BETTING FORECAST: 7/4 Sweet Hollow, 5/1 Going For Gold, Prelude, Princess Rainbow, Punch Drunk, 16/1 Babilu, 20/1 Amethyst Dawn, 66/1 Lilymay.
| DIOMED VERDICT: SWEET HOLLOW probably wouldn't want it like a road but her Chepstow defeat was put in a different light by the winner last weekend and a mark of 71 looks to offer a bit of scope. |
6 and 3 places and 1 33/1 horse- going for gold is the fav by default really
Probability race but going for gold was quoted at 5/1 so not much confidence in him initially 1.37 to place and 3 places
220 PERTH
BETTING FORECAST: 8/11 Pengana, 4/1 Foretto, 9/1 Papadopoli, 11/1 Sierra Peak, 14/1 Parson´s Punch, 25/1 Macartheys Double, 33/1 Endeavor, Fettler, Killiney Present, 40/1 Desert Soul, 50/1 Bed Fellow.
| DIOMED VERDICT: PENGANA won well last time and this looks no more difficult. |
There is nothing better in life than writing on the soles of your slippers with a biro ( half man half biscuit) OR seeing AP McCoy on an odds on shot, cos this boy is as honest as they come.
Price gapper now 1/2 1.1 to place
230 YARMOUTH
BETTING FORECAST: 11/8 Showcasing, 7/2 Seamster, 5/1 Demonstrative, 8/1 Azizi, Cansili Star, 14/1 Professor John, 20/1 Refuse To Tell, 33/1 Amno Dancer, 50/1 Kahail, Securitisation, 66/1 Edward Whymper.
| DIOMED VERDICT: A promising debut by SHOWCASING gives him the edge. |
Short priced fav based on one run against some interesting debutants from big stables. Notice ,too, Barney Curley Securitisation - superb gambling yard
Fav head 2nd of 13 only time out 1.1 to place after only one run - not at that price!
240 HAYDOCK
BETTING FORECAST: 4/7 Rose Blossom, 7/2 Avonrose, 9/2 Lady Springbank, 25/1 Dazakhee, 33/1 Gracelightening.
| DIOMED VERDICT: Rose Blossom has been found a good opportunity to resume winning ways after her Royal Ascot defeat. |
Another decent enough opportunity - A 3 horse race surely and 2 places and a strong favourite - 1.18 to place here in what should be a 3 horse race - a reasonable probability chance
250 PERTH
BETTING FORECAST: Evs Aggie´s Lad, 3/1 No Panic, 7/2 Valerius, 8/1 Shannon Springs, 20/1 Carrick Dhu, 40/1 Leading Pearl, 66/1 Brocks Brae, 100/1 Devons Boy, Ellandshe, Inisheer.
| DIOMED VERDICT: AGGIE'S LAD can give the weight to Valerius and No Panic. |
AND ANOTHER palce only opportunity in the absence of Shannon Springs. 4 horses under 66/1 - just make sure you pick the 3 who'll place!
AP is on Aggies so I suppose is default given his recent great summer jumps form 1.15, 1.22, 1.27 the front 3 to place. Looks to principally concern these 3 only
320 PERTH
BETTING FORECAST: 13/8 Intense Suspense, 5/1 Obara D´Avril, 8/1 Genari, 10/1 Guerilla, 12/1 Beau Largesse, 14/1 One Black Cat, Pugnacity, 20/1 Countrywide Sun, Dippy Duck, Mystic Glen, 25/1 Solway Blue, 33/1 Nomore Cloudydays, Robertstown Rover, The Sheepdipper, 40/1 Foxy Nell, West End Wonder, 50/1 Patavian, 66/1 Vision Victory.
| DIOMED VERDICT: INTENSE SUSPENSE (nap) makes plenty of appeal back over hurdles after his successes in points. |
Been winning over points this fav and a price gapper in such a big field
BUT conditional jockeys and handicap hurdle 1.44 to place - probably not a short lister given the race type
400 YARMOUTH
BETTING FORECAST: 9/4 Luc Jordan, 11/4 Buckie Boy, 5/1 Bomber Brown, 8/1 Adnams, Highway Code, Laaheb, 10/1 Freedom Fire, 66/1 Ann Birkett, 100/1 Cyber Space.
| DIOMED VERDICT: LUC JORDAN can get off the mark at expense of Buckie Boy. |
3 2nds for this fav who has been a selection of mine to place in tha past. 7/4 in places but a few 5/1 horses waiting in the wings 1.42 to place does not sound any real note of confidence in this twice placed maiden. Those with glass half full will see a great place price for a horse who has proven form
430 YARMOUTH
BETTING FORECAST: 2/1 Cwm Rhondda, 5/2 Iceman George, 7/1 Locum, 8/1 Dragon Slayer, Faith And Reason, 10/1 Extremely So, Sawab,
| DIOMED VERDICT: CWM RHONDDA is worth another chance back over her ideal trip. |
Ideal price gapper in lowly handicap when I last selected this one, installed as fav here, 7 runers but hopefully 3 places only 2 places and 1.66
610 REDCAR
BETTING FORECAST: 6/5 Dabbers Ridge, 13/8 Seneschal, 10/1 Efidium, 14/1 Boss Hog, 16/1 Sheik´N´Knotsterd, 25/1 Yahwudhee, 33/1 Borodinsky, Flaming Cat.
| DIOMED VERDICT: SENESCHAL has a bit to find with the top weight on official ratings but usually gives his running and can happily go from the front if needs be. |
Front 2 cannot be split and both familiar to us , especially the fav from 29th June live chat 1.2 and 1.13 the front 2 to place but we must remember this is a claimer and Dabbers ridge, you felt, just held on to place 3rd last time
615 BELLEWSTOWN
BETTING FORECAST: 11/8 April, 3/1 Ajsaam, 11/2 Bridal Dance, 6/1 Spring Horizon, 12/1 Hemasree, 20/1 Appletreemagic, Dawn Music, Silverdreammachine, 25/1 Arborlini, Musical Dancer, 33/1 Angel Instead.
