Thursday, 20 December 2007

20/12

So close to being an excellent start to the day with a 9/1 2nd by a head (supreme cara) and a 3/1 winner. To be fair I stopped at the 3/1 winner (whiteoak in the 120 BAngor)as I said I would - 2nd bet of the day - given the trouble we've had in nabbing winners with the difficult and unpredictable conditions. Flintoff unplaced. Rabbit fighter won albeit at short odds. Verbatim 2nd for each way backers. Ryans Future another 4th place. Group Captain won by the shortest of margins and Trust Fund won.
The lay of Liverpool came off again as did the under 2.5goals trade. I was perhaps a bit too optimistic with Reggina! Half time/full time for BAyern Munich easily met at far better prices - the goals certainly came . GAlatasary consented not to score, but Getafe fielded a strong side and were a great price at evens prevailing 2-1.

250 EXETER
BETTING FORECAST: 9/4 Temoin, 5/2 Mark The Book, 4/1 In Accord, 5/1 Portland Bill, 12/1 Snoopy Loopy, 16/1 The Real Deal, 25/1 Barrys Ark, 33/1 Hydromatic, 100/1 Devon Blue, Littleton Aldor .

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: Temoin has comfortably the best form as a hurdler but it is no certainty that he will love this. In Accord is respected if back to his best but there are two others to take very seriously in MARK THE BOOK, who made a highly favourable impression in his first three novice hurdles, and useful hurdler Portland Bil

A 4 horse affair judging by the odds - In accord and Portland Bill each way for me - I hope this isn't a 1-2 for Temoin and Mark the book.

350 EXETER
BETTING FORECAST: 11/8 Pure Genius, 11/2 Maggie Mathias, 15/2 Lady Pilot, 8/1 Phardessa, Takotna, 9/1 Inghwung, Thebelloftheball, 14/1 Blue Speedwell, 16/1 Butterfly Rose, 25/1 Another Present, Azione, Haligreen, 40/1 Campden Annie, Lilac Wine, Miss Penfold, Super Lady, 100/1 Double´s Daughter, Kitebrook .

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: PURE GENIUS (nap) makes clearly the most appeal after her Newbury second first time out over hurdles, even though the likes of Maggie Mathias and winners Lady Pilot and Takotna have shown promise

18 runner mares only novices hurdle and quite obviously Pure Genius is the fancied runner and may be worth siding with , probably ideally a place only bet for me.

130 SOUTHWELL
BETTING FORECAST: 3/1 Ruffie, 100/30 Louisiade, 7/2 Shifty, 6/1 Amorist, 8/1 Davidia, 10/1 Time For Change, 12/1 Sion Hill, 33/1 Meeting Of Minds, Mr Chocolate Drop, Shopfitter, 50/1 By Storm, Global Achiever .

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: Most of these have questions to answer. Louisiade and Shifty have leading claims if they can recapture the form they were showing here in the first part of the year but this return to 1m will suit RUFFIE, whose C&D record reads 32013, and she can step up on last week's second here in a 7f seller.

Ruffie each way looks good enough for a place at least given the course and distance form mentioned by SPotlight

Everton look massive at 4/1 tonight away from home. RAther than backing them, perhaps laying AZ Alkmaar may reap some rewards.































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