Tuesday, 21 February 2012

21/2/2012

5pm - CSKA Moscow v Real Madrid - 1.44 away - another away day in cold Russia but Real under the Special One are performing this season with consistency and should do what is necessary, i.e. an away goal or 2, this evening.
CSKA RECENT FORM

Sun27/11/11PRLAnzhi Makhachkala2 - 1CSKA MoskvaView eventsMore info
Wed07/12/11UCLInternazionale1 - 2CSKA MoskvaView eventsMore info
Tue24/01/12CLFReal Murcia2 - 0CSKA MoskvaMore info
Mon30/01/12CLFCSKA Moskva1 - 0VideotonMore info
Fri03/02/12CLFCSKA Moskva0 - 1GuangzhouMore info
Mon06/02/12CLFCSKA Moskva1 - 0Krylya SovetovMore info
Thu09/02/12CLFCSKA Moskva2 - 0Politehnica Ti…More info
Thu16/02/12CLFCSKA Moskva2 - 2Shakhtar Donetsk

A series of club friendlies of late against dubious opponents nowhere near Real Madrid's standards at all really should make Real even stronger favourites tonight.
CSKA CHAMP LEAGUE

Wed31/03/10UCLInternazionale1 - 0CSKA MoskvaView eventsMore info
Tue06/04/10UCLCSKA Moskva0 - 1InternazionaleView eventsMore info
Wed14/09/11UCLLille2 - 2CSKA MoskvaView eventsMore info
Tue27/09/11UCLCSKA Moskva2 - 3InternazionaleView eventsMore info
Tue18/10/11UCLCSKA Moskva3 - 0TrabzonsporView eventsMore info
Wed02/11/11UCLTrabzonspor0 - 0CSKA MoskvaView eventsMore info
Tue22/11/11UCLCSKA Moskva0 - 2LilleView eventsMore info
Wed07/12/11UCLInternazionale1 - 2CSKA Moskva

87th minute winner v Inter adds a little gloss to the win. Home win v Trabzonspor. A tendency to concede since 2011 could be punished tonight.
CSKA CHAMP LEAGUE HOME

Wed24/02/10UCLCSKA Moskva1 - 1SevillaView eventsMore info
Tue06/04/10UCLCSKA Moskva0 - 1InternazionaleView eventsMore info
Tue27/09/11UCLCSKA Moskva2 - 3InternazionaleView eventsMore info
Tue18/10/11UCLCSKA Moskva3 - 0TrabzonsporView eventsMore info
Tue22/11/11UCLCSKA Moskva0 - 2Lille

The precious away goals could again be conceded this evening. I mean, conceding 2 at home to a team such as Lille is poor.
REAL RECENT FORM

Tue03/01/12CDRReal Madrid3 - 2MálagaView eventsMore info
Sat07/01/12PRDReal Madrid5 - 1GranadaView eventsMore info
Tue10/01/12CDRMálaga0 - 1Real MadridView eventsMore info
Sat14/01/12PRDMallorca1 - 2Real MadridView eventsMore info
Wed18/01/12CDRReal Madrid1 - 2BarcelonaView eventsMore info
Sun22/01/12PRDReal Madrid4 - 1Athletic ClubView eventsMore info
Wed25/01/12CDRBarcelona2 - 2Real MadridView eventsMore info
Sat28/01/12PRDReal Madrid3 - 1Real ZaragozaView eventsMore info
Sat04/02/12PRDGetafe0 - 1Real MadridView eventsMore info
Sun12/02/12PRDReal Madrid4 - 2LevanteView eventsMore info
Sat18/02/12PRDReal Madrid4 - 0Racing Santander

Barcelona have been the only side to beat Real madrid in 2012.
REAL CHAMP LEAGUE

Wed16/03/11UCLReal Madrid3 - 0Olympique LyonView eventsMore info
Tue05/04/11UCLReal Madrid4 - 0Tottenham HotspurView eventsMore info
Wed13/04/11UCLTottenham Hotspur0 - 1Real MadridView eventsMore info
Wed27/04/11UCLReal Madrid0 - 2BarcelonaView eventsMore info
Tue03/05/11UCLBarcelona1 - 1Real MadridView eventsMore info
Wed14/09/11UCLDinamo Zagreb0 - 1Real MadridView eventsMore info
Tue27/09/11UCLReal Madrid3 - 0AjaxView eventsMore info
Tue18/10/11UCLReal Madrid4 - 0Olympique LyonView eventsMore info
Wed02/11/11UCLOlympique Lyon0 - 2Real MadridView eventsMore info
Tue22/11/11UCLReal Madrid6 - 2Dinamo ZagrebView eventsMore info
Wed07/12/11UCLAjax0 - 3Real Madrid

