BETTING FORECAST: 7/4 Rebel Melody, 9/4 Commander Vic, 7/2 Mortimers Cross, 8/1 Standandbecounted, 16/1 Hello My Lovely, 20/1 El Batal, 33/1 Dad´s Army, Orchard King, Silver Feather, 66/1 Best Deal, Clande Boye, 100/1 Go Gunner, Red Sea Raven .
| SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: MORTIMERS CROSS didn't beat a lot at Uttoxeter but he was impressive enough and was always likely to improve for a good test of stamina, so could be up to defying a penalty.[GW] |
155 KEMP
BETTING FORECAST: 4/7 Harchibald, 5/1 Punjabi, 11/2 Straw Bear, 12/1 Acambo, 14/1 Gwanako, 20/1 Penzance .
| SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: No guaranteed pacesetter, though Gwanako led in some of his races in France and wouldn't want a dawdle dropped back to 2m. HARCHIBALD stands out, looking back to his formidable best when winning the Fighting Fifth Hurdle at Newcastle last time and being by some way the best horse in this field. The winner of this in 2004, despite being set a great deal to do when reeling in runaway leader Rooster Booster, Harchibald is a confident choice to score again |
"a confident choice" - it all points to Harchibald here
230 KEMP
BETTING FORECAST: 4/5 Kauto Star, 5/1 Exotic Dancer, 7/1 My Way De Solzen, Taranis, 9/1 Racing Demon, 14/1 Our Vic, 66/1 Hi Cloy .
| SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: KAUTO STAR (nap) is a confident choice, being by some way the best horse in the field. Although old rival Exotic Dancer got closer to the idling winner than he ever has at Haydock last time, the selection has come out in front in all four of their previous meetings and is clearly superior. Exotic Dancer is much the most persuasive of the opposition but with all due respect to him, the main question for backers is whether Kauto Star can manage to get round without serious mishap and there is a very strong chance that he will, with this small field in his favour and having jumped soundly for the most part last time. Our Vic is best of those at bigger odds and may be third best |
Surely exoctic dancer each way is the value bet given the close proximity at the line last time out?
115 MARKET RASEN
BETTING FORECAST: 5/2 Ronald Jack, 3/1 Bouncing King, 4/1 Raining Horse, 5/1 Kitty Wong, 12/1 Custom Design, Lord Collingwood, 20/1 Hot Lips Page, Tirol Livit, 33/1 Supreme Leisure ,
| SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: Several of these can be considered but preference is for KITTY WONG, beaten a long way last month but surely capable of playing a leading part over this trip.[JN] |
1235 SEDGEFIELD
BETTING FORECAST: 6/4 Cash Man, 3/1 Senora Snoopy, 4/1 Hue, 5/1 Osolomio, 10/1 Ignotus, 14/1 The Snurglar, 25/1 Lucius Rufo, 33/1 Lady Delilah, 66/1 Cheers Thank You, Gnillish, 100/1 Habanus Livius, Henbeck Lady, Oscar Trial, 200/1 Longy The Lash .
| SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: With Senora Snoopy yet to race on ground this quick and Hue having a double penalty to shoulder, this may be best left to CASH MAN. A winner over 2m4f on quick ground at Hexham, he shaped well on his handicap debut over an inadequate trip but the return to this distance will be in his favour. Fair Flat handicapper Osolomio is one to keep an eye on for this hurdle debut.[RY] |
105 SEDGEFIELD
BETTING FORECAST: 7/4 Presumptuous, 7/2 Stagecoach Opal, 6/1 King Daniel, Monolith, 10/1 Aitch Doubleyou, Top Cloud, 14/1 Ballyhale, The Gleaner, 33/1 Black Rainbow, Jeringa, 66/1 Callingwood, 100/1 Noquina .
| SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: Presumptuous is the pick of those with chasing experience but his jumping has been very sketchy and he'll have to brush up in that department before he's one to lump on at skinny odds. Stable-companion Stagecoach Opal also has claims but he's not been out for a while and this could go to MONOLITH, a useful hurdler at best who has conditions to suit for this chasing debut.[RY] |
Monolith is the one for early support - again each way
245 SEDG
BETTING FORECAST: 11/4 Stormy Beech, 7/2 Media Man, 9/2 Malt De Vergy, Whatcanyasay, 7/1 The Nomad, 10/1 Nabir, 20/1 Third Empire, 25/1 Ton-Chee, 33/1 Red Dawn .
| SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: A couple of these can make the running and the race should suit STORMY BEECH better than the one in which he finished a respectable third at Catterick last time. He goes on most ground and is fancied to beat Malt De Vergy, who has fair prospects but hangs right and has yet to win over obstacles.[RY] |
A handicap chase and I doubt the first 3 home will be the first 3 in the betting forecast - so Whatcanyasay each way for me
1250 TOWCESTER
| SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: THE PACKAGE went off pretty quickly and did well to maintain the gallop at Newbury. The merit of the form is debatable but the same can be said of the credentials of his principal rivals Tot O'Whiskey and Pop. Pop may prove the main threat in receipt of 10lb from the other pair |
Kiung Jack and Pop eachway again following the logic that I don't think this is a 2 horse race
100 Wetherby
BETTING FORECAST: 9/4 Breaking Shadow, 6/1 Hall Of Fame, Stellenbosch, 10/1 Terenzium, 12/1 Red Wine, 14/1 Ela Re, Go Figure, 16/1 Macchiato, 20/1 Balyan, Little Bob, Namroud, Slavonic Lake, 25/1 Speed Venture, 33/1 Cottam Grange, Goldan Jess, Mr Midaz, Springvic .
| SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: Doubts about a good deal of these and a clear-cut chance for BREAKING SHADOW to complete his hat-trick, going unpenalised for last week's Bangor success. Stellenbosch and Hall Of Fame may give him most to do. |
" a clear cut chance"? for BReaking shadow - at 2/1 I suppose he's worth a punt , personal preference for place only given he's a multiple winner in handicaps (over obstacles)
140 WIN
BETTING FORECAST: Evs Naxox, 8/1 I´m A Legend, 10/1 Sunset Boulevard, Valassini, 12/1 Mossmann Gorge, Ocean Pride, Smokey The Bear, 16/1 Inn For The Dancer, 20/1 Alasil, Fox ´N´ Goose, 25/1 Barodine, Posh Emily, 33/1 April Attraction, Sidney Charles, 40/1 Galaxia, 50/1 Over Ice ,
| SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: There are no flies on Venetia Williams when it comes to wringing the most out of a horse who is ahead of the handicapper and it's hard to get away from NAXOX (nap), unpenalised for last week's easy win in a weak race. Sunset Boulevard might be an interesting each-way alternative if it's not too soft.[PJ] |
Naxox nailed on?
410 WOLVES
I put Our KEs up against Confidentiality last time and at 11/4 she's worthy of support here ,again place only with some on the win
FOOTY
Spurs look good to win to nil against a Fulham side who will keep things tight, but I suspect be overcome 2nd half
Chelsea never lose at home do they? At 2/5 though, they are worth laying for the earlier section of the game as there is enough of a threat that Villa may get the first goal.
What normally happens after a tonking is a marked improvement next time the 2 teams meet and Derby v Liverpool looks good for a Liverpool win to nil. It may take a little while for Liverpool to break Derby down so a draw\Liverpool half time/full time might be worth a speculative punt
Good performance against Chelsea shows Sunderland won't be beaten easily today by Man Utd. The most likely scenario for me is MAn Utd breakthrough with 2 minutes of the first haalf to go. Under 2.5 goals trading looks possible given the probable defensive line up from SUnderland and the fact they're at home.
Portsmouth v Arsenal looks a cracker and a difficult puzzle to solve - Portsmouth still haven't scored at home recently and the last few games have all been under 2.5 goals which may be replicated this evening. Adebayour to score anytime may be worth a tickle!
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