Sunday 16 December 2007

16/12

Franchoek far too short - not " a shade of odds on as I expected" - 1/3 and still lost
Desert Quest unplaced. Nenaphaur Collonges won at 4/1 Kazal lost ( big field) and Osako Dairy lost (heavy ground) Arondo another each way 4th - d'oh !
Lobenugla won in the race where Confidentiality was a non runner, but we could have stil backed the front 2 but the bet was really to be cactioned with Confidentiality running.
Berbatov ensured there was no 4th consecutive 0-0 at Portsmouth. 51st minute for 2nd goal in Brum game was fine for overs traders to engineer a green screen after the 2nd goal despite the game finishing 1-1 .Leeds only managed a draw alas
140 CORK
AP McCoy travelling to Cork to ride Foreman - a hint perhaps - each way backers will hopefully see a place
1255 NAVAN
BETTING FORECAST: 5/4 Sweet Kiln, 11/8 Jazz Messenger, 7/1 Studmaster, 8/1 Adamant Approach, 12/1 Vic Venturi, 14/1 Earth Magic, 33/1 Cloudy Bays, 50/1 Max Almighty,

Priced as a 2 horse race this can be approached in any number of ways
1) back Sweet Kiln and JAzz messenger using dutching, perhaps to level stakes as long as the prices in the live market reflect those shown above
2) look for a potential shock - it is the jumps after all. 3rd fav is priced at 14/1 so a throw away level stakes bet on the remaining horses with a view to losing the stake will cover any surprises or falls amongst the 2 likely to dominate.
3) Place only bet on Sweet Kiln or Jazz messenger
4) A toss of a coin bet on Sweet Kiln or Jazz messenger to win only. Simply take a pick and hope

FOOTY
Dominated by the big 4 today.
Man Utd have won 4 and drawn 1 of the last 5 meetings over the years and only once has the score breached the over 2.5 goals. The last time the big 4 met involving Man UTd was a 2-2 draw with the Arse. Will this be replicated with another of the top 4 today?
I don't know. We have some superb attacking talent on show but I will still edge towards under 2.5 goals trading - starting price 1.71.
I will try an under 2.5 goals trade in the Arsenal v Chelsea match.

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