10\9

right tI was o single out the place only on Paddy Jack on a day where the weather decimated fields and made the day largely unbettable. Coppergirl was a non runner as was Shiul Aris,. AXIOM won. Mr Mischief unplaced.Glittering prize came 2nd. Laura's Best placed at 5/1. Twin cycles no bet with another non runner.
PRICE GAPPERS
It appears we're having what happened when the jumps season turned into the flat - betting no mans land!
240-Exeter - Opus Cafe - the hint of a price gap but the overall profile id not one of a very good price gapper
450- Exeter - Deep Purple tics all boxes but at 1\3 over the sticks he's unbackable, but like Axiom is another to back and lay in running
820 KEMPTON
BETTING FORECAST: 2/1 Vintage, 6/1 Machinate, 8/1 Call Me Rosy, Dancing Duo, Emma Jean Lad, Hills Place, 12/1 Ganache, Torver, 14/1 Pearl Farm, 25/1 Grey Gurkha, 33/1 Fervent, The Slider, 50/1 Lordswood, Raise Again.
SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: Ganache is worst off with the pair in front here last week and Dancing Duo could well turn things round with Emma Jean Lad. Either way, they've all got their work cut out against VINTAGE if last Friday's Wolverhampton demolition wasn't a one-off.[GW]

This may interest but let's not get carried away - this is class 6 - Vintage demolished opposition last time and may be one of those handiap horses about to run up a sequence ( we're normally umming and ahhing about horses who run up a 2 or 3 timer in handicap company- is this the beginning of a small sequence?)
At 9/4, you're betting efffectively on the horse reproducing winning form under a penalty and you're also betting on the fact this may be the start of a mini winning streak.
A good price, but let's remember this is a class 6 handicap on a crap Kempton card. I will, however take the risk at the price
405 navan
BETTING FORECAST: 4/5 Alessandro Volta, 9/2 Award Ceremony, 6/1 Bashkirov, 8/1 The Fist Of God, 10/1 Mikhail Fokine, 12/1 Liberty Love, Moiqen, Soca Warrior, 20/1 Art Sleuth, Cinn Mhara, Jokipur, 25/1 Grand Fella, Kingsdale Flyer, Magical Six, Mr Harrington, Warrior Chief, 33/1 Cheval Du Roi.
SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: ALLESANDRO VOLTA should score providing that he has gone the right way since finishing in mid-field behind Lisvale on his debut at The Curragh in June. That was a strong maiden, and one of those in front of him was Curtain Call who finished second to New Approach in the Futurity Stakes before losing his maiden status with a 4l win in the Beresford Stakes. Domestic Fund, runner-up in the Beresford, also contested that maiden, as did Houston Dynimo, a winner at Gowran last week. Aidan O'Brien has a strong hand here, since he is also represented by BASHKIROV third on his debut at Leopardstown in June. The winner Maryellen's Spirit has not appeared since then, but runner-up Curtain Call has certainly done his to boost the credibility of the form,Aiden O'Brien favs in maidens, who have had a run, are worth keeping the right side of. The value seems ,though,to be with Bashkirov for Ballydoyl as the each way candidate.
If Allseandro's price remains around 4\5 thn he's a bet for me
535 NAVAN
BETTING FORECAST: 11/8 Sinntaran, 9/2 Hernando Cortes, Mont Izu, 8/1 El Diego, Perpetuum, 9/1 Sunny´n Smart, 12/1 Atacanta, Etu, The Frog Prince, 14/1 Kerdana, 16/1 Silica Shine, 20/1 Dont Tell Josie, Inside I´m Dancing, Lannleire, 25/1 Kingsdale Pacific, See Nuala, 33/1 Hyde Park Flight, Molly Wee, Soviet Queen.
SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: SINNTARAN, a half-brother by Machiavellian to Sinndar, has been given plenty of time to mature since he was a beaten odds-on favourite for a maiden over an extended 7f at Tipperary in May. The extra distance should suit, and there is no reason to believe that he will fail to uphold form with PERPETUUM who was 4l behind him and gave his best subsequent performance when third to Blackwater Pete at Ballinrobe in July.
Oxx/Kinane must always be respected. Beaten at odds on last time caN BE VIEWED POSITIVELY OR NEGATIVELY - can't win at odds on - no ta! OR they'll get it right this time!
A 19 runner field is not the ideal but again id odds against, this looks a decentish bet. Obvious opportunity for place only betting
510 NOTT
BETTING FORECAST: 9/4 Shela House, 6/1 Forroger, 7/1 Celtic Change, 10/1 Le Soleil, 12/1 Folio, Tommy Toogood, 14/1 Del Mar Sunset, Master Pegasus, Pagan Sword, Robustian, 20/1 Aegean Prince, Chantaco, Go Tech, 25/1 New Star, 33/1 First Mate, Shogun Prince.
SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: The 3yo SHELA HOUSE (nap) looked one to follow when romping clear at Windsor last week and he can defy a 6lb penalty. Forroger, who needs to settle better, and Celtic Change, who is stepping up in trip, look his most interesting rivals.[AC]

Another potential multiple winner in a handicap. Shela House is now 6/4 with a noticeable price gap in the early market. Ryan Moore in the plate. Again you're betting, like the earlier example, on a reproduction of form and the chance of a mini sequence starting. The right jock's on board and a chance ,I suppose, can be taken if the price remains around 6/4

A word of caution with Nottingham today - this is the last race on a good to soft ground card - any deterioration in weather may change going to soft and then I will leave alone

PRICE GAPPERS COMMENT - again today we have generally 2 types - short prices in maidens for influential stables in Ireland who should improve and lose their maden tags, albeit in big fields, and 2 LIKELY improvers in handicaps -2 horses with potential to put together a string of wins. Because noe of these bets is clear cut, and they are not really templated price gappers, this should be reflected in the fact we are getting , largely, odds against.
If I were to chose just one, it would probably be Vintage at 9/4 - my decision largely swayed by the odds.

EACH WAY
250 EXETER - 2nd fav Telegonus is 3/1, not really an each way price, but the hope his he will place at least
350 EXETER - Thenford star at 7/2 is, again, not ideal each way price but he whould be competitive under Chocolate Thornton
405 NAVAN - BAshikirov each way - the apparent BAllydoyle second string
No twin cycle bet yesterday because one was a non runner - noe today in another unappetising card.
Beware any weather change and proceed with caution if ground conditions return to soft.