back-lay-trade-horses-football: 26/10

Heavy at Yarmouth. A pity so many good bets yesterday. I will stick with football today I think in the hope it offers a more solid opportunity to bag the one a day than horse racing .

*****ONE A DAY - 430pm - FC Timisoara v Vointa Sibiu - back FC Timisoara at 1.18 - £4k waiting to lay at 1.17 should provide liquidity ( and might be a sign of insider info but I will have faith in the odds and home advantage)*****

Job done for Porto. Wales showed why I prefer in running football 1-0 up then Kazaks equalised.

Yesterday was one of those days with great opportunities, largely because it was a bank holiday in Ireland.

Famous Name the horse to take out of yesterday. Drifted to 5/4 and trounced a group 3 field by 7 lengths. Shows personal faith over the market !

430pm - FC Timisoara v Vointa Sibiu - 1.18 home - Division 1 v Division 2 B in this Romanian Cup match. Timosoara's only losses in last 12 were against Man City in Europa League.
Vointa similarly unbeaten in last 12.
Timo just coming off the back of DWWWWW (latest first) £4K waiting to lay at 1.17 means liquid enough at present.
5pm - Senec v Zilina - 1.31 away - Slovak Cup - Zilina's only losses have been in Champions League and European competition in last 12. Division 2 v Division 1. Clearly Zilina are the dominant force in Slovak football at present.
530pm - Admira Wacker v First Vienna - 1.25 home -Austrian Division 2 - 3,3,4,2 the goals admira have scored against First Vienna in last 4 head to heads in 2009 and 2010.
IN RUNNING .
LWWWWDWWW in the league ( latest first) Lost away from home last time out after scoring first, so with trading in mind, and home advantage, Back Admira and lay off if they score first?
3,3,3,3,2,5,1,scored in last 7 at home. Ultra consistent recently.
Won 11 and drawn 1 at home.
7,6,1,5,5,2,4,2,4,4 the number of goals in First Vienna's league matches recently. 7/10 are over 3.5 goals.
LLWLWLLDLL in league in last 10 matches. Only 2 wins.
First Vienna have lost their last 6 away matches in the league.
7pm - Dinamo Bucharest v Alro Statina - 1.17 home - in running Romanian Cup sees Division 1 v Division 2 B - trust the market?
WWLLLDL (latest first) -back on the winning thread in the league and should gain a confidence boosting win at home ( remember same odds as Porto yesterday!)
7pm - Murcia v Real Madrid - 1.22 away - Champions League the reason Special One is at Madrid. Will they take this Cup match seriously? Watch out for changes. Remember Alcorcon!!
Both sides have not lost any of their last 12 matches but one is a Division 3 (Segundo B Grupo 4) team and the other we know all too well.
Team news the key to determining whether to pile in. Head to heads historically tight (1-0, 1-1, 2-1 (Murcia), 1-0) but last one was 2008. So a word of warning.
730pm - KV Kortrijk v Excelsior Virton - 1.31 home - not for me - big gulf in leagues but a home side in poor form and 0-0 in last cup head to head with this lot.
730pm - San Marino U17 v Latvia U17 - 1.16 away - San Marino lost last 12 but much improved to hold Ukraine 1-0 ( but then spanked 6-0 by Holland) Latvia kept Holland to 1-0 and drew 0-0 with Ukraine - expect them to win eventually perhaps?
8pm - Man Utd v Wolves - 1.39 home - no distractions for Mick surely? Premiership survival is all that matters? IN RUNNING - team news vital.
9pm - Ceuta v Barcelona - 1.27 away - likely changes but when you can bring in people like Jeffren and Pedro upfront, it hardly weakens the side. Again team news important to gauge whether this 1.27 is value.Segunda B Gruop 4 v Barca. Team news important of course.

130 YARMOUTH
BETTING FORECAST: Evs Long Awaited, 2/1 Above All, 4/1 First Mohican, 14/1 Tidal Star, 20/1 Twinkled, 50/1 Orthodox Lad, 66/1 Ace Master, Any Odds.

DIOMED VERDICT: Not much strength in depth and LONG AWAITED can get off the mark at the expense of Above All.

2 year olds and heavy ground not ideal mixture. But the market screams out only 3 of interest under 25/1 - trust the market?

215 PUNCHESTOWN
BETTING FORECAST: 4/5 Perfect Smile, 9/2 Ross Na Righ, 5/1 Crom Abu, 10/1 Wise Oscar, 12/1 Luddsdenene, 14/1 Epic Hero, Monroe Park, 20/1 Ten Pinhal, 25/1 Hold Your Breath, 50/1 Audrelles Dream, Mister Jim Jim.

Price gappers Famous Name, Jovial and Apt Manor all won yesterday. Perfect smile not run since a maiden hurdle fall in Jan 2010, but 1/2 in places and the admirable Paul Carberry rides.

230 YARMOUTH
BETTING FORECAST: 8/11 Sea Moon, 6/1 Raw Spirit, 15/2 Durante Alighieri, Little Rocky, 8/1 Maharana, 20/1 Aussie Dollar, Hawawi, 33/1 Border Abby, Flying Power, 40/1 Final Liberation, 50/1 Generous Pursuit, 66/1 Strangelittlegirl, 100/1 Easydoesit, If What And Maybe,

DIOMED VERDICT: The beautifully bred SEA MOON, who is closely related to the dam of Workforce, went into the notebook as a surefire maiden winner following his narrow defeat at Leicester.

Trust the market or realise this is a 2 year old one time outer tackling heavy ground for the first time. "surefire future winner" ran on good to soft last time.

240 TAUNTON
BETTING FORECAST: 1/2 Organisateur, 7/1 Classically, 8/1 Tignello, 12/1 Magroom, 16/1 Ballinteni, 20/1 We´Re Delighted, 25/1 Bari Bay, 33/1 Jumpjack Flint, Spinning Waters, 40/1 Aureate, Operachy, 66/1 Stellar Cause, 100/1 General Sam, Lethal Gun.

DIOMED VERDICT: ORGANISATEUR stands out on form, even though he has to concede weight all round.

Another huge price gapper for Nicholls. Has experience but Ruby must be in Ireland.

300 YARMOUTH
BETTING FORECAST: 11/4 Franki J, 3/1 No Complaining, 13/2 Broctune Papa Gio, 8/1 Via Aurelia, 10/1 House Point, Tsar Bomba, 12/1 Zarius, 16/1 Miss Blink, 20/1 Miss Kitty Grey, 25/1 Far View, Reddy To Star, 28/1 Dudley, Thewinnatakesitall, 33/1 Book Smart.

DIOMED VERDICT: FRANKI J (nap) has a convincing chance on paper given she's 2-2 at Yarmouth and ahead of the handicapper turned out under a penalty following her wide-margin success last Tuesday. No Complaining is also interesting.