Sick of the sight of Barcelona!!! Again, they are the only team to have got something out of Real Madrid.
REAL CHAMP LEAGUE AWAY

Tue28/09/10UCLAuxerre0 - 1Real MadridView eventsMore info
Wed03/11/10UCLMilan2 - 2Real MadridView eventsMore info
Tue23/11/10UCLAjax0 - 4Real MadridView eventsMore info
Tue22/02/11UCLOlympique Lyon1 - 1Real MadridView eventsMore info
Wed13/04/11UCLTottenham Hotspur0 - 1Real MadridView eventsMore info
Tue03/05/11UCLBarcelona1 - 1Real MadridView eventsMore info
Wed14/09/11UCLDinamo Zagreb0 - 1Real MadridView eventsMore info
Wed02/11/11UCLOlympique Lyon0 - 2Real MadridView eventsMore info
Wed07/12/11UCLAjax0 - 3Real Madrid

Have always scored that away goal in recent CL matches .
An ability for Real madrid to get that away goal , so if they don't win, 1-1 could be a saver. Have Real really upped their game last 2 away matches or simply met easier opposition? Will this ability to score 2+ continue today as well as an ability to keep a clean sheet?
530pm - Bologna v Fiorentina - 2.66 home
HEAD TO HEADS
11.09.2011D1Fiorentina2-0Bologna FC
15.05.2011D1Fiorentina1-1Bologna FC
06.01.2011D1Bologna FC1-1Fiorentina
17.01.2010D1Fiorentina1-2Bologna FC
22.08.2009D1Bologna FC1-1Fiorentina
02.02.2009D1Bologna FC1-3Fiorentina

well the recent trend of tight matches was broken in Sept 2011.

LEAGUE POSITION - 16th v 12th. Only 3 points separate them.

HOME TEAM - -past fixtures, forthcoming fixtures and likely team - Bologna

RECENT HOME FORM - LLLWLWDLWD  - wins have come against 13th, 15th and 17th. Defeats against 4th, 5th, 7th, 18th and 20th.  Inconsistent. 

RECENT FORM OVERALL - LDWDLLWDDDDW - 3 match draw sequence ended with a 0-3 win away to Inter Milan of all people. Talk about being a difficult side to read!
Recent 1-1's away to 5th and 6th, and 2 0-0's against 14th and 18th. Unbeaten in 6, but 4 of the matches were away from home.

GOAL TRENDS - 30% overs at home. 0.9 scored on average at home.  5 matches at home to bottom 7 were under 2.5 goals. Strong unders trend with 9 of the last 12 matches.Bologna have kept a clean sheet in 4 of the last 6 matches, conceding a single goal away to 5th and 6th.

STREAKS - 2 home matches without conceding. 6 overall without defeat. 

AWAY TEAM - past fixtures -forthcoming fixtures and likely team - fiorentina

RECENT AWAY FORM - LDDLLLLDWD - only win away was 2nd last match 0-3 emphatic win against 2nd bottom. 2 0-0 draws v 17th and 20th, and playing 16th today. All 4 away draws were 0-0's.

RECENT OVERALL FORM - LDLWLDDWLDWWL - 4 of the last 5 wins came at home. Against the bottom 10 sides home and away, Fiorentina have won 4, drawn 4 and lost 1 0-1 at home to Lecce. 

GOAL TRENDS - 20% overs away from home. Score 0.4 away on average and concede 0.9 away on average. Last 3 matches over 2.5 goals but they were home matches. Have failed to score in 8 of the last 13 matches.

STREAKS - 3 away without defeat. Clean sheet in last 3 away. 

CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS - When I was researching Bologna I thought they looked good in this match. Then I looked at Fiorentina and their record against bottom 10, and thought they were good.
Goal trends are strongly favouring under 2.5 goals, so back 0-0 initially and hope it is a tight match initially.0-0, 1-0, 0-1 possible scorelines. Bologna's recent win 0-3 v Inter is a headscratcher.


745pm - Barnsley v Birmingham - 2.18 away
HEAD TO HEADS
24.09.2011LChBirmingham City1-1Barnsley FC
10.03.2009LChBarnsley FC1-1Birmingham City
23.08.2008LChBirmingham City2-0Barnsley FC

tight last 2 -only real match of relevance the September match .
LEAGUE POSITION - 14th v 6th- a win could take Brum 3rd. 

HOME TEAM - -past fixtures, forthcoming fixtures and likely team - Barnsley

RECENT HOME FORM - LLDDWWLWWWLLWLWW - immediately noticeable is the lack of a recent draw at home. Have only played 2 of the top 6, losing both matches 0-1 against top and 1-3 v 5th.Beat 7th 2-1 at home.

RECENT FORM OVERALL - WWWWLLLWLWLWLLW - no draw in 22 matches overall. Have played 5 matches home and away against top 5 losing 4 and 1 win 1-2 away to REading in 3rd place. Lost 1-0 to 1st and 2nd.

GOAL TRENDS - 56% overs at home. 13 overs matches in last 19 for Barnsley.Only 2 clean sheets in last 19 matches. 

STREAKS - 12 at home without a draw. 2 match home winning streak. Have scored in last 15 at home. No draw in 22.

AWAY TEAM - past fixtures -forthcoming fixtures and likely team - Birmingham

RECENT AWAY FORM - LLDLWWLDLLLDWW - Brum have played 9 matches against top 15 away from home, losing losing 7, drawing 1 v 5th and winning 1 v 10th.3 of 4 away wins have come against bottom 5.

RECENT OVERALL FORM - LLWLDWDWWWWDWD - nice unbeaten run. 2 0-0's in last 3 matches, those were at home. Brum have scored 6 and 4 in last 2 away matches against 10th and 20th. 

GOAL TRENDS - 64% overs away from home. Have scored a massive 19 goals in the last 1/4 hour of matches. 5 clean sheets in the last 6 matches, 4 of those at home. Only 1 goal in last 3 matches in total. 

STREAKS - 10 overall without defeat. 2 match away winning streak.

CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS
a history of tight matches in head to heads. No draw in 22 matches for Barnsley is huge. Lay the draw if you think this will continue.12 at home without a draw and Barnsley have scored in last 15 at home.In 5 matches against the top 5, Barnsley have lost 4 of them, 1-0 v 1st and 2nd. 
Only 2 clean sheets in 19 for Barnsley could leave them vulnerable.
Birmingham have lost 7 of 9 matches away to top 15 and are playing 16th today. 3 of Brum;s away wins have come against bottom 5. 5 clean sheets in last 6 matches, but 4 at home. Is this a sign of an overall solid Brum of late which can be replicated away from home? A good run of 10 overall without defeat for Brum.
So what's standout? No draw in 22 Barnsley ; Barnsley losing 4 of 5 home and away to top 5;Brum 10 overall without defeat ;Brum 5 clean sheets in last 6 ( 4 at home).
Lay the draw here? Goal trends difficult as overs is obvious from the goal trends , but Brum have had 1 goal in total in last 3 matches, and 5 clean sheets recently.

745pm - Napoli v Chelsea - 2.44 home - oh dear the squatting beardy clown is turning Chelsea into a laughing stock. Clearly the way which brought riches to Porto is not translatable to the pensioners. And any negative result this evening could see Chelsea out of the Champions League and Villa " Oh, arse!" out on his, erm, arse.
Instinctually, you would argue for a very tight match with Italian opposition and a Chelsea side reknowned really for the late late show.
NAPOLI RECENT FORM

