Monday 20 July 2009

20/7 UPDATE

Job done yesterday in the 400 Newbury with the 2 mentioned horses 1st and 2nd
Thought I'd start with a couple of interesting friendlies today.
Malaysian XI v Manchester United - United are 1/12 and scraped through another friendly 3-2. Shamrock Rovers play Real Madrid. A game I was going to see in Limerick if I wasn't in Guernsey. 1/10 they are

Should make for a decent double? 1.09 and 1.14 (the latter Real Madrid)
Of course they are friendlies but the Real Madrid game sees Ronaldo's debut and he will want to impress no doubt along with the other newcomers

600 BEVERLEY
BETTING FORECAST: 1/2 Diamond Laura, 7/1 Mrs Jones And Me, 10/1 High Rolling, Menediva, 12/1 Daisy Brown, 33/1 Cygnet Committee, Foricherforpoorer, Three Sons, Your Ladyship.

DIOMED VERDICT: The AW claimer won easily by DIAMOND LAURA early in the month was stronger than this and it's hard to find any reason to take her on.

1st opportunity comes in a 2 year old claimer-that's how poor the racing is today 1.1 to place -now 2/5 and 1/3 to win in places in what is a very poor race.
1.09 to place
630 BEVERLEY
BETTING FORECAST: 2/1 Graceful Descent, 100/30 Gulf Of Aqaba, 7/2 Maybe I Wont, 9/2 Honimiere, 8/1 Coral Shores, 20/1 Kingsholm, 33/1 Able Dara, Orchestrion.

DIOMED VERDICT: GRACEFUL DESCENT put up a cracking performance in defeat here last time and deserves to get her head in front.

5 horses under 20/1 and 8 places 1.29 to place but has probability chances if indeed this is a 5 horse race and there's 3 places 5 horses under 25/1 -the fav is 1.37 to place

650 WINDSOR
BETTING FORECAST: 4/5 Slip, 5/2 Nawamees, 7/1 The Saucy Snipe, 10/1 Lady Jinks, 20/1 Everyman, 25/1 Soul Singer, Tabulate, 50/1 Lilleput, 66/1 Safari.

DIOMED VERDICT: NAWAMEES may be able to edge out Slip over this longer trip.

4 under 20/1 SLip is 1.18 to place SLip an important non runner surely leaves Nawamees as the default place only choice in a race where only 3 are under 14/1 in this race 1.13 to place

SHORTLIST
Man Utd at 1.09 is in the bag so one a day is in the bag for me at a rubbish price
Of the horses 600 BEverley Diamond Laura looks solid at 1.09 and 650 Windsor Nawamees should take advantage of strong fav's non runner status, as he's the only remaining horse left under 7/1
1.13 is reasonable for him

I'm happy with both of these and Real Madrid against Shamrock Rovers at 1.12
In time order I guess Diamond Laura but I must reiterate this is a shocking race!

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