Thursday, 20 August 2009

20/8

All of the horses obliged yesterday and Man Utd did not get back on terms or win. Yes I enhanced bet this one and Michael Carrick is getting a kick in the Carricks when I next meet him. God knows how many thousands a week and the twat can't score from a penalty

I do hope you got one of the horses in yesterday before the football as your one a day

240 LINGIELD
BETTING FORECAST: 8/13 Dhaawiah, 7/2 Passkey, 11/2 Betony, 12/1 Tentears, 25/1 Anasy, Louise Sauvage, 33/1 Rumramah, 66/1 Cross Reef, 100/1 Keibla Spirit, Miss Jodarah, Mumtaz Begum,

DIOMED VERDICT: DHAAWIAH shaped with plenty of promise on debut and is fancied to get off the mark this time at the expense of Passkey.

Recent memories of one time out Atlaal unplaced at 1/4, Dare we chance one time out Dhaawiah at 2/5 for red hot godolphin? 1.09 to place

325 YORK
BETTING FORECAST: 4/11 Sariska, 7/2 Dar Re Mi, 14/1 Barshiba, Tamarind, 66/1 Roman Empress, 100/1 Saphira´s Fire.

DIOMED VERDICT: Very hard to see beyond SARISKA, who completed the English-Irish Oaks double in great style at the Curragh last time. Dar Re Mi can chase her home.

Looks a 2 horse race and surely not even Frank " hmm Betty I got left in the stalls 2 days ago and my horse ran off and won the race" Spencer couldn't get this one unplaced? 1.15 to place

415 STRATFORD
BETTING FORECAST: Evs Rupestrian, 3/1 Hallstatt, Kayfiar, 6/1 Royal Max, 100/1 Highams Park, Ravine Rose, Witch Of The Wave.

DIOMED VERDICT: HALLSTATT was a decent Flat performer with Mark Johnston and could upset likely favourite Rupestrian.

On a 5 timer and will lose eventually BUT will it be today and if so, will he still be placed? 1.17 - illiquid market and 2 places

505 FONTWELL
BETTING FORECAST: 2/1 Black Jacari, Sacrilege, 4/1 Consulate, 9/2 Princely Hero, 20/1 William Hogarth, 25/1 Musashi, 33/1 Shake On It.

DIOMED VERDICT: BLACK JACARI can follow up his C&D success if all goes well.

What a pity it's 7 runners, McCoy versus Choc? 1.45 and 1.61 the front 2 to place backing the front 3 in a dutch is 1.19 bet leaving Princely Hero to canter to a 5 length success !!!

600 CHEPSTOW
BETTING FORECAST: 13/8 Chips O´Toole, 11/4 Pose, 3/1 Secret Millionaire, 9/2 Wellington Fair, 25/1 Casanova Kid, 33/1 Macroy, 50/1 Dusty Spirit, Taliesin,

DIOMED VERDICT: CHIPS O'TOOLE probably bumped into a smart performer at Newbury and can go one better.

Clear of the remainder last race - a sign I like to see for Chips. Looks like 4 under 20/1 the ones to consider making this a possible probbability race 1.16 to place

645 FonT
BETTING FORECAST: 4/5 Roznic, 7/1 Alpha Juliet, Earlsfield Raider, 10/1 Bolton Hall, Mistified, 12/1 Samurai Warrior, 16/1 Misbehaviour, 33/1 Lady Romanov, 40/1 Dead Mans Dante, Spiritwind, 66/1 Almanshood,

DIOMED VERDICT: ROZNIC ought to be able to beat some inferior rivals.

Price gapper but a lady riders selling hurdle - YIKES! 1.23 to place

720 FONTWELL
BETTING FORECAST: 5/2 Benefit Game, Lester Leaps In, 5/1 Koh Samui, 13/2 Early Wings, 9/1 Qanta De Thaix, 12/1 I´m A Legend, 16/1 Morestead, 20/1 Black Cloud.

DIOMED VERDICT: BENEFIT GAME is in fine form and may be able to complete the hat-trick.

