Monday 9 April 2012

9/4

Oh Greece, home of the dull match! Or is it? I was pleased with deciphering the Olympiakos v Kerkyra match which was a perfect smash and grab for the away side with a concerted 0-0 , then a 0-1 at the end.
Man Utd scored 2 again at home.The ref was United's best player.
Galatasary read the script perfectly for a 1.19 shot and scored 4 to no reply. Interestingly, had you opted for  " delayed entry", i.e holding out before you get involved, you could have got 1.35 for Galatasary only after about 10 minutes. That's some hike in the odds.
And this " delayed entry" is a good way to bump up the odds of any potential trade.

1245pm - Sheff Wed v Oldham - 1.44 home
HEAD TO HEADS
10.12.2011L1Oldham Athletic0-2Sheffield Wed
08.03.2011L1Oldham Athletic2-3Sheffield Wed
28.09.2010L1Sheffield Wed0-0Oldham Athletic
31.07.2007CFOldham Athletic2-0Sheffield Wed

LEAGUE POSITION - 3rd v 17th. a win takes the Owls 2nd provisionally. Oldham are safe, going nowhere .

HOME TEAM - -past fixtures, forthcoming fixtures and likely team - Sheff Wed

RECENT HOME FORM -  WWWWWWWDWDWLDWLWWWDW - only 2 defeats at home, both 0-1 against 1st and 9th.  Have scored 2+ against teams around Oldham in the league.

RECENT FORM OVERALL - WLLLWDWWWDWWW - solid recent form at the right time too. 

GOAL TRENDS - 60% overs at home. Average 0.9 conceded and 2.05 scored at home. Have conceded only 8 goals in the first hour of home matches this season. Overwhelming goal action in 2nd half.. Goals scored and conceded in nearly 2/3rd of matches in the 2nd half.

STREAKS - no defeat in 5 at home and 9 overall. have scored in last 5 at home and last 7 overall. 3 consecutive clean sheets.

AWAY TEAM - past fixtures -forthcoming fixtures and likely team - oldham

RECENT AWAY FORM - LWLWWLLDDDDDLLWLLWLL - drawn v 1st and beat 2nd 2-3 which is interesting. 7 away defeats v 4th to 11th inclusive. They were 2-0 down v 2nd .

RECENT OVERALL FORM - WLLLLWWLLLL - only 1 draw in last 15.

GOAL TRENDS - 45% overs away from home. Have failed to score last 4 matches. 5 1-0's in last 6 matches 

STREAKS - 8 away without a draw, 11 overall. 4 match losing streak. 

CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS - what do we make of the good away performances against top 2? Anomolous given they lost 7 away v 4th-11th?
Oldham having trouble scoring recently though could signal a win to nil for the Owls who have scored 2+ against teams near to Oldham when at home. 

130pm - FC Eindhoven v Almere City - 1.42 home
HEAD TO HEADS
19.12.2011D2Almere City FC1-3FC Eindhoven
25.10.2011CupAlmere City FC1-2FC Eindhoven
01.04.2011D2Almere City FC3-0FC Eindhoven
17.09.2010D2FC Eindhoven2-0Almere City FC
26.02.2010D2FC Omniworld3-1FC Eindhoven
20.11.2009D2FC Eindhoven2-0FC Omniworld

LEAGUE POSITION

HOME TEAM - -past fixtures, forthcoming fixtures and likely team

RECENT HOME FORM

RECENT FORM OVERALL

GOAL TRENDS

STREAKS

AWAY TEAM - past fixtures -forthcoming fixtures and likely team

RECENT AWAY FORM

RECENT OVERALL FORM

GOAL TRENDS

STREAKS

CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS

130pm - Sparta Rotterdam v Veendam - 1.33 home
HEAD TO HEADS
16.12.2011D2BV Veendam1-2Sparta Rotterdam
21.03.2011D2BV Veendam3-1Sparta Rotterdam
12.09.2010D2Sparta Rotterdam4-2BV Veendam
25.07.2009CFSparta Rotterdam1-2BV Veendam

