Monday 22 October 2007

22 OCT

Nothing yesterday
PRICE GAPPERS
520 PLUMPTON
BETTING FORECAST: 4/5 Ocean Du Moulin, 7/2 Quintessentially, 6/1 Ashleys Poppy, 10/1 Archie Gunn, Winsley Hill, 25/1 Crank Hill .

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: OCEAN DU MOULIN boasts the best piece of form courtesy of his second at Kempton and, with fitness an unlikely stumbling block on his return to action, he'll be tough to turn over if handling the conditions
Ground concerns here do not make this a templated bet, but positives include the small field and 3 horses at 10/1 or greater. if we have him we'll be betting on the horse's ability to handle the ground and replicate his most recent performance.

400 WOLVES
BETTING FORECAST: 1/2 High Standing, 8/1 Loose Caboose, 14/1 Howards Hope, Mystickhill, Princess Rhianna, 16/1 Copperbottomed, Gulf Coast, 20/1 Border Defence, 25/1 Mairead´s Boy, 33/1 Myriola, Silca Destination, 50/1 Lekin Sedona, Madame Rio .

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: HIGH STANDING had loads in hand when running away with a Kempton nursery last week and he should be able to defy this penalty with ease. Howards Hope and Loose Caboose look best of the rest.[PSm

God Help me - a 2 year old class 6 nursery over 5 furlongs on the all weather - the kind of price gap that jumps off the page. Slight concerns regarding penalty and tough draw - the draw is an increasingly important factor the shorter the distances.
The price gap remains this morning at 8/13 - - - 8/1, and at 8/13 he's worth a punt . Jamie Spencer still needs winners so I'll put my faith in him. Spotlight " should" be able is not the most confident wording

My one selection I think will be High Standing BUT 5 furlongs, lowest grade nursery ( equivalent of a handicap) - penalty and bad draw are all convincing arguments against the horse. Ocean de Moulin - small field 3 "presumed" outsiders - fewer rivals
EACH WAYS
245 CURRAGH
Sine Dei - 3rd then 2nd is progressing and at 4/1 is a decent each way hope
220 PLUMPTON
BETTING FORECAST: 7/4 Soulard, 9/2 Art Market, 6/1 Boot ´n Toot, Count Kristo, 13/2 Brave Bugsy, 8/1 Rapid Increase, 10/1 Ohana, 33/1 Ground Patrol, Mr Joe Platinum, Smokey The Bear, 50/1 Napoletano, Starofthemorning, 100/1 Inching West, Minstrel Flyer.

Half the field are 33/1 or over - can we leave these out of our calculations? If so, then we have 7 horses on the shortlist for an each way selection. I will opt for Brave Bugsy each way, nestled in the centre and looks priced to be competitive for a place at least
230 WOLVES
BETTING FORECAST: 5/2 Swinbrook, 3/1 Councellor, 5/1 Ninth House, 6/1 Ochre Bay, 8/1 Local Poet, Onenightinlisbon, 16/1 Swing The Ring, 20/1 On The Map, 33/1 King´s Spear, 100/1 Just Crystal, Mays Louise, Quorn Master.
Again, 6 before 16/1 and we can assume they should be good place only candidates at least in this poor claimer. Ochre BAy for me here each way

TWIN CYCLES - came in with the minimum of fuss. REmember we are not restricted just by chosing horse races. Any 2 person/team event is ideal for ttwin cycle betting , such as tennis, rugby ( without the draw) ,even baccarat on betfair games!. Use your imagination. As to today,

520 PLUMPTON
BETTING FORECAST: 4/5 Ocean Du Moulin, 7/2 Quintessentially, 6/1 Ashleys Poppy, 10/1 Archie Gunn, Winsley Hill, 25/1 Crank Hill .

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: OCEAN DU MOULIN boasts the best piece of form courtesy of his second at Kempton and, with fitness an unlikely stumbling block on his return to action, he'll be tough to turn over if handling the conditions.[AWJ]
I return to this race and the first 2 should give us a run for our money although this is a bumper it is a small field

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