Tuesday 23 June 2009

23/6

Couldn't do blog yesterday but lice chatters sniffed out Aureate to place and he obliged well.
I am away 25th June, back to see family .I don't get paid in July so live chat and blog may be intermittent during July
Andy Murray plays today and 1.24 for a 3 set whitewash looks very enticing for the world number 3
215 BEVERLEY
BETTING FORECAST: 13/8 Rock Of Love, 7/4 Going French, 9/2 Scilly Breeze, 8/1 Mary Celest, 16/1 High Rolling, 25/1 Billy´s Bid, Eeny Mac.

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: Going French looks the pick of the weights assuming that a step up in distance will see him reproduce his debut form but a more certain stayer on breeding is ROCK OF LOVE, who may be able to improve on what he's achieved over sprint trips.[Steven Boow]

You know by now it's good to stick with a trainer in a specific race when he's hot. Mark Johnston of course - Rock of Love is now odds on and Greg Fairley takes the ride. Problem is 2 strong market leaders and as we know they don't always finish 1 and 2 and maidens can bring one from the outsiders to place.
But I am taken by the fact this is MArk Johnston whose maiden excursions have been absolutely superb 1.38 to place and only 2 places


330 BRIGHTON
BETTING FORECAST: 11/4 Caribbean Coral, 100/30 Landucci, 4/1 Joss Stick, 9/2 Rockfield Lodge, 10/1 Arfinnit, 14/1 Supreme Speedster, 16/1 Nawaaff, 20/1 Easy Wonder, Place The Duchess.

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: The drop back in distance is a big issue with Landucci and preference is for CARIBBEAN CORAL, who only narrowly won one of these at Bath last time but travelled like much the best horse in the race. Joss Stick and Rockfield Lodge are live dangers, though.[Alistair Whitehouse-Jones]

4 under 10/1 (14/1 in the live market) could be the ones to focus on? 1.34 the fav to place

415 BEVERLEY
BETTING FORECAST: 11/4 Everymanforhimself, 7/2 Aegean Dancer, 5/1 Fol Hollow, Namir, 13/2 Discanti, 8/1 Bo McGinty, 12/1 Secret Asset, 16/1 Hypnosis.
Aegean Dancer is out which could make life easier for Every?
7 runners and 3 places 1.39 to place and 3 places

445 BEVERLEY
BETTING FORECAST: 4/11 Aqwaas, 3/1 Helieorbea, 14/1 Admiral Of The Dee, 18/1 Carragold, 20/1 Rose Avelina, 33/1 Hopeful Lady.

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: AQWAAS sets a clear standard on her close second in a 1m Goodwood maiden on comeback last month and should be tough to beat. Helieorbea looks the main threat. He has something to find with the selection, but his debut form is working out really well.[David Moon]

Default selection here? 1.09 to place 2nd fav 1.6 (illiquid market) but thee only horse under odds on in the place market and under 14/1 in the win market

515 BEVERLEY
BETTING FORECAST: 5/2 Starla Dancer, 11/4 Almuktahem, 7/2 Burns Night, 4/1 Cabernet Sauvignon, 11/2 Steel Trade, 50/1 Smitain.

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: Starla Dancer, Steel Trade and Cabernet Sauvignon all have solid form claims but have seen quite a bit of action and it may be worth giving another chance to the well-related ALMUKTAHEM, who suffered a setback when favourite last time but may be able to raise his game over this longer trip. The one to watch in the market is Burns Night who could improve significantly on his debut effor

Money for a J0ohnston juvenile has proven a very effective winning system recently. Burns night is now fav here and 7/4 1.67 to place - illiquid market

630 NA
BETTING FORECAST: 5/4 Havenstone, 3/1 Micks Prospect, 8/1 Sizing Asia, 11/1 Dancing Credit, 16/1 Maderson Blue, Occasionally Yours, 20/1 Ballygulleen, Cilrhiwron, 25/1 Just Silver, Lucky Eric, 33/1 Mayfair Tambourine, 40/1 Glorious Gin, Montrose Man, 50/1 Karahalla, Royal Band, 66/1 Tubby Nugget.

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: Havenstone has the form and really ought to win but he has had a host of chances. MICK'S PROSPECT has looked better than a Welsh pointer this spring and could be the one to take advantag

McCoy on a fav and you always know he gives it all.
4 under 16/1 should be the ones? But 2 mile 6 is along way 1.37 to place the McCoy mount

735 NA
BETTING FORECAST: 5/4 Archie Boy, 11/4 Predateur, 100/30 Histoire De Moeurs, 10/1 Beherayn, 16/1 Knapp Bridge Boy, 33/1 Bold Policy.

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: Predateur has the ability to take this but is still proving costly to follow and the progressive ARCHIE BOY (nap) can successfully give the weight awa

Odds on under McCoy 1.33 to place

TENNIS
Andy Murray 1.24 to win 3-0 against a player he beat 6-0 6-0 last time they played

SHORTLIST
Murray 1.24 is certainly very enticing to win in 3 sets. Like shortie at footie, 1/50 odds mean he chould be untroubled throughout.
He's no Tiger Tim thank God and is world number 3.
215 BEVERLEY
Rock of love purely because of the trainer form in maidens and the fact that confidence in the market has been highly accurate for these Johnston 2 year olds. Again perfer to see Joe Fanning on board ( stable's number 1)

415 BEVERLEY - with the 2ndfav out, this 8 runner race is down to 7.
The fav remains and now with may rival out, should find it easier to beat 4 to place
Outsider only 16/1 indicates possible competitive event
322 last 3 races indicates decent enough progressive form

445 BEV - Aqwaas looks the default selection today at 1.09. Of interest is the 2nd fav Heliobar at 1.6 to place as a possible gamble

ONE A DAY
Go with Andy Murray I think today at 1.24 to win 3-0

Head-to-head: Murray leads 3-0

2006 Newport Grass (O) QF Murray 60 60

2006 US Open Hard (O) R128 Murray 62 16 63 63

2007 AMS Miami Hard (O) R32 Murray 63 61

6-0, 6-0 last time on grass

Hard court lost a set which is a slight concern


THis should be easy enough for Andy Murray surely

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