Thursday, 13 December 2007

13/12

2 4th places v frustrating yesterday - overs came in in BArcelona game - why didn't I lay Rangers if I said I expected Lyon to score? - poor call despite readin gthe game right. I thought the Arse would get the 2-0 but 2-1 final result
Dart won with Spencer showboating - most impressive winners recently
HUNTINGDON
100
BETTING FORECAST: 5/2 Back On Line, 9/2 Lady Racquet, 11/2 Blackbriery Thyne, Bonchester Bridge, Papeete, 8/1 Kitty Wong, 10/1 High Life, 25/1 Hot Lips Page, 33/1 The Sneakster .
SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: Plenty of these can be given a chance, including last time out winner Back On Line and Lady Racquet, but preference is for KITTY WONG, who ran better than the final result suggests at Uttoxeter last month.
Remember the other day when we took on the fav - well here's another hint at a n open race "plenty of these can be given a chance"
The sneakster is out leaving the straight 8. Only one real outsider at 66/1 in Hot lips page. Again I will chance 3 at level stakes in Lady Raquet, Blackbriery Thyne, and Bonchester Bridge to level stakes as long as they are all over 3/1. Alternatively lay the fav Back in line

130
BETTING FORECAST: 3/1 Warningcamp, 4/1 Ingratitude, 9/2 Stellenbosch, 5/1 Mille Et Une, 13/2 Red Wine, 10/1 Mcgruders Cross, 12/1 Doctor David, Lester Leaps In .
SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: WARNINGCAMP (nap) still looks on a fair mark and he gets the vote ahead of Ingratitude. Stellenbosch could be best of the others, with Mille Et Une unproven on ground like this.[EMW]3 in double figures - the favourite Warningcamp is at 4/1 in the morning market which is a backable each way price - he should be competitive for a place at least and has the advantage of being Spotlight's nap

TAUNTON
BETTING FORECAST: 11/10 Welsh Main, 5/1 Master T, 6/1 Sninfia, 8/1 Royal Prodigy, 9/1 Barren Lands, 12/1 Share My Dream, 14/1 Fortune Point, 20/1 A Double Ewe Bee, 22/1 Imperial Amber, 25/1 Rude Health, The Iron Giant, 28/1 Argento, Proud Peer, 40/1 Reelinga, 50/1 Croft, Hornpipe .
SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: Master T is still a fair enough performer over fences and commands plenty of respect at this level on his first hurdles run since April 2004 but preference is for WELSH MAIN, who did well enough in a better C&D handicap on last month's seasonal debut, given he was hampered in running.[
Possible price gapper here in Welsh MAin, even more pronounced in the morning betting.
POSITIVES - AP McCoy on board - dropping to selling company after running in bettewr quality races
NEGATIVES - big fields of poor performers open up to incidents during the race

Against my better judgement, I will put up Welsh Main - the morning price gap is significant and this could be a race of quantity over quality. Watch out for A Double Ewe Bee - hint at a stable gamble? 20/1 into 16/1. I remember another from this yard with a similar name - double you cubed who won 2 in succession at 16/1 2 years ago. after similarly being clipped in price - given the race type though, I won't be wading in with big stakes

120
BETTING FORECAST: 5/4 Beau Michel, 5/2 Opera De Coeur, 6/1 Mole´s Chamber, 13/2 Dream Falcon, 16/1 Winds And Dragons, 20/1 Jamadiel, Mokujin, 25/1 Ackhurst, 40/1 Elbow Lane .
SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: BEAU MICHEL has been given plenty of time to recover after reportedly finishing distressed on his last hurdles start in April (when still showing career-best form) and is the likeliest winner switched to fences now. With Opera De Coeur having something to prove both at 3m and over fences, Dream Falcon may be next best
A beginners chase - 5 of the 9 are over 16/1 and Mole's chamber looks a good each way bet

WOLVES
750 - Guess who's running again? Confidentiality. Odds on price suggests a 6 timer today, unlike Fast Freddie at 11/4 the other day.
Again another hike in the weights. I must oppose again because Confidentiality will lose sometime. A simple lay to follow in running given the prices
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