Saturday, 20 October 2007

20 OCT

Credit to Snap Tie winning at a decent price.

The O’Brien horses came nowhere, Short Skirt won well, as did Spinning Lucy, and with Genera; Eliot winning at 6/1 this accounted for the 2 unplaced each way prospects.

PRICE GAPPERS

155 CATTERICK

BETTING FORECAST: Evs Torrens, 4/1 Bronze Dancer, 5/1 Cripsey Brook, 10/1 Mister Fizzbomb, Paparaazi, York Cliff, 16/1 Starcross Maid, 33/1 Hook Money, The Mighty Ogmore, 50/1 Camerooney, Dimashq.

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: Claimers are never quite as cut and dried as the ratings suggest, but if TORRENS reproduces his latest second at Lingfield, he is going to prove very hard to beat. Bronze Dancer could be the one to capitalise if Richard Fahey's charge underperforms.[PSm]

“if . ….he is going to be very hard to beat” – being Picky, I’d prefer not to see the “if”.Price gap remains in the morning prices, and although this is a poor claimer, Torrens looks good at least for a place.

245 KELSO

BETTING FORECAST: 8/11 Frankie Figg, 7/1 Ethan´s Star, 10/1 Balamory Dan, Harcas, Oh Yah Dancer, 20/1 Mr Floppy, Star Player, 25/1 Fiftyfive Degrees, Mr Woods, The Saltire Tiger, 33/1 Chapel Flowers, Craiglands, Leprechaun´s Maite, 66/1 Lusabawn, Meda´s Song, 100/1 Familiar Affair.

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: All roads point to FRANKIE FIGG, who settled much better (in the race, at least) when scoring on his recent reappearance at Hexham (form franked) and he's more than capable of defying a penalty, especially at a track that suits his style of racing when the ground is on top

Very good price gap. No ultra confidence from Spotlight. There are only 5 horses priced less than 20/1 indicating no real strength in depth. This looks a race to concentrate on from an each way perspective, although I wouldn’t put anyone off Frankie Figg, but you must be mindful he runs under a penalty and also drops in trip.

700 WOLVES

BETTING FORECAST: 7/4 Al Badeya, 7/1 Spiffing, Sweetsformysweet, Thea Di Bisanzio, 10/1 By The Edge, 12/1 Brave Falcon, Perlachy, 16/1 Elizabeth Spirit, Epidaurian King, Piccolo Diamante, 20/1 Whats Your Game, 25/1 Flashin Amber, Punching.

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: The in-form AL BADEYA would need only to replicate recent prominent efforts to take all the beating in this company for her top yard.[BDO]

Seems to tick all the boxes as regards price gap and comment “need only prelicate recent prominent efforts to take all the beating “

At 6/5 this is my probably one bet today for the price gapers. Seb Sanders needs to boot in the winners to keep title hopes alive

405 CHELTENAHM

BETTING FORECAST: 15/8 Out The Black, 9/4 Life For Rent, 6/1 Apollo Creed, King Ali, 13/2 Gone To Lunch, 16/1 Morgan The Mighty, 20/1 Cave Of The Giant, 100/1 Auditor.

Out the black at 11/4 looks worth an each way punt – should be competitive

515 CHELTENHAM

BETTING FORECAST: 13/8 Patman Du Charmil, 3/1 Blu Teen, 9/2 Ice Tea, 5/1 Minella Tipperary, 12/1 Coin Man, Joe Lively, 25/1 Classic Clover, 100/1 Thyne Spirit.

4 before 12/1 – Ice tea each way at 4/1 could place at least

245 KELSO

BETTING FORECAST: 8/11 Frankie Figg, 7/1 Ethan´s Star, 10/1 Balamory Dan, Harcas, Oh Yah Dancer, 20/1 Mr Floppy, Star Player, 25/1 Fiftyfive Degrees, Mr Woods, The Saltire Tiger, 33/1 Chapel Flowers, Craiglands, Leprechaun´s Maite, 66/1 Lusabawn, Meda´s Song, 100/1 Familiar Affair.

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: All roads point to FRANKIE FIGG, who settled much better (in the race, at least) when scoring on his recent reappearance at Hexham (form franked) and he's more than capable of defying a penalty, especially at a track that suits his style of racing when the ground is on top

The each way option could work here if Frankie Figg underperforms Ethans Star is the most obvious

TWIN CYCLES
BETTING FORECAST: 13/8 Royal And Regal, 9/4 Distinction, 4/1 Balkan Knight, 8/1 Hawridge Prince, Under The Rainbow, 14/1 Veenwouden, 50/1 Invasian, 100/1 Colinca´s Lad, Tobaro,

Worth trying the first 2 here for the cycles with so many at bigger prices


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