Naas was good for me with the trading out of lays in running despite some favourites obliging.
Harringay won at unappealing prices in a 2 horse race.
Tisfreetdream was slashed in price given the non runners and placed at 13/8.
Unders came in the Boro game - I had to just bite my tongue and hope -the game didn't really go as expected - I was expecting a tight affair with Boro finding it difficult to score while keeping their opponents out but Cardiff decided to score early to ensure I couldn't trade out.
Celtic saved the halftime/full time dutch in the 90th odd minute for a break even on draw\draw.
RAngers broke even on the asians with only the one goal.
Everton won at 6/5 . Sevilla decided to still win but not score first. I was confident in an equaliser at least which came and restored odds to near those at which I backed Sevilla - they got the 2nd which enabled me to trade out for a green screen.
Mug Punter acca came in thanks to the Celtic late equaliser.2.32 was very reasonable.
Soft, heavy in placed at Plumpton
Ground may deteriorate as the day goes on so I won't be betting here. Already this looks a card to lay the top listed on Betfair and get out with a predetermined loss or a profit. Bet ie software actually has a stop loss facility which I will try to master as this could help this particular system although I must say BEt ie , to me, is not at all user friendly
STRATFORD
210
BETTING FORECAST: 6/4 Norman The Great, 11/4 Light Yield, 11/2 Fredo, 12/1 Sharp Dresser, Western Point, 14/1 Kanonkop, 16/1 Proper, Right Option, 33/1 Lay The Cash, 50/1 Born West, Etoile D´Or, 66/1 Dar Es Salaam, Lagavulin .
| SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: NORMAN THE GREAT fell a little short of expectations last time but the form should still be good enough to enable him to open his account over hurdles. Old rival Light Yield looks the main threat. |
A number of non runners has exacerbated the price difference betwen those most likely and the perceived outsiders.
This can enable 2 angles - one being the each way angle and the other a level stakes dutch
I will opt for the latter and include Norman the GReat, Light Yield and Fredo
At current prices of 2.26, 4.5 and 5. 9 backing to a ratio of £14, £9, £7 ensures break even on Norman
240
| SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: This race may come a bit soon for Down's Folly and it may be worth siding with VALLEY RIDE, who was rated 18lb superior over hurdles, on his chasing debut.[FC] |
With Valley Ride out Downs Folly is now the fav, but I would prefer to abck Scotland Yard and Sternenzelt - they are near enough price wise to the favourite for us to presume they will give the fav some rivalry
340
BETTING FORECAST: 6/4 Native Coral, 11/2 Cash King, 8/1 Inaro, 9/1 It´s Blue Chip, Pretty Star, 10/1 Baodai, 14/1 Bermuda Pointe, Black De Bessy, No Complaint, 16/1 Master D´Or, 25/1 Craven, 33/1 Desert Tommy .
| SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: Cash King will no doubt be placed to advantage at some stage, but the one to beat looks to be NATIVE CORAL (nap) after a demolition job over hurdles at Musselburgh in January |
Potential price gapper. As that annoying Loyd Grossman would say " Lets look at the evidence" - reasonable betting forecast price gap -top RPR - 10 tips - winner last time out in extremely convincing fashion - familiar jockey -"the one to beat looks to be..." "demolition job ...in January"- not extremely positive -ok at the distance and the class.
NEGATIVES -2 miles 7 allows mistakes to happen
One to chance for me with an eye on monitoring in the live betting
Soft ground at Taunton leaves me wanting to avoid the meeting
3 into 1
2 winners albeit at silly odds and a non runner.
230 PLUMPTON -Bucklands Gold
300 PLUMPTON - Artmaddy
FOOTY
Pleasing day yesterday with a couple of skin of your teeth successes - thanks must go to Boro for not being able to score in a brothel and for Celtic to score, as per usual late on
Ladies internationals dominate the card and I am not touching these-I would probably approach them from a laying the shorty angle but can do without .
Nantes in action tonight at home. Le Havre won recently, Troyes won their last game - Nantes must win tonight to keep tabs at the top of Ligue 2 or the words " Zut alors" will be echoing through the changing room!
If we look at comparitive opposition for Grenoble -they drew 0-0 with Le Havre at Le Havre which is a reasonable results.
The odds suggesst this will be a tight affair too. I will look to back Nantes despite the draw being only 2/1
| FOOTY Lesson from yesterday - FA CUP matches, if looked as as betting mediums, could be better approached with a neutral bet First game of interest is Celtic's away to Aberdeen. Celtic's last 2 games away have been not too confident for backers - last minute at St Mirren and 2nd half goals against Hibs. BUT this is the Scottish Cup -the last head to head was 5-1 to Celtic. If we look at Rangers performance against Aberdeen, 3-1 may give us a way into today's match. Half time/ Full time Celtic/Celtic ; Draw/Celtic ;Draw /Draw (cup game!) I will break even this time on the DRaw/Draw Boro match today and an under 2.5 goal trade looks a good angle in . .Leaving a neutral bet like this looks the best option with all the surprises in the FA Cup. Everton at 6/5 look big against Sunderland and worthy of support to trade off if Everton score the first goal Hibs held Celtic til half time at their place but are away to Rangers in the Scottish Cup. I expect Rangers to win by 1 or 2. RAngers -1.5 goves us a nice payout if they win by 2, and a break even if they win by 1 Remember these are Cup games ,so if you want to leave these Scottish games alone, please do (more surprises?) Back Sevilla before the game and lay off if they score first ( which they should do - they are at home) MUG PUNTER ACCA
The Sunderland game will be the problem game here as Sunderland MUST win. Everton too, will regain 4th if they win. Interesting that Bet365 have chalked up Newcastle United to win the Championship next season. This may be worth a shilling - first hurdle - Newcastle to get relegated. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
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