Wednesday 17 October 2007

17 OCT

The price market confirmed Plavius as NOT a price gapper – 4/6 Prime Exhibit - - - 9/4 Plavius told you all you needed to know regarding the confidence of the expensive buy. Prime Exhibit went on to win and Plavius – well he’s still running I think. Collection won with the minimum of fuss. The problem is with these obvious selections, the price collapses – this didn’t stop me backing at 1.47 and laying at 1.20 in running for a relatively straightforward profit
Mr Wise Guy 8th at 9/1. Marzelline came 3rd at 15/2, paying out for the place on Betfair ( 7 runners from 8 runner field mean the bookies only paid out on the first 2)

Misplaced fortune came 3rd at 11/4. Twin cycles came in 1st and 2nd , both at over evens which was a bonus.

KEMPTON

750

BETTING FORECAST: 2/1 Gipsy Prince, 11/2 Spinning Ridge, 6/1 High Standing, 8/1 Southwest Star, 10/1 Alabama Spirit, 12/1 Cordon Bleu, 14/1 Valentino Sky, 16/1 Battlecruiser, Don´t Tell Anna, Joss Stick, Madame Rio, 33/1 Eastbourne.

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: Valentino Sky wouldn’t be the first son of Stravinsky to improve for the fitting of headgear and he could go well at a price, but GIPSY PRINCE (nap) looked better than this grade when a ready winner here last time and can defy his penalty before being upped in grade

Gipsy Prince is not quite short enough to be an ideal, but is worthy of a second look due to Spotlight’s comment. Again not an ideal price gapper, a la Collection yesterday which was the first proper one in a long while. May be worth an investment, and looks better as a place only bet

335 UTTOXETER

BETTING FORECAST: 11/8 Earlsfield Raider, 5/1 Chunky Lad, 7/1 Paradise Expected, 8/1 Tashkandi, 10/1 Harry´s Lane, 12/1 Ashgrove Express, 14/1 Monash Lad, Mrs Bridge, 16/1 Sninfia, 33/1 Red Sea Raven, 50/1 Bonney Flame, Colemanstown, Royal Sailor, Sharp Duo.

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: One-time useful hurdler EARLSFIELD RAIDER only just failed to exploit a drop into this grade last time and, with conditions fine, he can gain recompense here.[BDO]

Good enough price gap –drop in grade – but a selling hurdle ,class 5 so nothing to get over excited about. A second when last dropped into this grade, an obvious opportunity to gain recompense, but it must be added again that this is NOT an ideal price gapper like Collection – now “will be very hard to beat” from Spotlight

Again nothing I can confidently say – YES to ,like Collection yesterday.

EACH WAY

220 LINGFIELD

BETTING FORECAST: 100/30 Whispered Dreams, 7/2 Elizabeth Swann, 8/1 Dhhamaan, Our Chairman, Sweet Hope, 12/1 Connor´s Choice, Hla Tun, Solemn, 14/1 Hennessy Island, Wannabe Free, 16/1 Game Park, 20/1 Toasted Special, 50/1 Ski Sunday, 100/1 Southpaw Lad.

Another Godolphin easy winner or a flop? That’s Whispered dreams. 5 horses before 12/1 and it may be worth an each way interest in Elizabeth Swann, a multiple 2nd placer should place again at the very least. I’m not sure what the price will be in this maiden – all dependent on Whispered Dreams support

250 LING

BETTING FORECAST: 9/4 Samuel Charles, 4/1 Katiypour, Mineral Star, 7/1 Mozakhraf, 14/1 Chalentina, 16/1 Angel Voices, Izabela Hannah, Tipsy Lad, 25/1 Captain Darling, Rafferty, 33/1 Pivotal Era, Windy Prospect, 66/1 Da Schadenfreude, Mujobliged.

4 before 14/1, worth an each way punt on Mozakharaf

355 LING

BETTING FORECAST: 9/4 Aide Memoir, 11/4 Ernie Owl, 4/1 Kylayne, May Day Queen, 10/1 Pha Mai Blue, 14/1 Swallow Star, 25/1 Little Knickers, 100/1 Sharps Gold, 200/1 Miss Willoughby.

Again 4 before 10/1 should be able to place and I’ll opt for Kylayne each way

NOT TWIN CYCLES TODAY – worth waiting for a good opportunity

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