Horse by Rock of Gibraltar has Weld/Smullen on board who were superb last night 1.2 in an illiquid market but follow a combo in form. Remember though at these Irish provincial tracks these races do not tend to pan out as the odds suggest more often than not.
715 REDCAR
BETTING FORECAST: 10/11 Arizona John, 4/1 Wiseman´s Diamond, 11/2 Nchike, 14/1 Cash In The Attic, Premier Krug, 20/1 Reel Bluff, 25/1 Flaming Blaze, Karate Queen, Knock Three Times, 50/1 Cool Sonata, Mujada, Rowaad.
| DIOMED VERDICT: ARIZONA JOHN ought to be too good at these weights, with Wiseman's Diamond the obvious danger. |
odds on in a 12 runner seller. Has Dazzler on board and a price gapper but remember the race type 1.25 to place
825 BELLEWSTOWN
BETTING FORECAST: 4/7 Dual Gales, 6/1 Flamingo Rainbow, 8/1 Macs Mandalus, Thousand Stars, 10/1 Auenschutze, 16/1 Coolnaharan, 20/1 Cry Presto, 25/1 El Tuco, Flowersoftherarest, 33/1 Dochas Beag, Ikansea, My Noble Lord, 50/1 Dochas Deas, Hollywood Hills, Miss Benefit, No Putter,
Ruby returns today on board a Mullins short priced fav 1.14 but highly illiquid market. Will this be overbet because of the return of Ruby?
910 NEWBURY
BETTING FORECAST: 4/6 Putra One, 9/2 Cecily Parsley, 7/1 Millharbour, Penolva, 14/1 Boffin, 33/1 Miss Doodle,
| DIOMED VERDICT: PUTRA ONE's dam won at around 1m4f and stayed 1m6f, offering plenty of encouragement that he too will stay this trip and make the most of a probably good opportunity. |
Price gapper in a middle distance maiden 1.18 to place and only 2 places
920 REDCAR
BETTING FORECAST: Evs Stateside, 7/2 Chantilly Pearl, 13/2 Charismatic Lady, 8/1 Flora´s Pride, 14/1 Tour D´Amour, 16/1 Waltzalong, 25/1 Awaken, 33/1 Royal Fantasy.
| DIOMED VERDICT: Fast-improving STATESIDE (nap) makes more appeal than Chantilly Pearl for all the latter could improve at the trip. |
Multiple handicap winner priced to go in again unless market reveals anything nearer 920pm - 1.18 to place
TENNIS
Both Williams sisters are around 1.21 to prevail today and I wouldnt put it past both prevailing
Bryan/Bryan have farmed doubles over the years and are 1.16 today
FOOTBALL
Helsingsborg are 1.18 v Mika this evening
Runavick v Rosenborg - 1.10 in the Europa league
Motherwell 1.16 against llanelli
18:00 Anorthosis vs UN Kaerjeng 1.08 to prevail - should signify goals.
Multiple with Anorthosis and Rosenborg? 1.18 is the multiple with Betfair on these 2. Prices dictate this should be 2+ goal victories
But of course teams who have never met before can do strange things!
SHORTLIST
220 PERTH Pengana 1.1 to place bit short for a jumps event but now 4/9 , v well backed and Champ jockey on board - only a 2 miler
240 HAYDOCK - 2 places not ideal but looks a great probability race.2 at 33/1 can hopefully be discounted leaving 3 fighting for 2 places here and an odds on shot Rose Blossom at 1.18. Not a gimme at all but probability wise 1 to beat to place (of course this applies to all 3 of those expected to play a part)
250 PERTH - again the makings of a great probability race here 8 runners - 4 runners only under 66/1 - one is 12/1.
Aggies Lad for the Champ here the default bet? 1.15
Rosenborg and Anorthosis double pays 1.18 in the Europa league early stages -bot should oblige with ease if not complacent and if fielding strong teams. Opposiion, of course, total unknown quantities . Rosenborg away and home team might put up a fight
Williams sisters 1.21. Depends which one has most impressed you. Serena 1.32 victor last time and Venus 1.12 victor last time and both so easy!
ONE A DAY
Shortlisters in time order looks ok today. Could even try he win only trade on Pengana. Back at 1.53 and trade out hopefully at 1.33? Should be reached if horse runs well and prominently as this is only 2 miles
Just a thought of course. Place only far safer.
Standout bet could be the 240 given the 2 clear outsiders and 3 fighting for 2 places. Rose Blossom at 1.18 is enticing to beat one home ( we are dismissing the 2 outsiders out of hand here - a big assumption but hopefully a correct one)
All shrtlisters in all areas look decent enough today.
Hopefully back on later on for live chat
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