We see the problem with mechanical systems.You have to follow a cerain set of rules for convenience sake,even though you wouldn't have backed the horse under normal circumstances.
Macmar was a 3into 1 selection yesterday and found the penalty far too tough for him.
hThe Gold MEdallist/Rustarix bet came off. Oscar Park won justifying Spotlight's strong confidence in him. See you sometime unplaced, outdone by those perceived outsiders-and this in a race paying out 3 the place for 5 runners!
I was right not to bet J'y vole yesterday-one race too many for her on a track which did not suit her habit of jumping out to the right.
Thank God for the left foot of Nakamura as he scored for Celtic in the 85th minute. Those with faith, andknowledge that Celtic have done thisbefore,could have backed them at nearly 4/1 to win -not bad for a 1/3 side. They did exactly the same against Gretna .
I was very pleased to get the unquoted score bet in the RAngers game-only a few minutes to go and the prayer mat was out for Rangers to get a 4th-I had resigned myself to defeat only to check a few moments later at the 4-2 scoreline-happy days.
Galatasary-what a bunch of muppets -at home to the bottom side, 1/8and lose 1-0-worse still they scuppered the mug punter acca the bar stewards!
HEREFORD
A couple to note in Fabulous Jet and Mickmacmagoogle today at Hereford but I won't back them (or lay them either!)
PLUMPTON
220
BETTING FORECAST: 15/8 Fix The Rib, 3/1 Canalturn, 9/2 Wheres Johnny, 11/2 Derry City, 14/1 Fortification, Royal Arms, 20/1 Dynamic Rhythm, Mustamad, 33/1 Coast Of Malabar .
| SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: FIX THE RIB and Canalturn look the pick of this field with marginal preference for Gary Moore's runner now he's upped in trip.[EMW] |
The inclusion of Derry City is possiblein the following way(at prices at time of writing)
WheresJohnny-4.7 STAKE £10 PROFIT £13
Fix the Rib-3.5 STAKE £10PROFIT £1
Canalturn-4.4 STAKE £10PROFIT £10
DERRY City-8.2 STAKE £4LOSS £1.20
Now watch as Fortification romps home!
320
BETTING FORECAST: 7/4 Massini Sunset, 5/1 High Tech Made, Noble Bily, 7/1 Clyffe Hanger, Peut Etre Sivola, 12/1 Silver Serg, 14/1 Buckland Gold, 16/1 Single Player .
| SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: MASSINI SUNSET has two wins and a big-priced third to his name in three starts for today's jockey and, while 20lb higher than at the turn of the year, he's only back to the mark off which he made his handicap debut over hurdles and is still on just 88. Better can be expected of Clyffe Hanger down in trip if he puts in a decent round.[GW] |
Potential price gapper,but as with Macmar - a horse in a handicap over jumps with a 20lb rise since the start of the year.
TOP RPR, TOPSPEED, good price gap to the next,12 of 13 tipsters - today's jockey has won on him,
The straight 8 means those who think this may be one too many can take an each way option in the hope of bigger returns. I will place back Massini Sunset at an unappealing 1.31.
WOLVES
310
BETTING FORECAST: 6/4 Might Be Magic, 7/4 Nags To Riches, 7/2 Awesome Light, 14/1 Crystal Spirit, 20/1 Lawton, Woodland Mist, 66/1 Me No Puppet, 100/1 Majestic Issue .
| SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: An ordinary maiden which can go to NAGS TO RICHES who caught a tartar at Southwell last time. Might Be Magic and Awesome Light are the obvious threats.[AC] |
A maiden and the market tells us that, at 7/4 the front 2, this should chiefly concern Might be magic and NAgs to Riches. All horses have had a run previously so there's no superstar debutant to pop home at 33/1! One thing to be wary of is the number in the fieldwho have only had the one outing and can be expected to improve with experience.
That said, if we look strictly at the prices, then this will concern 3 horses with the 2 at 7/4 being the most likely.
There are 2 ways into this race .Dutch to level stakes Nags to Riches and Might be MAgic, or back Aswome Light each way in the hope he places at least BUT may suprise if the front 2 consent not to run to their prices.
The biggest pay out will be on Awsome light to place at 1.9. I will transfer some of the potential winnings from the place onto the win only market as the horse is 7 at present. If he places ,we profit marginally and get our stakes back. If he wins, its big payout!. At time of writing the market is not fully formed so I expect Awsome Light to be showing better prices later in the day
THE 3 INTO 1 SYSTEM
240 WOLVES - Morbick
320 PLUMPTON - Massini Sunset - see above for personal opinion
510 Wolves - Montjford -very short odds and Yes Mr President there incase he doesn't win
FOOTY
Undone by Galatasary yesterday with the mug punter acca.
Tonight sees one of the French teams I follow in Nantes away to Sedan but the market can't split the sides.(incidentally Getafe,the Spanish side I follow ,beat Real MAdrid on their patch last night -a horrendous losing run for Real which must be corrected soon so watch out!)
MK Dons face Swansea and again the market is telling us nothing.Ditto with Man City v Everton.
A no bet today in the footy.There is no real angle in.
A quietish day with some unspectacular returning bets
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