
230 BRIGHTOn
BETTING FORECAST: 11/8 Readily, 3/1 Benetti, Time For Old Time, 5/1 Dazzling Dust .

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: A weak race, even for a claimer, and one that should be within the capabilities of READILY if she lasts home over the longer trip.[FC]

Class 6 5 furlong 2 year old claimer - if odds on must be a lay given the tight look of the price market
315 HAMILTON
BETTING FORECAST: 5/4 Deep Winter, 9/2 Johnny Friendly, 5/1 Jollyhockeysticks, 7/1 Chaenomeles, 10/1 Casino Night, 12/1 Willyn, 16/1 Safari Dancer, 25/1 Halton Castle .

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: DEEP WINTER (nap) eventually scored comfortably having looked to be going nowhere turning in at Great Leighs last week, suggesting she'll be well suited by this stiffer track. She should prove difficult to beat under a penalty with no reason to doubt she'll be just as good back on turf. Jollyhockeysticks could be forecast material

Unlike Precision Break, a horse possibly beginning a winning sequence in handicaps - concenr that last win was NOT on turf. Trigger words " should prove difficult to beat" are encouraging

445
BETTING FORECAST: 15/8 Kings College Boy, 5/1 Elkhorn, 6/1 Rothesay Dancer, 13/2 Invincible Lad, Opal Noir, 7/1 Kinout, 9/1 Wicked Wilma, 12/1 Bahama Baileys, 100/1 Sokoke ,

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: Kings College Boy might be a tough rival to beat in his current form again turned out quickly but ELKHORN gets into this grade for the first time since early last season, a campaign that saw him win once and go close twice in three starts over C&D. It's well worth chancing that he'll strike form with blinkers back on

No early market to determine strength behind Kings College Boy - I would err on the side of laying, if able to get odds on, either pre race or through keep bets. A bsy schedule and a winning sequence ended last time out could conspire against

Another quiet day with the price markets not up early so I can't get the edge that brings.

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