The speculation on the 2 biggies went awry ( as expected really) as Nevada Royale was imperious but I know from experience that one day the shortie will fall and I'll clean up - this way my losses are, let's face it, negligible but I still retain the ability to profit should the unexpected happen (and it does!)
3rd place for the gangerman produced a marginal profit thanks to the 2.5 for the place
I hate to tell myself that I told me so but " I told me so!" - I'm a legend - 5th place in a big field amateur riders handicap - screamed out "lay" at 11/10 but did old muggins here lay - no he didn't!
Noble Alan won the clash at Newcastle - another negligible loss in the hope of a greater return elsewhere - remember Dodaa yesterday - NICE profits when it comes off
Mr Chocolate Drop not even fav at Wolves and ,being flexible, I left the race alone because ,as a multiple handicapper running again, he drifted and drifted - no hatrick so the price told us, and so it was
NB Denbera Dancer was NOT a 3 into 1 selection yesterday - just Silver Sedge
Ahhh - the value of trading - I profitted from over 2.5 goals in the Barcelona match thanks to a 3 minute goal leaving market makers thinking this was going to be a goal fest - a full .30 drop in price enough for me to green up - and the game finished 1-0!
Slight loss Half time/full time -3 minute goal was a killer for the first goal odds - I did predict a very tight game but the tight game came after the 3rd minute goal. Still it was only a predetermined stake so profits elsewhere compensated
Well done Man Utd, -got the half time/full time, Ronny scoring -slight profit as I backed Rooney too - and a nice clean sheet at 1.91 - good price
Incidentally I came across a piece of news regarding Ross County on the Betfair Forum - Cowdenbeath without 7 first team players meant the 1.34 looked like a gimme -and so it proved with a 4-1 win. It pays to react to late news be it on a forum, a team's website or the Sporting Press.
CATTERICK
450
BETTING FORECAST: 6/4 Luksar, 4/1 Belem Ranger, 12/1 Beau De Turgeon, Linlithgow Lad, Oaklands Luis, Shanteen Lass, 16/1 Nectar De Guye, Sandy Gold, Shapani, Tommy Two Toes, 20/1 River Trapper, 25/1 Oaklands Ted ,
| SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: Belem Ranger improved to win a Musselburgh hunter chase and will be well handled but the concession of 5lb to LUKSAR may be beyond him. The selection should appreciate the likely strong pace and is well worth this first crack at regulation fences after getting his eye in with a couple of point victories this year. |
A hunter chase is perhaps not the ideal betting medium but with Rose Davidson in such spectacular form, we can chance a dutch on Luksar and Belem ranger
FONTWELL
Soft ground so caution advised
500
| SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: Likely Vodka Brook will make a bold bid to make it third time lucky, but he could have bumped into a smart one in ANOTHER DISPLAY who has created a reallly good impression in Irish points.[AC] |
Another DisplaY'S absence opens this race up well for Vodka Brook ?
410 LING
BETTING FORECAST: 10/11 Silca Destination, 9/2 Talamahana, 8/1 Desiderio, 9/1 Tiepie, 10/1 Countrywide Comet, 16/1 Yattendon, 18/1 Secret Meaning, 20/1 Herrbee, Johnny Friendly, 25/1 Admirals Way, 33/1 Tobouggornotobougg ,
| SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: Difficult to get away from SILCA DESTINATION, who did benefit from an enterprising ride when winning over C&D last week but still did the job in sufficient style that the hat-trick is very much on the cards, especially as there may be more to come from her.[ |
"DIFFICULT TO GET AWAY FROM" -confidence from SPotlight which has been borne out in the betting market, but again we face the dilemma of the multiple winning handicapper who's rising in weight with each consecutive race. Mr Chocolate Drop yesterday was an obvious contender NOT to back because his price drifted and he lost favouraism, but why is SIlca so strong?
I will back to lay of in running as I can see the horse being at the business end
3 into 1
A nice winner yesterday
440 LINGFIELD -TEN DOWN
FOOTY
Chelsea are at home to Olympiakos this evening and the first obvious angle in is from our knowledge that Chelsea do not lose at home. Oly are not layable at 19 though! Straight Chelsea\Chelsea and Draw/Chelsea with a break even position on the latter will give us a good run for our money.
Judging by yesterday''s prices the bookmakers generally got them spot on as regards the shorties. Winning margin at 1 goal and 2 goals is dutchable.
Real Madrid - what a conundrum! Which team are going to show up today? The recent poor la Liga team or the goal machines who netted 7 at home against Valladollid?
Again a game I cannot get an "angle" into and is best left alone
Apparently my Scottish correspondent describes Berwick RAngers as "PISH" leading me to conclude that Airdrie are good things- preference for over 2.5 goals at 1.5 or thereabouts. I may rue this brief fling with lower league Scottish football!
All is all a quiet day today - the beast that is Cheltenham is lurking in the shadows you get the feeling!
I think Liverpool are far too short this evening at 1.44 and could be considered for lay material to monitor in running and hopefully trade out after 0-0 or a West Ham goal first. Victory most recently has been by the single goal which can help our cause.
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