Gipsy Prince came 4th at 2/1, not really a price gapper in the ideal we should be looking for. Earlsfield Radier 3rd at 6/4 = again as I said yesterday it was not an ideal price gapper. Elizabeth Swann didn’t run and Whispered Dreams came in for the red hot godolphin 2 year olds ( apart from the most expensive purchase which I believe still has a furlong to run ( he started yesterday)! Mozakharaf unplaced at 6.1. Kylayne came 1st at 7/1 which, when limiting each ways to 3 selections ensures a profit
Good to soft at Brighton today may throw a spanner in the works, an dno race above class 5 does not augur well.
LUDLOW
220
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| SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: IRON MAID was never in danger of defeat when laughing at the handicapper's assessment of her at Fontwell and this half-sister to smart chaser Longshanks looks the type to keep on improving. The Sneakster can chase her home.[AWJ] |
4/11 in a novice hurdle – I’ll get me coat! Worthy of following in the live market but unbackable at the price
Looked on a reasonable mark for her return to action in a 2m6f handicap at Fontwell and duly won well, justifying strong market support in the process; hard to beat in this company if repeating that and likely to do so.
Again, if only this was near evens! Has the profile of a great price gapper bet but there is an “if”. The strong market support was in the last race – have we missed the boat as far as getting on at the right time is concerned
320
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| SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: The one with no question marks is LUSAKA DE PEMBO (nap), who is getting his act together at the moment. The switch to David Pipe and the refitting of a tongue-tie have seen him win two of his five starts for the yard and, although 8lb higher than for last week's Wincanton victory, there may well be more to come. |
Napped and a decent price gap, although now 9/4 - - - - 9/2 –the price gap has shortened. Form 12421 means the horse has caught the handicapper’s attentions and the ideal would seem to be a place only bet here, or attacking this race from an each way perspective
350
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| SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: Hat-trick seeker Herecomestanley will be hugely popular but DASHER REILLY is an interesting alternative on his first start for Evan Williams, now he's back on some better ground.[AWJ] |
Great price gap, but early morning prices evens - - - 4/1 indicate that Dasher Reilly will pose a significant threat to the selection. Concern that Spotlight hasn’t even chosen the horse.Multiple winner in handicap company means more weight and these winning sequences must end soon. Likely to run very well but the obvious bet looks to be Dasher Reilly each way with 8 the field
PUNCHESTOWN
315
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| SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: BLAZING SKY holds an outstanding chance at the weights. Confidence in her ability to produce an effort in keeping with her rating is based on the fact that she was produced in fine shape to overcame a long absence here a year ago, and today's opposition includes nothing of the calibre of the two mares whom she beat on that occasion, Brogella and Celestial Wave. Thouh her form was slightly erratic through the remainder of the season, there was an excuse (finished lame) for her below-par run at Fairyhouse in April, and she signed off later that month with a lively effort in taking third place behind Grangeclare Lark in a Grade 3 race over today's course and trip. |
“outstanding chance at the weights” – good price gap – listed race so no mugs in opposition. Ruby on Killeen castle looks appealing. If the price gap remains I’ll be on this one in this listed race. I won’t back below 1 / 2 for a good quality race filled with decent horses
PRICE GAPPERS COMMENTS
I wouldn’t say any of the selections today were ideal price gapers and probably Blazing sky is the only one of interest, and still the price is likely to be short for this listed hurdles event. Selections today are either handicap winners rising steadily in weight or consistent handicappers whose consistent streak may end soon from a sequencing perspective. So officially nothing really appeals as a confident bet a la Collection the other day. Best to concentrate on the each way angle today
220 LUDLOW
BETTING FORECAST: 1/2 Iron Maid, 13/2 The Sneakster, 8/1 Ohmissymoss, 10/1 Rashida, 12/1 Lady Romanov, 14/1 White Cloud, 33/1 Blackbury, Miss O´Murchu, 66/1 Another Tootsie, Molly Coddle, Tyrone Lady.
Likely a procession by the Iron Maid – at least that’s what the 4/11 is telling me, but this is a novice hurdle and the fav is so short to make a bit of each way thievery possible. The obvious candidate is the sneakster at 8/1 each way
350 LUD
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| SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: Hat-trick seeker Herecomestanley will be hugely popular but DASHER REILLY is an interesting alternative on his first start for Evan Williams, now he's back on some better ground.[AWJ] |
Another potential price gapper, but in Dasher Reilly we look to have a great chance of at least the place, and the chance that ,if the favs winning seuqnece should end today ,or the rise in the weights find him out, old Dasher can exploit this
TWIN CYCLES
Remember what happened last time I chose 2 in a maiden – it was won by a 40/1 shot with a 200/1 placing ! Ho Hum!
720 Wolves
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| SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: The two to concentrate on are the two runners that have already been gelded. LOYAL KNIGHT sets the standard on form, has shaped like this could be his ideal trip this year and is marginally preferred to Safebreaker, who has a pedigree that suggests the step up to this trip should suit. [DM] |
First 2 here look in with a shout for the twin progressive cycles. If any money comes for the others to bump their price uncomfortably close to the main 2 then leave the bet alone. Keeping the price gap is important
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