back-lay-trade-horses-football

***** ONE A DAY - Blackpool v Man City - Back over 1.5 goals at 1.24******
Tradeable with a very early goal, especially for Blackpool!

1/2 length the deficit yesterday while all around there were plenty of better opportunities - Man Utd ( 2 goals up), Benfica - as easy as you like, Frankel, and I choose the one that finishes 4th by half a length. How frustrating.
Werder over 1.5 goals, Real Madrid with 0-0 cover all came in with ease.

1245pm - AGF v Hjorring - 1.35 home - division 2 danish - AGF unbeaten in last 12 - 2 draws in last 3 league games perhaps a sign of caution.
5 wins in the league at home for this team relegated from Division 1.
3 wins in last 9 league games for Hjorring signals why AGF are favs.DLDLD away from home for Hjorring. THey do not win away from home. Hjorring are promoted from Division 3 this season. You would think a division 1 side of last year v a division 3 side of last year should see the division 1 side win.
1245pm - Dundee Utd v Celtic - 1.69 away - 100% record and Rangers won yesterday to keep up their 100% record so really is a must win for Celtic. They have belied the slightly higher odds away from home , albeit not convincingly with 1-0, 1-0, 2-1 away wins.
A = away H =Home W=Win L=Loss
WA, WH, LA, HD , HD for Celtic in head to heads. Won the 2 most recent head to heads in 2010.
Dundee United a bit ropey at home. 4-0 loss to Caley thistle, 1-0 win to St Johnstone and 3-1 win to Aberdeen.
Rangers have already beaten Dundee United this season 4-0 but that was at Rangers. Still, this is indicative of the ideal scoreline if Celtic play to their optimum. Asians 0.5 to 1 signals a tight match and Celtic have been drifting already as I write to 1.73.
I have ignored them in the past due to the odds and they have won.
130pm - Willem II v PSV - 1.23 away - WWWWWW in head to heads last 6 for PSV. 1-0 last time out away at Willem II -WDD so far away from home. Unbeaten this season so expectation in odds for win, but always threatening a draw.
Willem II have lost 7 and drawn 1 of their last 8 matches. 3,5,3,3,2,4,2,0 the goals conceded in those 8 matches. Ajax beat them 2-0 at Ajax and that should be within the compass of PSV.
I would back PSV and perhaps trade out if they lead at any stage. Slight concern with 2 consecutive away draws.
2pm - Estonia U17 v Austria U17 - 1.41 away - 1 win, 2 draws and 9 losses for home side in last 12.Have lost 7 and drawn 1 of last 8.
2pm - Gumefens/Sorens v Grasshoppers Zurich - 1.1 away - Swiss Cup saw goals galore yesterday
2pm - Juventus v Lecce - 1.38 home DLW for Juve at home so far this season has featured 6,4,6 goals - high scoring matches at home. LLD for Lecce away from home 4-0, 1-0, 2-2 for those away matches. Again 2 of those 4 matches were high scoring.
2-2 in 2009 head to heads - the others were in 2008/7/6 and may not be relevant.
1.24 over 1.5 goals
2pm - Locarno v FC Zurich - 1.26 away - division 2 v division 1 in the Swiss Cup
4pm - Dnipro v Zorya - 1.32 home - 2 draws, 3 1-0's in last 5 head to heads signals potential tight match here.Zorya have drawn their last 2 matches 1-1. LLD for Dnipro at home in last 3 league matches is hardly compelling evidence to back them at 1.32 given 7 of Zorya's last 12 matches have been 1-0 scorelines, and 3 have been 1-1 with apparent anomolous 3-0 and 3-1 losses completing the 12 matches.
4pm - Blackpool v Man City - 1.61 away - Blackpool matches usually equal goals. DLW away for City so far this season hardly justifies the squillions spent.
They have won their last 3 matches. Blackpool have played 2 of the perceived top 4 and lost 6-0 and 4-0 ( albeit away from home). Draw and loss for 2 home games so far this season does not augur well for the visit of City.
6 of the 7 matches Blackpool have played have been over 2.5 goals. the other was 2-0, albeit not tradeable as 2nd goal came in 90th minute.
Perhaps a neutral goals bet here 1.23 over 1.5 goals.

5pm - Aalesunds v Sandefjord - 1.28 home - Sandefjord have lost their last 7 on the trot. They have lost 10 and drawn 2 of their last 12 matches.
Aelsunds have lost 6 and won 3 of their last 9, hardly any better. No sign of a draw here! Lay the draw?
7pm - CSKA Sofia v Kaliakra - 1.19 home - I cannot see why CSKA are so short - they are hardly in the best of form.

220 KEMPTON
BETTING FORECAST: Evs Jubail, 3/1 Plan A, 13/2 Il Portico, 10/1 Denton Ryal, 14/1 Gulf Punch, Professeur Emery, 20/1 Big Talk, 33/1 Magic Spirit.

DIOMED VERDICT: JUBAIL looks the one to be with after an encouraging start over hurdles at Market Rasen.

8 runners and 3 places for this juvenile hurdle and a clear split - 5 only under 20/1 - 4 debutants to this sphere though could be anything 1.2 to place.

325 KEMPTON
BETTING FORECAST: 2/1 Karasenir, 100/30 William Hogarth, 9/2 Marc Aurele, 10/1 Hatton Flight, Rajamand, 12/1 Marleno, 14/1 Dereks, 16/1 Mister New York, 20/1 Rajnagan, 25/1 Goodwood Starlight.

DIOMED VERDICT: With a better round of jumping KARASENIR should be able to gain revenge on William Hogarth.

Class 1 listed race and fav consistently places in first 2. Only 4 under 14/1 should be the focus for the places.

435 KEMPTON
BETTING FORECAST: 5/4 Australia Day, 9/4 Katchit, 5/2 Noble Alan, 14/1 Farleigh House, 33/1 Rock Me, 66/1 Spider Boy.

DIOMED VERDICT: AUSTRALIA DAY (nap) can make all, just as he did at Market Rasen on his final appearance over jumps.