Wed21/12/11SEANapoli6 - 1GenoaView eventsMore info
Sun08/01/12SEAPalermo1 - 3NapoliView eventsMore info
Thu12/01/12COINapoli2 - 1CesenaView eventsMore info
Mon16/01/12SEANapoli1 - 1BolognaView eventsMore info
Sun22/01/12SEASiena1 - 1NapoliView eventsMore info
Wed25/01/12COINapoli2 - 0InternazionaleView eventsMore info
Sun29/01/12SEAGenoa3 - 2NapoliView eventsMore info
Wed01/02/12SEANapoli0 - 0CesenaMore info
Sun05/02/12SEAMilan0 - 0NapoliView eventsMore info
Thu09/02/12COISiena2 - 1NapoliView eventsMore info
Mon13/02/12SEANapoli2 - 0ChievoView eventsMore info
Fri17/02/12SEAFiorentina0 - 3Napoli

Tight Seria A defeat and Cup defeat. Back in form with 2 wins to nil last 2 league matches.
NAPOLI CHAMPIONS LEAGUE

Wed14/09/11UCLManchester City1 - 1NapoliView eventsMore info
Tue27/09/11UCLNapoli2 - 0VillarrealView eventsMore info
Tue18/10/11UCLNapoli1 - 1Bayern MünchenView eventsMore info
Wed02/11/11UCLBayern München3 - 2NapoliView eventsMore info
Tue22/11/11UCLNapoli2 - 1Manchester CityView eventsMore info
Wed07/12/11UCLVillarreal0 - 2Napoli

No need to beat Bayern as 2 away goals ensured victory. Beat Man City - city naivete in Europe or a real show of strength from Napoli at home.
NAPOLI CHAMP LEAGUE HOME

Tue27/09/11UCLNapoli2 - 0VillarrealView eventsMore info
Tue18/10/11UCLNapoli1 - 1Bayern MünchenView eventsMore info
Tue22/11/11UCLNapoli2 - 1Manchester City

Can't complain. The away goal now will be even more significant. Having kept 2 clean sheets in 2 recent Seria A victories, this is an ideal foundation for what Napoli will be attempting today.
CHELSEA RECENT FORM

Sat17/12/11PRLWigan Athletic1 - 1ChelseaView eventsMore info
Thu22/12/11PRLTottenham Hotspur1 - 1ChelseaView eventsMore info
Mon26/12/11PRLChelsea1 - 1FulhamView eventsMore info
Sat31/12/11PRLChelsea1 - 3Aston VillaView eventsMore info
Mon02/01/12PRLWolverhampton …1 - 2ChelseaView eventsMore info
Sun08/01/12FACChelsea4 - 0PortsmouthView eventsMore info
Sat14/01/12PRLChelsea1 - 0SunderlandView eventsMore info
Sat21/01/12PRLNorwich City0 - 0ChelseaMore info
Sat28/01/12FACQueens Park Ra…0 - 1ChelseaView eventsMore info
Tue31/01/12PRLSwansea City1 - 1ChelseaView eventsMore info
Sun05/02/12PRLChelsea3 - 3Manchester UnitedView eventsMore info
Sat11/02/12PRLEverton2 - 0ChelseaView eventsMore info
Sat18/02/12FACChelsea1 - 1Birmingham City

1 win in last 6 matches was a poor 0-1 v QPR and the previous win to that was a 1-0 home win against Sunderland.Chelsea have conceded in their last 4 matches.
Away from home, Chelsea have scored 0-1-1-0 recently.
CHELSEA CHAMP LEAGUE

Wed16/03/11UCLChelsea0 - 0KøbenhavnMore info
Wed06/04/11UCLChelsea0 - 1Manchester UnitedView eventsMore info
Tue12/04/11UCLManchester United2 - 1ChelseaView eventsMore info
Tue13/09/11UCLChelsea2 - 0Bayer LeverkusenView eventsMore info
Wed28/09/11UCLValencia1 - 1ChelseaView eventsMore info
Wed19/10/11UCLChelsea5 - 0GenkView eventsMore info
Tue01/11/11UCLGenk1 - 1ChelseaView eventsMore info
Wed23/11/11UCLBayer Leverkusen2 - 1ChelseaView eventsMore info
Tue06/12/11UCLChelsea3 - 0Valencia

last 3 wins have all come at home for Chelsea. And with clean sheets. That's fine and dandy if it can be repeated when Napoli visit, and may be the defining factor re today's away performance.
CHELSEA CHAMP LEAGUE AWAY

