*****ONE A DAY - West Ham v Man United - lay West Ham at odds of 5.9. Using Betfair's Max liability function, your stake now becomes your fixed liability. This makes the bet the equivalent of a 1.19 back bet.*****
Always a slight risk with the Carling Cup but I am swayed by United's 3 /5 wins in the Competition in the last 5 seasons.
It would seem that the weather affected the all weather, as The Big Hearth did not seem to handle the slower surface and increased kick back. I should have left all racing alone and focussed on el Classico yesterday.
745pm - Arsenal v Wigan - 1.26 home - lots of postponements today and we are left with the Carling Cup which the managers historically have treated with disdain. Wenger looking to take this seriously.
745pm - West Ham v Man Utd - 1.71 away - I would look to lay West Ham tonight at 5.8 - laying at 5.8 is around 1.19.
Man Utd have won the Carling Cup in 3 of the last 5 seasons so old Red Nose is taking this seriously.
TENNIS - AEGON MASTERS
1pm - Rafter v Cash - 1.2 Rafter
845pm - Enqvist v Bates - 1.17 Enqvist
The elderly get a run out in the tennis. Trust the odds?
100 SOUTHWELL
BETTING FORECAST: 3/1 Misscomplacent, 7/2 Beyaz Villas, Heresellie, 7/1 Just For Leo, Liberty Ess, 10/1 Algris, Je Suis Unrockstar, 14/1 Molly Mylenis, 25/1 Mujapiste, 66/1 Mrs Nisbett, Ngina, 100/1 Bigalo´s Vera B, Likeable Lad.
| DIOMED VERDICT: MISSCOMPLACENT has yet to tackle Fibresand but she's otherwise got plenty in her favour and she should go close if handling this surface. |
A class 6 seller which is the same race type as yesterday.
8 horses left and 3 places and there are 4 under 20/1 but how will Southwell run today. Remember the effect the weather had on Wolverhampton yesterday?
115 LINGFIELD
BETTING FORECAST: 10/11 Matsunosuke, 4/1 Lewyn, 5/1 Ebraam, 8/1 Silaah, 12/1 Dancing Freddy, 20/1 Brandywell Boy, Wanchai Whisper, 100/1 Hatman Jack, The Magic Of Rio.
| DIOMED VERDICT: MATSUNOSUKE ran a fine race off a mark of 105 last time and he had previously won his last two starts in claiming company. |
Still odds on but another class 6 claimer.
SHORTLIST
I think I will leave Southwell well alone having learned, the hard way, regarding frost and its affect on all weather surfaces and the kickback.
115 LINGFIELD - like yesterday, can we really trust these class 6 horses to consistently give their running? 1.17 to place.
3 of the 9 runners are 33/1 or bigger so hopefully it is a 6 runner race for 3 places.
745pm - Arsenal v Wigan - 1.26 home - Wigan's record at Arsenal is terrible. 4-0 latest but beat Arsenal at Wigan 3-2 latest. Carling Cup and I suspect this far into the competition Wenger would like to go through.
745pm - West Ham v Man Utd - 1.71 away 5.9 to 6 for West Ham and this looks layable . It will be the equivalent of a 1.19 back bet and covers the draw.
845pm - Enqvist v Bates - 1.17 Enqvist - looks perfectly reasonable given this is Jeremy Bates in opposition. Highly illiquid market.
SHORTLIST OF THE SHORTLIST
No horse racing today for me until the turf returns.
745pm - Arsenal v Wigan - 1.26 home - won 6 of last 7 clashes, and this late on, surely Arsenal will want to see it through this Carling Cup and be in with a chance of some silverware.
No Fabregas this evening a major concern for me. He can change a potentially tight match.
745pm - West Ham v Man Utd - 1.71 away - quite obviously, having won the Carling Cup in 3 of the last 5 occasions, United take this seriously now.
United also have a 28 match unbeaten run. Last 3 results have been 3-0, 4-0, 4-0 to United ( albeit with a Premiership set up)
Laying West Ham is very tempting for me. 5.9 -6 1.19 equivalent back bet.
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Please note there is no guarantee that these selections will win. Gambling is high risk and Canonbury Publishing Ltd and it's writers and editors cannot be held accountable for any monetary losses incurred. Please note that any bets you place are at your own risk.
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