14/3

Market leaders came in the first 2 at Cheltenham for the dutches. 255 dutch would have worked - the Listener unplaced. Inglis Drever was superb and blew the stats men to bits. Laying in running and the price rarely moved so getting out of the lay was the key. Alas fingers not so nimble to get back on Inglis - superb win though. Yet again though , the price gapper analysis proved correct for the 3rd day on the trot but I was dissuaded.

Milly the Filly a non runner.

Exit Fourty Four unplaced.

Boris the Blade was a good lay with 2nd fav Topaz Lady pushed into favouritism

315
BETTING FORECAST: 5/4 Blue Empire, 5/2 Ugenius, 9/2 Boundless Prospect, 12/1 Outlook, Persian Fox, 25/1 Zeffirelli, 33/1 Amazing Spirit, Rambling Socks .

I left out the obvious each wayer - yes Boundless Prospect won!

0-0 half time in Werder game allowed a marginal profit. In 2 leg games where one side is 2-0 up, it would seem, in the future, that under 2.5 goals is the way to go. One team have to ensure no away goal is scored - the other team has to preserve their lead

CHELTENHAM
1230
BETTING FORECAST: 5/2 Chomba Womba, 7/2 Sweet Kiln, 9/2 Theatre Girl, 6/1 Gaspara, 13/2 Labelthou, Refinement, 25/1 Whiteoak, 33/1 Helens Vision, Shatabdi, 40/1 Annie´s Answer, 66/1 Magical Legend, Silver Charmer, 150/1 La Vecchia Scuola.

6 horse race it would seem and I'll chance Refinement and Sweet Kiln each way without much confidence

215
BETTING FORECAST: 6/4 Franchoek, 7/2 Celestial Halo, 13/2 Five Dream, 9/1 Beau Michael, 12/1 Silverhand, 14/1 Serabad, Won In The Dark, 16/1 Personal Column, 20/1 Songe, 33/1 Temlett, 50/1 Star Of Angels, 66/1 Lemon Silk, 100/1 Callisto Moon, 150/1 Special Day, 200/1 Diego Velasquez .

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: Alan King has won this twice in the last three years and has a fine chance of another success with FRANCHOEK (nap) who has established himself as the leader of his generation with his authoritative wins at Chepstow and here on his last two starts. Paul Nicholls has an interesting hand with Celestial Halo and the smart handicapper Five Dream, but the main threat may emerge from Silverhand who did well for one so inexperienced when second to Beau Michael at Punchestown and has plenty of potential for improvement.[AC]

Current prices - Franchoek priced 2.46 , Celestial Halo 6.6 ; Five Dream 11 ; Beau Michel 12

I'll stake £17, £9, £7, £7 - break even on Franchoek and nice profit on the others .

330
BETTING FORECAST: Evs Kauto Star, 11/8 Denman, 14/1 Exotic Dancer, 16/1 Halcon Genelardais, 25/1 Neptune Collonges, 33/1 Knowhere, Star De Mohaison, 40/1 Afistfullofdollars, 100/1 Celestial Gold, Racing Demon, 500/1 Azulejo, Contraband, Fustrien Du Paon, Iron Man ,

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: The big two are virtually inseparable in the betting and it is a very tough call, but the speed of KAUTO STAR is expected to be too much for the galloping power of Denman provided the ground does not soften markedly. Denman has looked mightily impressive this season but the form is not the most solid, his Hennessy and Lexus wins being gained in races run at less than a true pace while the opposition fell apart when he was long odds-on at Newbury. Kauto Star has done no more than might have been expected of him since last year but has taken apart smart opposition some way from home in the King George and Ascot Chase the last twice and his serious jumping errors look a thing of the past. \Exotic Dancer is the only other with comparable form claims and he comes here on an interrupted preparation.[FC]

The Big One. A 2 horse race - both currently backable - you can change stake to leave break even on Denman and load profit on Kauto - or the other way around.
Simply put follow your opinion.!
1.39 Denman for the place is a great bet for me. I've seen worse 1.39 shots.

FAKENHAM
225
BETTING FORECAST: 11/8 Leopold, 7/4 Red Scally, 9/2 Toni Alcala, 10/1 Desert Tommy, 16/1 Celtic Society .

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: LEOPOLD wouldn't be the most talented of these but he's the one proven over fences and therefore the safest bet in a very tame opener.[AWJ]

First 2 backable here to level stakes. 3 miler beginner chase though - arggh! -2 horses at 10/1 or bigger leaves Toni Alcala the fly in the ointment

530
BETTING FORECAST: 4/9 Donaldson, 7/1 Book Of Facts, 10/1 Schelm, Wee Charlie Castle, 14/1 Weststern, 20/1 Mount Usher, 25/1 Byron Bay, 33/1 Bedizen, 50/1 Laconicos, 100/1 Jollys Joy .

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: Hard to see beyond DONALDSON, who might well have had something to say in a Graded event at Kempton last month but for a shocking error two from home.[AWJ]

Each way Book of facts incase Donalson falls again in this maiden hurdle with an unknown jockey on board

KEMPTON
850
Rollin ´n Tumblin

Progressing well on AW this year, opening account in maiden here before proving he stays this trip when heavily eased in beating Alnwick at Lingfield last week; remains unpenalised for that success and in-form jockey gets on well with him and takes 3lb off; hard to beat.

BETTING FORECAST: Evs Rollin ´n Tumblin, 5/1 Alnwick, 6/1 Lorikeet, 10/1 High Point, 12/1 One To Follow, Savannah, 14/1 Mister Completely, 16/1 Featherlight.

"Hard to beat" - good price gap. - 13 from 14 tipsters - 9 day course and distance winner - postdata selection -

NEGATIVE - falls into the category of multiple handicap winner -won last twice - winning sequence must end soon but not priced to lose tonight.

I'll chance him tonight against my better judgement. Any price move and it will signal that tonight's not the horse's night, but if he remains evens or thereabouts I'll back him

3 into 1
loser yesterday by a short head and neck!

850 KEMPTON - ROLLIN AND TUMBLIN - 2 wins already in last 2 for this one in a handicap - priced for the hatrick but no surprise if this mulitple handicap winner's winning sequence ends - PLEASE hold on tonight Rollin!

FOOTY
0-0 half time allowed a tradeable opportunity on the lay of Werder.

Ligue 2 for me this evening - Troyes won superbly against Le Havre last time - and at home this evening will be carrying a couple of shillings of mine.
Le Havre away from home at evens are priced to win, probably by a single goal