Wed15/09/10UCLŽilina1 - 4ChelseaView eventsMore info
Tue19/10/10UCLSpartak Moskva0 - 2ChelseaView eventsMore info
Wed08/12/10UCLOlympique Mars…1 - 0ChelseaView eventsMore info
Tue22/02/11UCLKøbenhavn0 - 2ChelseaView eventsMore info
Tue12/04/11UCLManchester United2 - 1ChelseaView eventsMore info
Wed28/09/11UCLValencia1 - 1ChelseaView eventsMore info
Tue01/11/11UCLGenk1 - 1ChelseaView eventsMore info
Wed23/11/11UCLBayer Leverkusen2 - 1Chelsea

Chelsea have scored in last 5 away matches in the Champions League. That precious away goal. Score 2 against more inferior opponents to tonights. This hints that Chelsea are likely to only score a single goal tonight if they are to score. This could form the basis of any correct score speculation.
8pm - Blackpool v West Ham - 2.46 home
HEAD TO HEADS
15.10.2011LChWest Ham4-0Blackpool FC
02.02.2011PRBlackpool FC1-3West Ham
13.11.2010PRWest Ham0-0Blackpool FC

Only one head to head of relevance at West Ham.
LEAGUE POSITION - 5th v 2nd. West Ham in the driving seat having 2 games in hand over Saints.Blackpool go 3rd with a win. A match of equal importance to both this evening.

HOME TEAM - -past fixtures, forthcoming fixtures and likely team - Blackpool

RECENT HOME FORM - WLWDWWLWDWDWWWD - only 2 defeats at home were against 15th 0-1 and 22nd 1-2. A solid recent unbeaten run sees only one defeat in last 13 home matches. Against the top 6 at home, it's a 1-0 win against 3rd placed Reading, 1-1 draw v 4th placed Cardiff, and 2-2 draw v 6th placed Brum. 

RECENT FORM OVERALL - WDDWLWDWWWDW - the over 2.5 goals of the Premiership year has returned of late. Only 1 defeat in last 12 overall is as impressive as home form of late which could make Blackpool tough to beat tonight.4 wins in last 5 includes 1-3 away win over 4th placed Cardiff.

GOAL TRENDS - 53% overs at home at present but 8 of the last 9 matches have been over 2.5 goals. Blackpool have scored and conceded in their last 6 matches which could aid any overs trade this evening. 

STREAKS  - 8 at home without defeat, 7 overall. Have scored and conceded in last 6 overall. 

AWAY TEAM - past fixtures -forthcoming fixtures and likely team - West Ham

RECENT AWAY FORM - WWWDDLWWWWLDLWL -Hammers have lost away to 1st, 3rd, 15th and 16th. Only 4 away defeats all season, and 3 of them have appeared in the last 5 matches, which have only seen a single win. What on earth do we make of recent 2-1 loss to Derby and 5-1 mauling by Ipswich. West Ham team injuries problem? Perhaps check.

RECENT OVERALL FORM - WWLLWDLWWWLWD - recent draw v Saints.Recent loss a head scratcher against Ipswich 5-1.Against top 6 home and away, West Ham have lost 3, drawn 1, and beat Blackpool home 4-0.

GOAL TRENDS - 47% overs away from home. Hammers have only conceded 5 goals in the first 1/2 hour of matches this season. West Ham have scored in 14 of last 15 matches. 

STREAKS - 3 away without a draw. Have scored in last 9 overall. Have conceded in last 4 overall.

CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS - 4-0 in recent head to head should hint at advantage West Ham, but Blackpool at home are a different team. Only 1 defeat in 13 at home for Blackpool and only 2 defeats at home. Unbeaten at home against the top 6 teams they have played. Only 1 Blackpool defeat in last 12 overall. 4 wins in last 5 includes a win against 4th away.
8 of Blackpool's last 9 matches over 2.5 goals. 
4 away defeats for West ham, 3 of which came in last 5 matches.Only 1 win away in last 5. Last 2 losses v 15th and 16th, includes a 5-1 mauling by Ipswich. Hammers have scored in 14 of last 15 matches. 
A toughie to call. Blackpool on a strong unbeaten run, a return to their over 2.5 goals matches, scoring and conceding in last 6. Hammers scored in 14 of last 15. Tough to call a winner here given the recent strong form for Blackpool. They might be able to exploit West Ham's ability to win only 1 in last 5 away.


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