LEAGUE POSITION

HOME TEAM - -past fixtures, forthcoming fixtures and likely team

RECENT HOME FORM

RECENT FORM OVERALL

GOAL TRENDS

STREAKS

AWAY TEAM - past fixtures -forthcoming fixtures and likely team

RECENT AWAY FORM

RECENT OVERALL FORM

GOAL TRENDS

STREAKS

CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS

3pm - Blackpool v Barnsley - 1.47 home
HEAD TO HEADS
26.12.2011LChBarnsley FC1-3Blackpool FC
27.02.2010LChBarnsley FC1-0Blackpool FC
05.12.2009LChBlackpool FC1-2Barnsley FC
14.03.2009LChBarnsley FC0-1Blackpool FC
13.09.2008LChBlackpool FC1-0Barnsley FC

LEAGUE POSITION

HOME TEAM - -past fixtures, forthcoming fixtures and likely team

RECENT HOME FORM

RECENT FORM OVERALL

GOAL TRENDS

STREAKS

AWAY TEAM - past fixtures -forthcoming fixtures and likely team

RECENT AWAY FORM

RECENT OVERALL FORM

GOAL TRENDS

STREAKS

CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS

3pm - Everton v Sunderland - 1.89 home
HEAD TO HEADS
27.03.2012CupSunderland AFC0-2Everton FC
17.03.2012CupEverton FC1-1Sunderland AFC
26.12.2011PRSunderland AFC1-1Everton FC
26.02.2011PREverton FC2-0Sunderland AFC
22.11.2010PRSunderland AFC2-2Everton FC
27.01.2010PREverton FC2-0Sunderland AFC

you'll recall Bolton v Fulham and bogey teams. Are Everton the bogey team for Sunderland? 
LEAGUE POSITION - 7th v 9th  - only 2 points separate them.

HOME TEAM - -past fixtures, forthcoming fixtures and likely team - Everton

RECENT HOME FORM - LDWLLWLDWLDWWWLW - great recent home form down simply to keeping a clean sheet and trying to nick it 1-0, or if lucky, 2-0. Sometimes it doesn't work and they go down 0-1 as happened v Arsenal.No draw yet in matches played at home v top 11.

RECENT FORM OVERALL - WDWDWLLWWD - recent defeats against Liverpool and Arsenal.

GOAL TRENDS - 25% overs at home perhaps predictable given the "0-0 then try and nick it" tactics. Only 3 over 2.5 goals matches in last 21 for Everton. 

STREAKS - 5 at home without a draw. 2 clean sheets in last 3.

AWAY TEAM - past fixtures -forthcoming fixtures and likely team - Sunderland

RECENT AWAY FORM - DDLLWLLLWWLWLDLD - Sunderland have not beaten any of the top 8 away with 3 draws and 4 defeats. The 3 draws were score draws.

RECENT OVERALL FORM - WWWLLDWLWDD - last 2 defeats were away defeats to nil.Only 2 wins against top 8 home and away.A lot of tight matches against the top teams home and away fits in nicely with Everton.

GOAL TRENDS - 44% overs away from home. Sunderland have scored 3 against QPR and Man City in 2 of their last 3 matches. Is this enough to scupper a likely unders match today? Is Everton's defence strong enough to stop this?

STREAKS - 4 away without a win, 2 overall. Have conceded in last 4 away.

CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS - if Everton click, then this is another 0-0 with the hope Everton nick a goal or 2 at home. It has worked like a charm of late. It might work again as Sunderland have trouble winning against top 8 sides. Unders looks the considered option here, but I am slightly worried that Sunderland have scored 3 goals against QPR and Man City. Everton's under 2.5 goals % though really is standout.

3pm - Newcastle v Bolton - 1.55 home
HEAD TO HEADS
26.12.2011PRBolton Wanderers0-2Newcastle Utd
26.02.2011PRNewcastle Utd1-1Bolton Wanderers
20.11.2010PRBolton Wanderers5-1Newcastle Utd
01.03.2009PRBolton Wanderers1-0Newcastle Utd
23.08.2008PRNewcastle Utd1-0Bolton Wanderers
19.01.2008PRNewcastle Utd0-0Bolton Wanderers

LEAGUE POSITION - 6th v 16th - Champions League spot v trying to avoid relegation. A good set of results for Bolton sees them 5th from bottom 

HOME TEAM - -past fixtures, forthcoming fixtures and likely team - Newcastle

RECENT HOME FORM - DWWDWWLDLWWWDDWW - only home defeats against Chelsea and West Brom.Against the bottom 6, it's 2-1 win against Villa, 1-0 win over QPR, 3-1 win over Blackburn, 1-0 win over Wigan, and 2-2 draw with Wolves.

