4/12

With the first goal coming after 10 minutes there was no problems with the over 2.5 goal trade even though we never got over 2.5 goals. Ronaldo's 58th minute goal left half an hour where the market expected a third goal so this was clearley reflected as the overs price reduced below that at which we'd backed earlier.
Tevez should have scored - but it wasnn't to be. And Chef Key Cooch Key should have equalised just before half time for Fulham - at 5.3 the odds were worth backing instead of restrictive 1/5 or lower match odds.
On the horse racing front, all 3 horses placed although one was punted into 7/4 which was not an each way price, and came 2nd. THe number of "sure things" that didn't win yesterday showed the perils of jumps racing in heavy ground with small fields. Zennerman managed 2nd at odds on in the seller - I was not confident about this one at all
110 HEREFORD
BETTING FORECAST: 13/8 Never So Blue, 9/2 Tosula, 6/1 High Jack, 9/1 Oncle Bul, Roussea, 10/1 Musical Gift, 14/1 Chicago Alley, 16/1 Eyes To The Right, Silvo, 20/1 Macreater, 25/1 Master Bell, Northern Quest .
SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: The key horse is NEVER SO BLUE, who will win easily if able to show anything close to his best hurdles form off a mark 29lb lower over fences. It is possible to make excuses for a down the field effort from Never So Blue in his only previous chase run here last winter and, in a very ordinary contest today, he is hard to get away from.Another possible " hard to beat " candidate "will win easily IF" and "he is hard to get away from" -a semblance of a price gap
300 WOLVES
BETTING FORECAST: 5/4 Confidentiality, 5/1 Keisha Kayleigh, 7/1 Muncaster Castle, Royal Envoy, 12/1 Time To Regret, 16/1 Cavallo Di Ferro, King´s Ransom, Western Roots, 20/1 Todwick Owl, 33/1 Pop Music .
SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: At the weights this is a much sterner test than CONFIDENTIALITY has faced lately, but such was the manner of her last two successes, not least over plenty of in-form rivals last time, that she gets the vote again with question marks surrounding most of her most obvious rivals. If there is a good gallop on Keisha Kayleigh would also come very much into the reckoningA handicap race - yes you guessed it - another multiple winner installed as short price favourite in Confidentiality - I think this horse can be taken on today as he increases in the weights with each progressive win. 2nd fav Keisha Kayleigh is an each way price.
FOOTY

At the odds tonight, Milan are expected to beat Celtic. Both teams need a draw, but there are obvious concerns over Celtic's away form in the Champions League which could scupper their chances. An ultra defensive set up could be in store .Quite unbelievably the draw is 10/11! this result suits both sides. I would expect an under 2.5 goal trade to have a good chance of success here.