Friday 3 July 2009

3/7

One a day in the bag yesterday. In fact yesterday was an outstanding day - just one of those days where there were many many outstanding one a day bets, from the Williams sisters to Anorthosis and Rosenborg double, to plenty of horses.
No excuses yesterday. There were so many opportunities yesterday I used a £300 bank instead of £100 so I could cover more bets ( I know - naughty boy! This is meant to be ONE A DAY!)
THe live chat was outstanding in the afternoon session but was victim to poor racing in the evening with not many bets in the evening.

210 WARWICK
BETTING FORECAST: 5/2 Highland Storm, 9/2 Blazing Buck, 5/1 Kirkson, 11/2 First Spirit, 8/1 Bounty Reef, 10/1 Cherry Belle, Mystic Prince, 14/1 Strongarm, 25/1 Just Dan, 33/1 Jeronimo Joe.

DIOMED VERDICT: HIGHLAND STORM is better than plating class and should be up to winning this with a visor to help focus.

Price gapper in the live market in this poor seller 1.24 to place - the only one sub 2.00 in the place market by a mile - we must be ever mindful of the race type

240 WARWICK
BETTING FORECAST: 11/10 Silver Grecian, 7/2 Toga Tiger, 5/1 Jehu, 11/2 Abandagold, 8/1 Apostle Of Rome.

DIOMED VERDICT: SILVER GRECIAN shaped like a decent performer when winning at Newmarket and is worth following.

Now heavy odds on with Jehu out - 1.1 to place - very well supported in win market - 50/50 race

310 WARWICK
BETTING FORECAST: 13/8 Makaam, 9/4 Steel Free, 9/2 Papyrian, 11/2 Prime Circle, 16/1 Double Moon, 20/1 Square Of Gold, 25/1 Lady Lam, 50/1 Wivny, 150/1 Avonlini.

DIOMED VERDICT: MAKAAM is worth another chance as soft ground was possibly against him on his turf debut last time.

4 only under 16/1. 3 horses cannot really be separated at around 9/4 - 5/2 and the hope is that the race revolves around these for place only purposes 1.46 , 1.34 , 1.28 the front 3 to place

325 SANDOWN
BETTING FORECAST: Evs Pytheas, 6/1 Logos Astra, 8/1 Beyond The City, 10/1 Halyard, Poor Prince, 14/1 Bubbly Braveheart, Dreamspeed, 16/1 Branderburgo, 20/1 Number One Guy, 25/1 City Of Rome, 50/1 Barastar, White Devil.

DIOMED VERDICT: PYTHEAS can boost Mark Johnston's 26% strike-rate with juveniles on this track.

You remember this one -I place backed him on his debut for Mark Johnston 1.2 to place - should do the job today after only going down by a small margin

335 DONCASTER
BETTING FORECAST: 6/4 French Applause, 5/1 Arteus, Kloof, 7/1 Navajo Nation, 10/1 Sams Lass, 12/1 Dukes Art, Primaeval, 33/1 Bermondsey Girl, Emerald Hawk.

DIOMED VERDICT: FRENCH APPLAUSE (nap) built on a pleasing debut when clear of the remainder at York a few weeks ago and is the one to beat.

2 seconds in maiden company and odds on again augurs well 1.16 to place

445 DONCASTER
BETTING FORECAST: 6/4 Royal Dignitary, 7/4 Flawed Genius, 8/1 Aussie Blue, Singleb, 12/1 Mick Is Back, 16/1 Superior Duchess.

DIOMED VERDICT: Flawed Genius and ROYAL DIGNITARY stand out, and consistency swings the issue narrowly in favour of the Nicholls runner.

Dominated by the front 2? 1.32 and 1.27 the front 2 to place

515 DONCASTER
BETTING FORECAST: Evs Global Conquest, 7/2 Sakhee´s Pearl, 5/1 Rock Art, 6/1 Cactus Curtsey, 12/1 Highland Starlight, 50/1 Cranworth Blaze, 66/1 Kaikoura,

DIOMED VERDICT: This doesn't look a race to get carried away with, but GLOBAL CONQUEST is solid enough

Price gapper here
Hopefully still 3 places on betfair 1.14 and yes, 3 places

TENNIS
FAith in Fed today?1.08 a bit short
After devastating yesterday the Williams sisters team up at 1.19 in the doubles, a day before they take on the singles woman's title. Motivation for today? Venus was imperious yesterday and the game took noting out of her. Serena had a bit of a battle!

FOOTY
nothing appeals

SHORTLIST
210 WARWICK - Highland Storm big price gapper in live market and obviously thought better than selling class given 2nd fav is 7/1 . 1.24 to place but we must remember the race type

240 WARWICK - looks best probability race today with Silver Grecian 1/3 to win and 1.1 to place , ie not get beaten by 2 horses in a 4 horse race

325 SANDOWN - when they're fancied, it's time to get on. Pytheas is 1.2 and a price gapper or the Johnston stable

335 DONCASTER - French applause 1.16 to place has consistent 2nd placed form.

ONE A DAY
240 Warwick -Silver Grecian looks to have the best probability chance today at 1.1 to place in a 50/50 race
325 Sandown - Pytheas for the Mark Johnston yard should go close surely at 1.2?

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