1 NOV

Well I left you in very good shape - back from London and in the Cork country side at the moment where broadband is a little shaky so I'll try to get selections done
PRICE GAPPERS
155 CLONMEL
BETTING FORECAST: 6/4 Absolute Image, 5/1 Ophorique, 6/1 Tipolino, 8/1 Arasaris, Man Of Integrity, Western Whisky, 10/1 Amaryllis, Milltown Boss, 12/1 Miss Aurelia, 14/1 Bet Out Of It, Saddler´s Lass, 20/1 Getyourfingerout, Golden Gem, Hazelwood Supreme, Lisa´s Fancy, Sir Poppins, 25/1 Just Todd, 50/1 Patternmaker,
SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: ABSOLUTE IMAGE (nap) has proved a difficult horse to place since winning twice on the Flat as a three-year-old in 2005, but has been found a fine opportunity on only his second run over hurdles. The Indian Ridge gelding showed a high level of form at his best on the Flat, as illustrated by placed efforts in successive outings of the prestigious Tote Galway Mile. He would have finished a little closer but for being squeezed for room on the run to the final flight when fifth to Captain Cee Bee on his hurdling debut at Punchestown, and the form stood up when Jered won at the same venue yesterday.\n

A great price gap here and yes, another fecking maiden fecking hurdle! The commentary reads as if the horse is installed as favourite based on flat form more than anythin concrete over hurdles. I will venture a place only bet here OR back before running and lay off at (hopefully) shorter prices as the race progresses - I see the horse being involved at the business end, but would not confidently back it for a win
255 CLONMEL
BETTING FORECAST: 7/4 Sher Beau, 9/2 Anothercoppercoast, 8/1 O´Muircheartaigh, 10/1 Letterman, 12/1 For A Song, 14/1 Healy´s Pub, I´ll Call You Back, Meet The Family, 16/1 Some Legend, 20/1 Pottersway, 25/1 Doranstown Boy, Will Be Done.
SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: SHER BEAU was campaigned at a high level last year and is the one they all have to beat. Philip Fenton's Beau Sher gelding has a high rating (145) for a horse who has won only one race over fences (at Gowran in January 2006), but his mark can be justified with reference to his form in smart company last season, most significantly a third placing behind In Compliance and War Of Attrition in the John Durkan Memorial at Punchestown. He did not enjoy much fortune afterwards, and his luck was really out at Killarney in May when he fell at the last with a good prize at his mercy. The beneficiary Jim is a higher-rated horse than any of these.
A 172 day absence to overcome is a little offputting, but a positive commentary and one I would chance for win only, as the odds are most likley going to be odds against. There is a niggle though that the 2nd and 3rd market leaders would be value each way bets instead of going for the market leader, but I will stick with the win only bet myself. It's up to you - eachway potential versus short price
300 NEEWCASTLE
BETTING FORECAST: 15/8 Willie The Fish, 5/1 Mister Magnum, 8/1 Super Revo, 10/1 Looking Forward, 12/1 Black Smoke, Blazing Hills, Celtic Flow, Farington Lodge, 14/1 Jupsala, Solemn Vow, 20/1 Middleway, 25/1 King´s Envoy, 40/1 Tudor Oak, 50/1 Scurry Dancer, 100/1 Lochanee.
SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: WILLIE THE FISH (nap), rated 27lb lower over fences than he is over hurdles after his runaway Hexham success last month, has to be given the chance to exploit his attractive mark and he ran well enough on fast ground over hurdles on his previous start to suggest he'll cope whichever way the ground goes. Super Revo looks the danger

You may consider PArks Prodigy in th 1pm but I'm put off by the distinct lack of enthusiasm from Spotlight. There is a similar argument with this Willie the Fish - T 5\4 IT'S A BACKAble price and the price gap is still there in the morning market, but this is a 3 miler and it's a long way to carry my moolah! Preference for me, given the race distance , would be to back the horse and montior in running
12o STRATFORD
BETTING FORECAST: 5/4 Blaeberry, 7/2 Kawagino, 5/1 Carnival Town, 11/2 Megaton, 10/1 Methodical, 11/1 Sole Agent.
SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: The key horse is BLAEBERRY, who is the clear pick on hurdles form, including at a similar trip and ground. This is a different discipline altogether but she will be very hard to beat if she can show anything akin to that hurdling ability first time out over fences.
Another "will be very hard to beat" - ........"if" horses, and ,as Boylessports say are you willing to play the "if"?
Kawagino is clearly too close for this to be a proper price gapper so whether you'll back the horse or not will be determined by whether you think the horse can replicate hurdles form in this new discipline
COMMENT - not a straightforward day by any means - Sher Beau probably for me today although I have chosen wrongly in the past
EACH WAY
Going great at the moment and the seeds aof something here, limiting ourelves to 3 bets only really ensures focus on best qualifers
110 LINGFIELD
BETTING FORECAST: 7/2 Anne Of Kiev, 4/1 Debonnaire, Edie Superstar, 5/1 Sarah´s First, 8/1 Welsh Opera, 10/1 Badoura, 16/1 Siren Sound, 20/1 Flower Song, 25/1 Oriental Girl, 33/1 Moluccella, Rowan Dancer, 50/1 Silky Steps, 66/1 Miss Okaloosa, Super Starlet.
SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: Several to consider. Edie Superstar is likely to make another bold bid from the front but could have difficulty shaking off DEBONNAIRE whose form looks more solid. Anne Of Kiev and Welsh Opera are likely improvers, while Badoura and Sarah's First have been done no favours by the draw.[FC]
A maiden filliews race so not an ideal betting medium, but the betting forecast indicates 6 at most to consider. We learn that BAdoura has a bad draw so we can discount that one, leaving 5 to chose from, one of which we want to place at least. Sarahs First for me, just outside favouritism
240 LINGFIELD
BETTING FORECAST: 3/1 Fidelia, 5/1 Sesmen, 11/2 Wagtail, 8/1 Chatila, Enforce, 12/1 Lady Livius, Persian Express, Tiana, 14/1 Daniella, Ivory Lace, 16/1 Tanzanite, 20/1 Precocious Star.
SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: Doubts over several of these and Ivory Lace and Tanzanite could go well despite having a bit to find on the figures. Chatila is of some interest back at 1m, but FIDELIA (nap) ran well in a hot contest at Ascot last time and can prove the answer.[
I'll side with Fidelia each way - a listed race and a fav at each way(ish) odds
310 LING
BETTING FORECAST: 3/1 Market Forces, 4/1 Mussoorie, 6/1 Gower Song, Pivotal Answer, 10/1 Dance Of Light, Loulwa, 12/1 Guilia, 14/1 Peppertree, 16/1 Kerriemuir Lass, 20/1 Elegant Hawk, 25/1 Silca Key, 33/1 Intiquilla, Postage Stampe.
SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: Musoorie came out best of those that ran in the Severals Stakes last time and is respected, but the pair to come here in the best heart are MARKET FORCES and Pivotal Answer. The former is narrowly preferred, with the likely decent gallop sure to suit her now she drops back in trip.[PSm]
Another listed race so we can hope he market is accurate enough Mussoorie each way for me

NO dutching for me today with intermittent broadband