Wednesday 15 August 2007

DAY 5

A couple of the each ways are knocking on the door at big prices and if they would only convert to 1st's instead of 2nd's we'd be in clover.
Progressive staking was a case of seconditis yesterday, I should have included Choisette who was a place only bet - another 100% sweep for the place only betting yesterday is very encouraging.
From a lay perspective, Ishibee won for the biggest field of the day, although I think I will add a caveat for theses that they are no bets if there are non runners because simply put, the 2 non runners in this race did not make it the biggest field of the day.
All of my lays came good yesterday and I picked them purely by glancing at the betting forecast.
The betting forecast favourite in the first race of the day lost again.
We just need a bit of luck with the each way bets, although there were a couple of non runners, and it must be remembered that I am selecting generally big prices
EACH WAY BETTING
240 BEVERLEY - Time to regret and Sion Hill each way in a claimer where United Nations looks a little ropey
545 GOWRAN PARK - Propinquity and Cousteau each way
620 HAMILTON - Nine stories each way although the fav looks solid
230 SALISBURY - House and Herrbee each way - maiden worth speculating
PROGRESSIVE STAKING
2 second placers yesterday weren't much good
240 Beverley - United Nations - yes it's a claimer but we should get a run for our money - huge price gap but a niggle that the horse is not all that
645 GOWRAN PARK - Timawara
620 HAMILTON - MCcartney
If the prices are too short, then naturally they will not be worthwhile as progressive staking bets - we need evens or as near to evens
PLACE ONLY BETTING
100% strike rate yesterday
240 BEverley - United NAtions
620 HAMILTON - McCartney
250 YARMOUTH - Takamara

LAY BETS
BIGGEST FIELD OF THE DAY - NOTE - any non runners will negate the bet as, naturally, it won't be the biggest field of the day!
210 BEverley - Bonjour Allure - 15 runners
MY LAYS
Using only the betting forecast, I'm looking for competitive races
300 SAliSBURY - BETTING FORECAST: 11/2 Menadha, 7/1 Quick Sands, 8/1 Determind Stand, 9/1 Maybe I Will, The Name Is Frank, 10/1 Albaqaa, Distant Charm, Dubai Dynamo, Observatory Ridge, Safari Sunup, 12/1 Aberavon, Mizooka, 25/1 Kristal Glory, Lisselan Prospect. Menadha
600 SANDOWN - MAtsunosoke - BETTING FORECAST: 11/2 Matsunosuke, 6/1 Pic Up Sticks, 7/1 Malapropism, 8/1 Glasshoughton, One Way Ticket, 10/1 Blessed Place, Royal Challenge, 12/1 Canadian Danehill, Grand Show, Harrison´s Flyer, Shes Minnie, 14/1 Peopleton Brook, 16/1 Little Edward, 50/1 Lindbergh.
810 SANDOWN - Alleviate - although preference would be for more near rivals BETTING FORECAST: 7/2 Alleviate, 9/2 Duty Free, Squadron, 11/2 Jawaaneb, 12/1 I Predict A Riot, Its Moon, 14/1 Dan Tucker, Galianna, Kavaloti, Sweetheart, 20/1 Title Deed.

Don't forget the betting forecast fav in the first race of the day

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