230 BANGOR
BETTING FORECAST: 6/4 Barizan, Talimos, 11/2 True Britannia, 10/1 The Boat Shed, 20/1 Graycliffe, 25/1 Diamond Dee, 50/1 Indigo Belle.
| DIOMED VERDICT: Capable Flat recruit BARIZAN won readily on his hurdling debut and can shrug off his latest disappointment. |
7 runners, only 3 under 10/1. Market will be interesting later on ( only 915am) UPDATEFront 2 are 1.55 to place. Market is illiquid at time of writing.
305 BANGOR
BETTING FORECAST: 2/1 Benefit Game, 5/1 Danny Zuko, 8/1 Bennynthejets, Hareem, 10/1 Old Peak Road, 12/1 Bonne Noel´s, 14/1 First Boy, Morestead, That´s An Honour, 16/1 Pipers Legend, 20/1 Sandy´s Legend.
| DIOMED VERDICT: BENEFIT GAME won with something in hand over hurdles last week and can translate that improvement back over fences. Price gapper here in BEnefit game, stronger in the live market at present. Front 3 have 5 lb and 7 lb claiming jockeys on board which may hint at inexperience especially when you have Choc Thornton on Old Peak Road 1.4 to place in another illiquid market. My concern is the relative inexperience of the jockey onboard this one 315 THIRSK BETTING FORECAST: 7/4 Truly Asia, 6/1 Day Of The Eagle, Shaaridh, 8/1 Royal Defence, 10/1 Emiratesdotcom, Step Into Sunshine, 14/1 King Of Eden, Queens Flight, 20/1 Dalesway, 25/1 Blastie, 33/1 Alacity, Beat The Shower, Doctor Of Music, Italian Dame, Meml, Wings Of Kintyre, 50/1 Clanachy.
Price gapper here in this 17 runner maiden (YIKES!) -Dalesway a possible mover UPDATE - only 2 under 14/1 in this 17 runner maiden. Highly progressive fav is 1.24 to place in another illiquid market. Not doubting the fav's ability, I am concerned with so many juveniles running 350 THIRSK BETTING FORECAST: 8/11 Alicante, 6/1 Bollin Judith, 13/2 Upton Seas, 10/1 Dispol Diva, Madamlily, Musical Maze, 25/1 Lady Dunhill, Petella, 40/1 Goswick, 50/1 Katie Girl, 100/1 Knock Three Times.
Price gapper in a 0-70 class 5 handicap must warrant attention.1.23 to place - on a hatrick and we know all about multiple handicap winners but this one is odds on and priced to be competitive again under Seb Sanders 400 GOODWOOD
Showcasing an interesting non runner as originally one of 3 under 8/1. Should increase the price gap between Dick and Rakaan and the rest of the field. Dick Turpin would be my choice here simply because Spencer is on Rakaan 1.2 to place for a solidly backed Dick Turpin -the hope is Richard Huges can take advnatage of Showcasing's absence 450 BANGOR BETTING FORECAST: 10/11 Cooksgrove Lady, 6/4 Pokanoket, 14/1 Simply Splendid, 16/1 Dree Hill, 20/1 Lunan Bay, 25/1 Ninah, Tia Tara, 40/1 Tallow Bride, 100/1 Shady Olive.
Front 2 make up pretty much all of the market. McCoy versus a 7lb claimer. Like Choc Thornton, McCoy on a short priced fav must always be considered. 1.1 and 1.11 the front 2 to place. The market seems to think Cooksgrove LAdy still has more to offer after 3 wins already and a great weight to carry. To all intents and purposes the market expects a 2 horse race. Winning runs always end which is my concern with Cooksgrove, but are there 3 other horses that will beat this one? 555 NEWMARKET BETTING FORECAST: 11/10 Taajub, 9/4 New Christmas, 8/1 Arabian Pride, Kona Coast, 16/1 Fardyieh, 25/1 Ice Viking, 33/1 Gabriel´s Spirit, Maldon Prom, 50/1 Al Barq, The Ducking Stool, 66/1 Electric City,
PRice gapper now that New Christmas has drifted to 5/1. Fav now odds on but bear in mind this is a maiden race and there are some debutants here too 1.16 to place shows extreme confidence in a maiden juvenile who has only had one run 610 HAYDOCK BETTING FORECAST: 11/10 Crocus Rose, 5/1 Gosforth Park, 7/1 Deauville Flyer, Inside Knowledge, Theola, 20/1 Best Bidder, Rebel Prince, 33/1 Hit The Switch.
Archetypal price gapper here, but note heavy ground. 3 perceived outsiders too should , hopefully, not be involved. 1.28 to place. HEavy ground still the concern UPDATE 645 Haydock BETTING FORECAST: 5/4 Search For The Key, 5/2 Sweet Mirasol, 9/2 Regardless, 10/1 Sharp Shoes, 12/1 Petougg, 25/1 Fibs And Flannel, 50/1 Sixbox, 66/1 Stanley Bridge.
2 non runners leave 6 fighting for 3 places and a 33/1 outsider who can hopefully be discounted, leaves 5 and 3 places. Regardless has the experience and Search is he debutant with all the big race entries. A look nearer race time is advised here. 725 GALWAY BETTING FORECAST: 4/6 Sublime Talent, 7/2 Chebona Bula, 5/1 Viceroy Of India, 10/1 Lillywhite Leader, 20/1 La Soie, Muscati, Table Forty Six, 25/1 Indian Haze. Watch the market here as there's Wels/Smullen and Ballydoyle horses involved 1.1 to place on Sublime 825 GALWAY BETTING FORECAST: 11/8 Universal Truth, 3/1 Bahrain Storm, 9/2 Baracas, 8/1 Bashkirov, 10/1 De Valira, Song Of Pride, 14/1 No Stopping Sarah, 33/1 Georgie, Macidoni, Thewritinonthewall. Only 4 under 20/1 in the live market include a Weld/Smullen odds on fav 1.08 to place FOOTY
1/8 for an away side should ensure victory? Might be in running too this game BAbelsberg are in the Regionaliga Nord and should pose no real problems to a team who finshed 9th in the Bundesliga as long as they play a strong side 1.19 to win and in running so could be a play today
German CUp again Tottenham play Hull and are 1.62 to prevail. I think this is a far east game and is, as ever, an ultimately meaningless game SHORTLIST Blog a bit earlier as I have to go out 315 THIRSK - Truly Asia has the look of a juvenile who is consistent and improving. 1.24 to place comes with risks such as 16 opponents! 450 BAngor - cooksgrove lady was a place only selection for me last time, and as one of only 2 under 14/1, is expected, under McCoy to be competitive again. 1.1 and 1.11 the front 2 is stingy but perhaps indicative of "dead wood" in this race. McCoy is always a positive on ultra shorties and the hope is the horse has not done all his winning with the previous hatrick and can continue to at least place. As ever we ar over the jumps and take those risks with us. Heavy ground at Haydock precludes any involvement On the footballing side, I am taken by Bayer Leverkeusen at 1.19 in an in running match against a non league side in the German Cup. A 730pm start allows us to scout for team news for BAyer - complacency we don't need. 14/1 the home side with Ladbrokes tells you their considered chances. ONE A DAY Were it not for 16 opponents Truly Asia would be considered. Cooksgrove Lady at 1.1 has AP McCoy on board which is a great plus. I am taken ,at the prices, by Bayer Leverkeusen on the proviso only that we see the first team and trade in running too. As this does not go off until 730pm, if the market vibes are good for Cooksgrove lady, then I will consider playing the McCoy mount before |