RECENT FORM OVERALL - WWLDDLWWWW - recent defeat against Arsenal, Fulham, Spurs and Liverpool all came away from home. Cisse has scored in the last 4 matches. Over reliance on one man ( 7 goals in 4 matches out of 8 matches scored) can lead to trouble if that man gets injured or marked off the pitch. It is certainly something I would consider if setting up Bolton.

GOAL TRENDS - 56% overs throughout the season.3 clean sheets in last 4 matches. Have failed to score in only 5 matches this season. They have scored 9 and conceded only 2 in the first half hour this season. Ba and Cisse the 2 key players.

STREAKS - 4 match winning streak. No defeat in 7 at home and 4 overall. Have scored in last 8 at home and last 7 overall. 

AWAY TEAM - past fixtures -forthcoming fixtures and likely team - Bolton

RECENT AWAY FORM - WLLWLLLLWWLLLLW - no draw away from home. Have lost 3-0, 2-0, 3-0, 3-0, 3-0 against top 5 away from home. Only 1 win away to top 15.

RECENT OVERALL FORM - WLWDLLLLWWWL - only 2 draws all season have come at home. 

GOAL TRENDS - 80% overs away from home. 2.03 conceded in all matches on average. 6 of last 7 matches over 2.5 goals.

STREAKS - 15 away without a draw. Have conceded in last 14 away and last 8 overall.

CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS - this should be a repeat , or as near to, the 0-2 in the previous meeting in Newcastle's favour. Bolton have consistently lost against top 6 without scoring either 2-0 or 3-0. No draw away suggests home win or away win. Odds and form suggests home win.
Always a concern with teams desparate for points that we'll get a shock ( see QPR latest) but Bolton cannot really be trusted.

3pm - SD Galway v Shamrock Rovers - 1.17 away - irish league cup


3pm - Tottenham v Norwich - 1.32 home
HEAD TO HEADS
27.12.2011PRNorwich City0-2Tottenham
28.07.2008CFNorwich City1-5Tottenham
26.12.2004PRNorwich City0-2Tottenham

Spurs too much for Norwich last time. 
LEAGUE POSITION - 4th v 12th. Must win for Spurs after Arse won yesterday, ideal scoreline 2-0, 3-0 to close the goal differences. 

HOME TEAM - -past fixtures, forthcoming fixtures and likely team - Spurs

RECENT HOME FORM - LWWWWWWDWWDWWLDW - only 2 defeats at home have come against 1st and 2nd.Outside the top 2, Spuds have not conceded more than 1.

RECENT FORM OVERALL - WDLWDWLLLDDWD - only 1 win in last 7 at first glance not the best form in the world. Defeats against Arse, United and Everton I suppose no great shocks. Last 2 draws 0-0 away draws.

GOAL TRENDS - 56% overs through the season. Have scored in all home matches. Have failed to score in only 5 this season ( 3 of which came in last 6). 

STREAKS - have scored in last 16 at home.

AWAY TEAM - past fixtures -forthcoming fixtures and likely team - Norwich

RECENT AWAY FORM - DLWLDLLDDWWLWLLL - Norwich have lost 7 and had 2 1-1 draws away to top 11.

RECENT OVERALL FORM - WWDLWWLLDLWLD - inconsistency and only 1 win in last 7 matches. Norwich were tight in 2 1-0 defeats and a 2-1 defeat against Stoke, Newcastle and Fulham. 

GOAL TRENDS - 63% overs away from home. Have conceded in all away matches and only 2 clean sheets all season. Opponent scored first in 69% of away matches. 

STREAKS - have conceded in 16 away and last 8 overall. 

CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS - Bale might not be playing 

3pm - Young Boys v Lausanne - 1.23 home
HEAD TO HEADS
04.03.2012D1Lausanne-Sport0-0BSC Young Boys
30.10.2011D1BSC Young Boys4-1Lausanne-Sport
11.09.2011D1Lausanne-Sport0-3BSC Young Boys
15.01.2011CFBSC Young Boys3-1Lausanne-Sport
23.06.2010CFBSC Young Boys3-3Lausanne-Sport
13.12.2009CupLausanne-Sport4-1BSC Young Boys

LEAGUE POSITION

HOME TEAM - -past fixtures, forthcoming fixtures and likely team

RECENT HOME FORM

RECENT FORM OVERALL

GOAL TRENDS

STREAKS

AWAY TEAM - past fixtures -forthcoming fixtures and likely team

RECENT AWAY FORM

RECENT OVERALL FORM

GOAL TRENDS

STREAKS

CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS

5pm - Rosenborg v Sogndal - 1.34 home
HEAD TO HEADS
22.09.2011D1Rosenborg BK2-1Sogndal
30.07.2011D1Sogndal1-1Rosenborg BK
25.09.2004D1Rosenborg BK3-1Sogndal
31.05.2004D1Sogndal3-3Rosenborg BK

LEAGUE POSITION

HOME TEAM - -past fixtures, forthcoming fixtures and likely team

RECENT HOME FORM

RECENT FORM OVERALL

GOAL TRENDS

STREAKS

AWAY TEAM - past fixtures -forthcoming fixtures and likely team

RECENT AWAY FORM

RECENT OVERALL FORM

GOAL TRENDS

STREAKS

CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS

6pm - CSKA Sofia v Svetkavitsa - 1.04 home
HEAD TO HEADS
02.10.2011D1Svetkavitsa0-3CSKA Sofia

LEAGUE POSITION

HOME TEAM - -past fixtures, forthcoming fixtures and likely team

RECENT HOME FORM

RECENT FORM OVERALL

GOAL TRENDS

STREAKS

AWAY TEAM - past fixtures -forthcoming fixtures and likely team

RECENT AWAY FORM

RECENT OVERALL FORM

GOAL TRENDS

STREAKS

CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS

630pm - Sligo Rovers v Monaghan Utd - 1.25 home - irish league cup
HEAD TO HEADS
23.03.2012PRMonaghan United0-1Sligo Rovers
31.08.2011CupMonaghan United0-4Sligo Rovers
27.08.2011CupSligo Rovers0-0Monaghan United
25.09.2010LCSligo Rovers1-0Monaghan United
18.09.2010CupSligo Rovers3-0Monaghan United

LEAGUE POSITION

HOME TEAM - -past fixtures, forthcoming fixtures and likely team

RECENT HOME FORM

RECENT FORM OVERALL

GOAL TRENDS

STREAKS

AWAY TEAM - past fixtures -forthcoming fixtures and likely team

RECENT AWAY FORM

RECENT OVERALL FORM

GOAL TRENDS

STREAKS

CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS

8pm - Fulham v Chelsea - 2.24 away
HEAD TO HEADS
26.12.2011PRChelsea FC1-1Fulham FC
21.09.2011LCChelsea FC0-0/p.4-3Fulham FC
14.02.2011PRFulham FC0-0Chelsea FC
10.11.2010PRChelsea FC1-0Fulham FC
28.12.2009PRChelsea FC2-1Fulham FC
23.08.2009PRFulham FC0-2Chelsea FC

LEAGUE POSITION

HOME TEAM - -past fixtures, forthcoming fixtures and likely team

RECENT HOME FORM

RECENT FORM OVERALL

GOAL TRENDS

STREAKS

AWAY TEAM - past fixtures -forthcoming fixtures and likely team

RECENT AWAY FORM

RECENT OVERALL FORM

GOAL TRENDS

STREAKS

CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS

8pm - Malaga v Santander - 1.4 home
HEAD TO HEADS
21.11.2011D1Racing Santander1-3Málaga CF
24.04.2011D1Racing Santander1-2Málaga CF
05.12.2010D1Málaga CF4-1Racing Santander
14.02.2010D1Racing Santander0-3Málaga CF
19.09.2009D1Málaga CF1-2Racing Santander
10.05.2009D1Málaga CF1-0Racing Santander

LEAGUE POSITION

HOME TEAM - -past fixtures, forthcoming fixtures and likely team

RECENT HOME FORM

RECENT FORM OVERALL

GOAL TRENDS

STREAKS

AWAY TEAM - past fixtures -forthcoming fixtures and likely team

RECENT AWAY FORM

RECENT OVERALL FORM

GOAL TRENDS

STREAKS

CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS


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