On for hatrick under AP and backed into 6/4 in places 1.35 to place

730 EPSOM
BETTING FORECAST: 9/4 Emirates Roadshow, 11/4 Wannabe King, 11/2 Roar Of Applause, 8/1 Star Links, 10/1 Cut And Thrust, 12/1 At A Great Rate, Green Agenda, 14/1 Johnmanderville, 33/1 Young Dottie.

DIOMED VERDICT: This looks between EMIRATES ROADSHOW and Wannabe King, with preference for the selection now down in much calmer waters with his stable firing.

Frankie over from Lingfield and now 11/10 with big drop in class. A couple of non runners make life a little easier for placing 1.3 to place and 7 runners

No Killarney this evening, a real pity as I was in the mood for a bit of racing.
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FOOTBALL
330- ROma 4/9 away to Kosice
18:30 Steaua Bucharest vs St Patricks Ath. 1/5
Irish football is poor and this is a BIG step up in class of opposition for St Pats - 1.23 to win NOT IN RUNNING
19:00 Twente vs Karabakh 1/5
Should see goals from Twente - NOT IN RUNNING and no options other than o ver 2.5 goals
19:45 Ajax vs Slovan Bratislava 3/10
Another dutch side who should have goals in them - lay Slovan is 1.07 equivalent - over 1.5 goals is 1.18 -IN RUNNING
19:45 Lazio vs Elfsborg 4/11
lay elf at 9.2 is same as 1.11 bet - NOT IN RUNNING
19:45 Galatasaray vs Levadia Tallinn 1/6
1.18 to win, not in running and would be my standout today if fielding a proper 1st team
NOT IN RUNNING
20:00 Fulham vs Amkar Perm 4/9
Wock solid under Woy and should weally bwing home the bacon lay amkar is same as 1.13 bet - IN RUNNING
20:00 Werder Bremen vs Aktobe 1/6

1.16 to win for the German giants, in a double with Galatasary?
20:00 Everton vs Sigma Olomouc 4/11
Psychologically, after a 6-1 drubbing at home, a win is a MUST for the toffees this evening and they are priced to do so and I expect them to do so.1.35 NOT IN RUNNING

SHORTLIST
240 LING - could be a good day for Godolphin today after a recent Frankie 5 timer. Dhawaaih is 1.09 which is a bit risky given his Atlaal like profile as a one time outer priced ridiculously short.
325 YORK - SAriska has the beret wearer on board but is one of only 2 under double figure odds and should place at 1.15 if Frank obliges to race ride and not try to look good. Dare I chance this clown after he has lost me plenty with his incompetence-latest of which was being left in the stalls ( HIM NOT THE HORSE!!)
6 runners , 2 at 50/1 or bigger and 1/3to win. I suspect there will be plenty of layers given the jockey but worth the risk at the price 1.15
600 CHEPSTOW - I normally leave 5 furlong maidens alone but Chips O Toole looks only 1 of we need focus on and is 1.16 to place - with these evening bets (inclusing the football)-it's best to update on the latest info in the betting market and regarding team news ( eg yesterday I didn't realise Fergie was going to play the old codgers against Burnley)
730 EPSOM - Emirates Roadshow for the red hot Godolphin and Frankie - 1.3 to place is very enticing but again I stress that the markets must be consulted before the race.
Football shortlist includes Galatasary, Werder Bremen and Everton (purely based on the 6-1 drubbing 1st match at home - they MUST NOT lose again at home, and if the bookies wee them at 4/11 perhaps we should take the hint)
ONE A DAY
At the prices 1.35 for Everton might be worth risking BUT game is not in running
Far safer Galatasary I would suspect at home
Horses? Well Sariska has won 4 times under the beret'd one - 1/3 to win and 1.15 to place - 2 only under 14/1 here and as long as Frank race rides and does not try his usual come from behind tactics leaving too much over this middle distance, then I expect, and the market expects, a 2 horse showdown.
1.16
I will chance this as the first time wise and I know " 3 places good, 2 places bad" but 1/3 shots in Group 1's are that price for some small reason - they are fecking good!!








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