25/11

Hardy Eustace won, Pouvoir was a gallant 2nd having run out of petrol when leading in the final few yards. I was expecting perhaps too much for Taranis to win in such a big and competitive field but I thought the price gap merited some kind of backing - place only backers would have seen a return as he came in 4th. Well done to KAuto Star, in ground not ideal, he still managed to win and place only backers were happy. With Rajeh disappointing, I only really had Gauvain running for me, and that one finished 2nd. WHy can't they all be like Racing Demon? Never a doubt and worthy of inclusion in my betting plans even at 1/3 against one rival.The 2 races I put up to back 3 horses to level stakes shouldn't strictly have been considered as at least one horse was below 3/1 in both races, and I did mention this. This veers from the usual each way option and ,although we were successful with a 9/1 shot the other day using this, perhaps over jumps it's not worth doing.BAnknote unplaced
You'll notice the acca was a "mug punter's " acca, and time and time again, one team lets you down. I am disappointed because I did not account for Bolton's recent performance against Bayern Munich, or Man Utd's slightly weakened team -you now know why accas are the bookies favourites and why I advocated laying these in the multiples, but I couldn't resist yesterday. Over 2.5 goals were slo close with 2 2-0's. Backing Arsenal overs half time as suggested would have allowed a marginal trading profit with the 2 late goals. I really didn't think it would take them nearlyy 80 minutes to break through. This is a general pattern isn't it with bottom versus top - EVENTUALLY......
Liverpool were great as were Portsmouth scoring the first goal. BAyern Munich won, but at 2/9 it's not great shakes losing the liability on that one - about £20 for every £100 profit


I'll stick with traditional each ways today - yesterday 1st (Hardy) 2nd(pouvoir) and unplaced(Banknote)
105 AINTREE
BETTING FORECAST: 4/6 Tramantano, 5/4 Cedrus Libani .
SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: Tramantano boasts the better form but CEDRUS LIBANI may be a more straightforward conveyance and is taken to add to his recent chasing debut success
A 2 horse race ,bookies can't split them - they can't offer evens the pair otherwise there's no profit margin. One for the twin cycles with ease. You could select one horse and hope he wins -it's just strange to find a r2 horse race where they can't be split
325 AINTREE
BETTING FORECAST: Evs Butler´s Cabin, 11/2 Action Strasse, 8/1 Stolen Moments, 12/1 Go For One, Pimbury, 14/1 Sea Senor, 16/1 Seize, Spare Me, 20/1 Ballabriggs, Clear The Way, Coq Hardi, 25/1 Original Fly, 100/1 Leprechaun´s Maite .
SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: Several of these, such as Stolen Moments, Action Strasse and Pimbury, would have been very interesting in normal circumstances and they can count themselves most unlucky to be meeting the very classy chaser BUTLER'S CABIN on terms so favourable to him
ANother price gapper a la Taranis. 13 runners and good to soft ground. This is also the last race at the course so the ground will have cut up over previous races.
Looks an ideal trading horse to back before the off and lay off in incrementsd - right man on board - I'm just worried about the ground.
1255 NAVAN
BETTING FORECAST: 3/1 Rathmore Castle, 7/2 Antipode, 9/2 Liskennett, 5/1 Clew Bay Lodge, Major Finnegan, 6/1 Gem Daly, 7/1 Life For Rent, 14/1 Deal Maker, 16/1 Bob Lingo, 66/1 Dai Lo.

3 horses priced 50/1 or over reduce the field to 7, take away Rathnmore castle at 2/1 and we have 6 fighting for 2 place only payouts. The market is tight with the remaining horses and the hope is we can select on e who can place at least. Gem Daly each way for me
205 PLUMPTON

BETTING FORECAST: 5/2 Gansey, 11/4 Teamgeist, 6/1 Strong Coffee, 8/1 Noble Ben, 12/1 Aimigayle, Galoshes, Red Rattle, 16/1 Wheres Johnny, 25/1 Orfeo Conti, The Speaker, 33/1 Shortgate Lane, 100/1 Willow Hall,
11/4 is a reasonable each way price for Teamgeist who should be competitive for the place at least, preference is for the place only aspect of the bet with a little on for the win only
7 of the field are 25/1 and over which, theoretically , reduces rivals
Soft ground at TOwcester is off putting
FOOTBALL
West Midlands Derby at 12, and West Brom really have a great home record, but this goes out of the window on derby days. . I'll be looking for West Brom to consolidate good recent results and edge this. I'll be laying Wolves here again as a trade and NOT a bet
West Ham V Spuds -it's got to be over 2.5 goals this game surely (and don't call me Shirley) - I can see West Ham conceding and I can see the Spuds conceding. Doubtless this will remain 0-0 but I will chance the over 2.5 goals trade. I hope for an early goal as the opportunitiy might be there to trade out of the bet quickly. I realise with a new man in charge of SPurs we might see a tightened defence (you never know, it is panto season!) but I am also aware that he brought exciting attacking football to Sevilla. So over 2.5 goals it'll be then!
GEtafe away to Zaragoza represents a speculative punt at 11/4. They have been mighty impressive against REal and Barca recently and really seem to have been galvanised by Michael Laudrup. It's no mortgage job but worthy of a small interest especially if the game is in running