Thursday 16 August 2007

DAY 6

Day started off well for each way bets with Sion Hioll placing at 25/1 - a whopping 70 in the win market on Betfair - and an out of kilter bet. You would have been paid out well for the place here.Gowran abandoned. Nine stories placed for betfair place market backers with a 3rd in a 7 runner race ( originally 8) Herrbee unplaced, House a non runner. A decent enough day for the each way betting
2 out of 3 for the progressive staking bets kept cycles short and profits guaranteed. Timawara let us down.
Another 100% record for the place only bets
On the lay side, I hope the non runner rule was heeded for Bonjour Allure who won by a short head.For my lays, Matsunosoke won BUT check out the non runners! All near market rivals and common sense should have prevailed here. Alleviate won his race and I did mention concern that there not enough close market rivals.
EACH WAY BETTING
210 BEVERLEY - Mangrove Cay and Tiegs in a selling handicap - worth backing outsiders
550 Chepstow - a potential 2 runner race if the betting forecast is to believed - 4th and 5th betting forecast favs for me in Myriola and Gretystoke Prince
305 Salisbury - The Tyke and High esteem in a race with question marks surrounding the market prinicples
PROGRESSIVE STAKING
Despite 2 winners yesterday the last selection was 2nd so the betting cycle remains open
650 CHEPSTOW - Glencal - big price gap and progressive profile - the only concern is the race type - a maiden handicap
720 CHEPSTOW - Guarantia - again a good price gap - those words " should be very tough to beat" instilling some confidence
The above will also be the place only bets
LAYS
BIGGEST FIELD OF THE DAY
Again any non runners will negate these bets - we want a fiull compliment of opposition
650 CHEPSTOW - GLENCAL - 17 runners
820 CHEPSTOW - ELLEN GIRL 17 runners
425 BEVERLEY - JAbbara - 17 runners
500 BEverley - Bolton Hall
2 horses have been napped by the Racing Post which is not ideal but let's see how it goes -
My lays
Again affected by the 5+ non runners in the race won by MAtsunosoke. Also, I have to be a little careful about Alleviate type races - I did have a doubt and did shre that doubt that there wer only 2 rivals near in price
350 BEVERLEY - BETTING FORECAST: 5/1 Fly Kiss, 11/2 Suite Francaise, 6/1 Boomtown, Pequeno Dinero, 10/1 Hildegarde, 12/1 Asian Power, Bourbon Highball, Hurstpierpoint, 16/1 Destinys Dream, Moonlight Gambler, Townkab, 25/1 Allahor, Insomnitas, Invincible Rose, Saturday Boy, 33/1 Alfredtheordinary. This race has some potential I think and being a nursery will not be clear cut - - again there are only really 3 other horses in close proximity to the market leader but let's see
530 FOLKSTONE - BETTING FORECAST: 4/1 Bethanys Boy, 5/1 The Bonus King, 8/1 Grand Sefton, Reveur, 10/1 Boz, Oasis Sun, Red Raptor, 12/1 King Of Knight, 14/1 Bertrada, Kathleen Kennet, Unasuming, 16/1 Noah Jameel, 20/1 Kings Art, 50/1 Break Out. This race has potential taking on BEthanys Boy

Don't forget - any non runners and bets are negated - the whole point of these bets is to look for competitiveness
Don't forget the betting forecast fav in the first race of the day

FOOTBALL
Tonight there's one game of interest - MyPa versus Blackburn rovers - looks a decent opportunity to lay MyPa . Blackburn chould win comfortably

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