I simply forgot about Prince of Johannes who won his race .
Since my return to Ireland my broadband is not satisfactory at all for live chat. The home broadband has decided to run really slow and this is a great frustration. Until it corrects itself, then live chat simply won't work as I use sportinglife and the betting site and betfair live prices via fairbot and I need the most up to date information from those 3 sites as you know from previous live chats. People who live in Ireland will know what I'm on about!
I need a quick connection in order to see the latest prices.
This is a real pain as I am keen to get live chat up and running so I could have pointed out Falcon Rock to you yesterday
So please be patient, irish broadband is reknowned for being very poor and I cannot fathom why I have suddenly got a very weak signal all of a sudden. I will be looking for wifi spots today in the hope I can find local one s I can use that or my live chat. Fingers crossed!
220 CATTERICK
BETTING FORECAST: 11/10 Dream In Blue, 9/2 Classic Dancer, 8/1 Carlton Mac, Tubby Littlejohns, 12/1 Franali, One Tou Many, 14/1 Just Oscar, 16/1 Art Gallery, 20/1 Autumn Charm, 40/1 Ernies Keep, Indigo Belle.
| DIOMED VERDICT: In a very weak contest, DREAM IN BLUE should prove good enough if he can reproduce anything like what he showed on Polytrack earlier in the year. |
Huge price gapper in the live betting market , BUT we must account for this being a class 6 seller -one tou many and art gallery potential movers against the fav
PRice gap 6/4 - - - 7/1 1.51 to place is quite big given this is a price gapper
230 NA
BETTING FORECAST: 9/4 Deadline, 4/1 Corum, 5/1 Sweet World, 11/2 Blacktoft, Weather Front, 9/1 Dreams Jewel, 25/1 Classic Fly, The Flying Phenom.
| DIOMED VERDICT: WEATHER FRONT can return to his best after a break with soft ground no concern. |
7 runenrs , 3 places(?) and Johnson on fav -still on a high after his recent 6 timer - 2 horses priced as outsiders hopefully wil not be involved - yes 3 places and 1.36 the fav to place but this market really has not properly formed
240 CHEPSTOW
BETTING FORECAST: 15/8 L´Enchanteresse, 2/1 Forest Crown, Lexi´s Layla, 12/1 Avon Krystal, 40/1 Monte Mayor One.
| DIOMED VERDICT: L'ENCHANTERESSE earns a narrow vote over Forest Crown and Lexi's Layla. |
2nd fav a non runner makes this a 50/50 race with a clear outsider 1.25 and 1.34 the front 2 to place. Avon Krystal really is the fly in the ointment here
250 CATTERICK
BETTING FORECAST: 9/4 Bonfire Knight, Decimus Meridius, 3/1 Greyfriarschorista, 13/2 Pleasant Day, 10/1 Lady Pacha, 25/1 Bustard Bay, Tribal Myth, 100/1 William Arnold.
| DIOMED VERDICT: Greyfriarschorista and DECIMUS MERIDIUS, who both hold Derby entries, are interesting newcomers for the level, with preference for the latter. |
A race of 2 halves - 4 under and 4 over 16/1. Bonfire knight has the good runs under the belt and grey must be looked at in the betting as the perennial Johnston newcomer 1.23 Bonfire knight. No early signals of sustained support for Johnston runner just yet - may appear for live market viewers nearer the off
300 NEWTON ABBOTT
BETTING FORECAST: 2/1 Quedillac, 5/2 Sonnengold, 6/1 Pardon What, 9/1 Black Mogul, 10/1 Tandori, Three Lions, 11/1 Cornish Flame, 25/1 Missie Geore, 33/1 Miss Merenda, 50/1 Bubbs, 66/1 Feels Right.
| DIOMED VERDICT: SONNENGOLD should be ready to produce her best after a decent display on the Flat recently. |
Fav a non runner should make life easier for new price gapper Sonnengold? 2 mile 6 seller with a 7lb female claiming jockey - hmmmmm! 1.38 to place but really the jockey is offputting as is the race type and distance
310 CHEPSTOW
| DIOMED VERDICT: MAOI CHINN TIRE looked a nursery winner waiting to happen at Newbury on Sunday and can get off the mark now back in the handicap proper. |
Pitythis is a 2 place race as 3 look to have tis with Dubai set's absence.1.64, 2.08 and 1.55 the front 3 (bar Dubai the non runner) -very big prices given it's 2 places
One for those fancying a probability gamble woth the higher rewards
320 CATTERICK
BETTING FORECAST: 15/8 Saga De Tercey, 9/2 Bergonzi, Phoenix Flight, 13/2 Chookie Hamilton, 8/1 Harry The Hawk, 11/1 Princess Rainbow, 14/1 That´ll Do Nicely, 16/1 Eijaaz, 20/1 Black Dahlia.
