19/11

2 seconds at 8/1 and 11/4 and the only horse unplaced ran at Fontwell where the ground was hardly the good to firm mentioned in the Racing Post. Watch out for any deterioration in ground conditions if you can because changes will mean different horses become more fancied. Pity that as I would never have bet had I seen the ground conditions prior to writing the blog.
Today begins with a 0-45 class 7 contest - yes it's that kind of day - personally I would contemplate a no bet day today but here's a couple of potentials - the low grade racing is offputting today
420 KEMPTON
BETTING FORECAST: 7/4 Highest Esteem, 5/1 Fenners, 6/1 Fantasy Ride, 7/1 Recalcitrant, 10/1 Papradon, Raydan, 12/1 Ashwell Rose, 16/1 Squiffy, 25/1 Bolckow, 33/1 Full Of Promise, 50/1 Beliar, Divine River, Itsawindup, Sir Sandicliffe .
SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: HIGHEST ESTEEM, who's related to a couple of useful winners on this surface, is the progressive one and clearly the one to beat under a penalty. Fenners and Fantasy Ride are obvious each-way alternatives
On a card where all races are Class 6, including this one. |High esteem is now 9/4 with next best 13/2 - yes we have the "clearly the one to beat" but the other Spotlight mentions the horse has more on his plate with the penalty. High esteem won his last race and gets a penalty for that. The race type is offputting as this is low grade stuff. On the plus side 9/4 is a good price and the price gap remains. Not one that immediately jumps off the page though - can we rely on horses in such low grade contests?
EACH WAY
110 LEICESTER
BETTING FORECAST: 9/4 Inchlaggan, 11/4 Ardesia, 4/1 Approved Force, 11/2 Present, 10/1 Starbougg, 20/1 Colditz, Hall Of Fame, Tina´s Ridge, 50/1 Beckenham´s Secret .
SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: David Pipe knows where he stands with Ardesia so it's interesting that he's happy to take him on with INCHLAGGAN (nap), who will find this a good deal easier than at Kempton last time and is capable of winning some more over hurdles
BEckenhams secret is out and the money has come for Inchlaggan. Ardesia, Approved force, Present and Starbougg look the ones to concentrate from an each way perspective.
I will opt for Present each way in the hope the race won't end up 1-2-3 as per the first 3 in the betting forecast
340 LEICESTER
BETTING FORECAST: 2/5 Rajeh, 8/1 The Cayterers, 10/1 Genari, 12/1 Joshua´s Gold, 14/1 Mr Wiseguy, 16/1 Billy Murphy, 25/1 Faversham, 33/1 Lord Of The Bridge, No Telling, 66/1 Scott, 100/1 Aviemore, Kingscourt Lad, Quick Judgement .
SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: It is difficult to get away from \RAJEH in an uncompetitive affair. The Cayterers may be the best each-way alternative.With RAjeh now out, The cayterers is still an each way price. MR Wiseguy is the one they've slashed to 5/2 from 14/1. Perhaps not an ideal race to get involved in as Rajeh is now missing but as the CAyterers remains at 7/2 he may be worth chancing for place prospects at least