13 OCT

I got myself a bit mixed up yesterday - I mentioned Paul's Plain as an obvious each way candidate yet chose him as my one for the day to win - clearly mistaken - the plce only was the clearest option in an 18 runner handicap.Elsewhere, Abraham Lincoln won easily ( wish they were all that clear cut), and Al Khaleej disapoointed. Of the each ways, Insurgent won, and Mastoori placed and Sine Dei placed.Today, typical Saturday ,and my mind will be more focussed on trading the football, with a number of mismatches offering better trading opportunities than the horses ( particulalry in this tansitionfrom flat to jumps)
PRICE GAPS
415 CHEPSTOWBETTING FORECAST: 1/2 Theatrical Moment, 4/1 Pertinent, 10/1 Presenting Copper, 16/1 Castlecrossings, Shanxi Girl, 20/1 Cool Cliche, 25/1 Lyricist´s Dream, 33/1 Fixed Interest, Our Choice, Visual Art, Wazalino, 50/1 Bayberry King, Lidjo De Rouge, Mister Wiseman, 150/1 Quantock Venture, 200/1 Tandori.

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: Several of these have the potential to win novice hurdles but unbeaten bumper performer THEATRICAL MOMENT looks star material and he's fancied to make a successful switch to hurdling, probably at the main expense of ex-French Pertinent.[DH]
Worth backing Theatrical Moment if 4/6 but Pertinent is very close in the betting.

230 FAIRYHOUSE
BETTING FORECAST: 4/9 Cork All Star, 7/1 Clarkey, 8/1 Rossgavand, 12/1 Miley Byrne, 14/1 Born Supreme, Very Effecient, 16/1 Mr Fiertag, Mrs Brophy, 20/1 Bobsthewizard, Kenah Hill, 25/1 Aisling´s Jewel, Capparoe Cross, 33/1 Fardane, Sir Poppins, 50/1 Inter Mutanda, Philpot,

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: CORK ALL STAR is one of Ireland's leading novice hurdling prospects, and his presence here lights up an otherwise mundane card. The Fasliyev gelding won four of his five starts in bumpers, including an Irish-dominated renewal of the Weatherbys Champion Bumper at Cheltenham, and has the physique to make a hurdler, notwithstanding his Flat pedigree. The loss of his his unbeaten record when fifth to Mick The Man in the Grade 1 bumper at Punchestown may have been caused by a failure to settle as effectively as usual. Basically, he has all the attributes of a potential top-class novice hurdler.\n

Basically unbackeble at the price but a prime example of the type of positivity and confidence you want to see. One to back and lay off in running
425 HEXHAM
BETTING FORECAST: 5/4 Tot O´Whiskey, 9/2 St James Gate, 11/2 Dreamaker, 9/1 Craiglands, 12/1 Panthers Run, 14/1 Mirage Dore, Ten Carat, 16/1 Sir Quigley, 20/1 Deramore Rythm, 33/1 Whatdoidowiththat, 100/1 Filey Buoy, I´m On Fire.

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: High-class bumper recruit TOT O'WHISKEY is bred to make a smooth transition to hurdles and ought to possess too much quality for these.[BDO]

A price gap which has shortened in the early prices. Obviously well thought of, Tot o Whiskey is expected to obligee,BUT this is a maiden hurdle and things are never that straight forward in maiden hurdles

720 KEMPTON
BARNEY CURLEY ALERT - Petrovich inserted as warm favourite here - if you see constant money for him on Betfair ,then back him, if he drifts leave him alone. Here endeth the BArney Curley alert.
I will take a chance on THeatrical Moment as my one today, with the others obvious place only candidates
EACH WAY
145 ASCOT

BETTING FORECAST: 11/4 Queen´s Best, 100/30 Brisk Breeze, 7/2 Samira Gold, 10/1 Kayah, Winter Sunrise, 11/1 Rising Cross, Trick Or Treat, 12/1 Dash To The Front, 20/1 Athenian Way, 25/1 Loulwa, 33/1 Party, 40/1 Satulagi.

Samira at around 7\2 looks good to palce at least
435 BANGOR
BETTING FORECAST: 7/4 Nez Rouge, 4/1 Pistolet Dove, 9/2 King Cyrus, 8/1 Very Cool, 9/1 Mcgarry´s Lane, 14/1 Kayf Keel, 16/1 Whiteoak, Young Yozza, 20/1 Perdiem, 66/1 Heebie Jeebie.

Pistolet each way should place at least for the powerful Hobbs yard
340 CHEPSTOW
BETTING FORECAST: 2/1 Franchoek, 5/2 Qrackers, 3/1 Serabad, 6/1 Daltaban, 12/1 Tension Point, 16/1 Daylami Dreams, 20/1 Bring It On Home, 33/1 Apache Chant, Pennyrock, 40/1 Correy, 66/1 Stafford Will, 100/1 Spirit Rising.

QraCKERS AT 7\2 COULD BE CPOMPETITIVE FOR THE PLACE\WIN