| DIOMED VERDICT: The unexposed SAGA DE TERCEY, whose trainer won this race in 2006 and 2007, may be suited by this step up in trip and should have plenty more improvement in him. |
Consistent looking price gapper 1.34 to place
400 NEWTON ABBOTT
BETTING FORECAST: 10/11 Zafar, 5/1 Ormond Lad, 6/1 Sushitan, 8/1 Goose Green, Holden Caulfield, 20/1 King High, 33/1 Call Me Sam, Canshebemine, He Be Cornish.
| DIOMED VERDICT: ZAFAR won in style on Friday and looks the one to beat. |
Now 1/2 and strongly backed today and with a jockey onboard who I have already mentioned recently got a 6 timer so is brimming with confidence and can assure us, I hope, of a good ride on a strong fav
1.1 to place and 4/9 in the win market
430 NA
BETTING FORECAST: 11/10 Tanmeya, 3/1 Quil Est Beau, 13/2 Charlottes Webb, 9/1 Lilac, 10/1 Outside Investor, 14/1 Present Oriented,
| DIOMED VERDICT: TANMEYA (nap) has strong claims. |
Jockey takes 7lbs off this chaser BUT jockey has won on him - an important distinction 1.4 -market not formed at all
500 NA
BETTING FORECAST: 11/10 Thirtythreeblack, 3/1 Arctic Shadow, 6/1 Knock Em Dead, 12/1 Bathwick Breeze, 14/1 Bengal Bullet, 16/1 Amazing Valour, Synonymy, 50/1 Lansdowne Princess.
| DIOMED VERDICT: ARCTIC SHADOW has to give away a lot of weight but is tough and sure to run well. |
The straight 8 here and the 2 market leaders look strong. Arctic shadow has that bloke Johnson on board and is on a 4 timer ( carrying a lot of weight and may be vulnerable as far as the win goes) which leads me to 33 black as a potential palce onyl selection 1.25 to place the fav
510 CHEPSTOW
BETTING FORECAST: 2/1 Primaeval, 11/4 Burma Rock, 9/2 Betony, Brother Cha, 14/1 Champion Girl, 16/1 Karashar, 33/1 Turbo Shandy, 50/1 Croeso Ynol, 66/1 Lady Meg, 100/1 Bluebird Chariot.
| DIOMED VERDICT: PRIMAEVAL can build on his encouraging debut and go one better at the expense of Burma Rock. 4 horses over 33/1 can hopefully reduce the competitive field. fav has frank on board and he cannot be trusted for consistency from my perspective given his riding style. Burma rock has good experience and should get closer to a win with every run 1.19 and 1.44 the front 2 to place 620 ROSCOMMON BETTING FORECAST: 10/11 Lastkingofscotland, 5/4 Panic, 9/1 Red Humour, 16/1 Cloud Chaser. The 2 outsiders are now 20/1 or bigger. Can we rely on the front 2 filling the first 2 places? 1.07 and 1.18 the front 2 to place - looks straightforward but remember this is Irish racing!! 650 ROSCOMMON BETTING FORECAST: 5/4 Estephe, 5/2 Jazz Blues, 5/1 Makhaaleb, 7/1 Livaleo, 10/1 Committed Spirit, Stir On The Sea, 20/1 Highland Brave, Secret Memoirs, Word For Word, 33/1 Ardahullagh. Odds on now -Murtagh for stack 1.13 to place but market not formed FOOTBALL
Are Pana so much stronger than Sparta Prague? 3-1 to SParta - this could indicate goals surely? Blackpool v Everton - Everton are 1.8 and have been good and reliable pre season. How many of the PRemiership starting XI they play tonight is questionable. Blackpool are 5.2 to lay - team news of course vital |
shortlist
250 CATTERICK - Bonfire knight the first of interest in a maiden where 4 are under 16/1 only. Has the experience but 2 interesting newcomers. 1.25 to place
310 CHEPSTOW - one for the gamblers or the one a day target profit per dayers with it looking like 3 main co ntenders for 2 places. Are you convinced by Diomed's argument on the 1.55 to place current favMAOI CHINN TIRE
400 NA - Zafar is 4/9 and 1.1 to place for a hot jockey -priced accordingly of course !
500 NA - 33 black is a winner over 3 miles for Tom Scudamore -this is 27 furlongs which is the negative
620 ROSCOMMON - dare we trust these small field irish events on ground which may soften? Looks, using the current betting market, to be a 2 horse race - 50/50 race.
1.24 for over 1.5 goals in the Panathanaikos v Sparta Prague game looks very appetising indeed and IS tradeable. Pana have an away goal but are 3-1 down -historically they have performed very well against Czech opposition.
There is, admmittedly ,an argument for unders with Pana in deep trouble if Sparta score 1 or more,so they will be trying to not concede.
ONE A DAY
As ever, those with the live market are at the advantage.I am going to try to get my broadband problems resolved in order to get live chat back on cos I enjoyed it.
Anyway, Zafar surely today looks rock solid, albeit at a price reflective of that.With that off at 4pm, I will try to get on earlier with perhaps a lay the place or following a live market mover.
Panathanaikos are tradeable in the over 1.5 goal market. An early breakthrough will allow us to get out at an estimated 1.1 and this is my alternative at time of writing to a 1.1 shot over the sticks!
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