Friday, 28 August 2009

28/8

Odds nothing to write home about but emphatic is the word you'd use to describe Roma's demolition job. If only all one a day bets were that assured!
Both the 120 Newmarket, 235 Thirsk , 255 Newmarket, 310 Thirsk are characterised by one time out short priced maiden favourites and it's really a guessing game in picking which of these will replicae their initial promising run - remember they are 2 year olds and still learning.

245 FFOS LAS
BETTING FORECAST: 5/2 Sabre Hongrois, 11/4 Changing Lanes, 8/1 Prince Noora, 9/1 Havenstone, 10/1 Foxesbow, Moscow Mo Chuisle, Presentandcorrect, 14/1 Cresswell Ruby, 20/1 Invention, 25/1 Avoine, How Is It Going.

DIOMED VERDICT: CHANGING LANES has made a smooth transition to fences this summer and can follow up his latest ready Uttoxeter win. 1.39 to place
Changing Lanes runs for the Vaughan /Johnson partnership and is one of only 3 under 10/1

330 NMKT
BETTING FORECAST: 9/4 Treble Jig, 5/1 Lyric Poet, 6/1 Nizaa, 8/1 Notice Given, Pekan Star, 12/1 Suited And Booted, 14/1 Moonbalej, 16/1 Eltheeb, Royal Patriot, 20/1 Loden, 25/1 Painswick, 33/1 Best Show, Suntrap, 66/1 Captain Clint.

DIOMED VERDICT: Interesting to see what the market makes of the newcomers but TREBLE JIG looks likely to step up considerably on his debut run and should not be far away.

Another to join the list of one time outers - Ryan Moore/ Stoute, and odds on and "all red" 10/11 - - - - 6/1 price gap in the live market and yet again based on only one run! 1.3 to place

415 THIRSK
BETTING FORECAST: 7/4 Saga De Tercey, 5/1 Dolly Penrose, 6/1 Danzatrice, Inchpast, 8/1 Baan, Ragamuffin Man, 12/1 Sphinx, 20/1 Red Wine.

DIOMED VERDICT: The improver in the field is SAGA DE TERCEY (nap) and he can confirm the promise of his excellent second at York last time.

5/4 - - - 7/1 in the live betting market BUT the "outsider" is only 10/1 which relays the tight nature of this 2 mile stayers handicap 1.28 to place

650 NEWC
BETTING FORECAST: 10/11 Awesome Surprise, 5/2 El Ameen, 14/1 Dance Card, Tiddliwinks, 16/1 Fine Silk, Mr Rainbow, Tobrata, 20/1 Duke Of Bothwell, Pure Heir, 33/1 Cruciform, 50/1 Tongalooma, 100/1 Clanachy, Freddie Bolt.

DIOMED VERDICT: The well-bred AWESOME SURPRISE has shaped well on both starts and has been found a suitable opportunity to take centre stage today.

6/5 and 2/1 the front 2 and at least these maidens have had a couple of runs
Tiddliwinks the big mover 1.21 and 1.36 the front 2 to place

735 WEXFORD
BETTING FORECAST: 5/4 Themoonandsixpence, 7/2 Here Comes Sally, 6/1 Major Decision, 10/1 Rickardstown, 12/1 Montauk Highway, Recovery Man, 14/1 Ballylanigan, Barneys Honour, 16/1 Inoneearoutdother, Misty Isle, 20/1 Our Western Boy, Persisting, 25/1 Rossbro Hall, Take Your Mark, 33/1 Joey From Ardrahan,

A certain Ruby Walsh is riding at Ffos Las this afternoon and makes the effort to return for this ride on Themoonandsixpence. Take the hint? Market not formed yet

FOOTBALL
Swedish ladies convinced at 1/3 previously and are similarly priced to overcome the Azzuri 1.34 again exactly as before when they won convincingly
19:45 Barcelona vs Shakhtar 2/5
Those who saw the match against Man City ( which city won by a single goal) will have seen Barca in full flow, hitting the woodwork with venomous shots giving their 2nd string a game.
We will see the full force of Barca this evening and an attacking line up weakened slightly by Eto'o's absence and the unconvincing ( in my eyes) Ibrahimovich. Still this is mouthwatering and Barca are big at 2/5 in this Super Cup game. 1.41 on Betfair. 1.18 for over 1.5 goals is tradeable and it involves both sides.

SHORTLIST
735 Wexford is the only one that really appeals today simply because Ruby Walsh is returning from Ffos Las to Wexford, and it's not for the good of his health on a Friday evening.
Swedish ladies impressed at 1/3 and more of the same is expected at the same price. Italian ladies beat 10 man, erm, woman England 2-1
Sweden have not conceded in a long time so expectation is that if there was a goal, it would come to the Swedes.
Barca at 1.41 will be tempting tonight with a full squad out perhaps with their La Liga fixture moved to Monday evening to allow this PR exercise match to take place
ONE A DAY
I will chance the Swedes again today with the trading head on - hope they score first and get out after that - just hope the 1/3 quote is reminiscent of the 3-0 beating at 1/3 they handed out to the Ruskies last time

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