Monday 21 January 2008

21/1

Wynberg placed at 5/1 but another market mover came out of the woodwork - did you notice Fulford - look at the price below in the betting forecast , and compare that with the 9/4 the horse went off at ( 9/4 joint favourite too)
250 WOLVES
BETTING FORECAST: 7/4 Bold Diva, 4/1 Regal Veil, 6/1 Weetfromthechaff, 8/1 Fulford, Liani, Wynberg, 16/1 Andrasta, Little Finch .

And yes, Fulford won! A classic stable gamble?
Mujamead won the race of the year, the class 7 classified stakes and the lay of Qassi came good. Mujamead was the best selection to place only as hinted at . If you backed all 3 to level stakes (eg £10) you would have lost about £2 on Mujamead.- worth the gamble incase Slavonic was competitive.
Everton won by that single goal as hinted at. I was very frustrated with the 2 games I chose as the scorelines 1-1 and 0-2 could have been easily incorprated into the correct score dutches without inflicting any great losses to profits - better safe than greedy!
Ghana won 2-1 which was pleasing, although they left it late, they still won and the 1.6 looked very good.
On to today and the all weather really is taking priority.
HEavy ground at Folkstone and ,as you know by now, a cautious attitude must be taken.
A very decent card and I could put up some bets but best to leave heavy ground race cards alone - discipline
KEMPTON
320 - and Waterside is the same price as Ghana were last night. Concern that the 2/5 betting forecast price is not mirrored in the live market. 1/2 is reasonable enough but I wouldn't go any lower. One to monitor in running too as the price should fall consistently through the race.
420
BETTING FORECAST: 5/2 Davids Mark, 3/1 Balerno, Taboor, 8/1 Mister Incredible, 10/1 Maiden Investor, 14/1 The Carpet Man, 20/1 Sherjawy, 33/1 Lady Fas, Noddledoddle .

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: Few a case can be made for and, with Taboor still to win at this trip and Balerno achieving little when previously tried in headgear, the way looks open for DAVIDS MARK to take the spoils.[

A 4 horse race is betting forecast is accurate. Taboor at 5/1 currently represents a decent enough each way shot - should be competitive for the place and perhaps the win

WOLVES
230
BETTING FORECAST: 6/4 Northern Desert, 5/2 Arctic Desert, 5/1 Louisiade, 10/1 Circus Polka, Pianoforte, Sarraaf, 50/1 Spence´s Choice .

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: NORTHERN DESERT (nap) had Arctic Desert behind him when second in a Lingfield seller earlier in the month and although he is worse off with him today, he has since bolted up. He is taken to confirm the placings this time and the pair look to have something in hand of their rivals
Spotlight seems confident of a 1-2 Northern Desert and Arctic Desert - both are backable to level stakes with the bigger payout on Arctic desert.
FOOTY
Well the African Cup got off to a good start.
Ivory Coast v Nigeria looks the pick today and could be good for an under 2.5 goal trade early on despite the fire power in both teams . They look evenly matched to me.
Liverpool have beaten Villa on all 3 occasions in recent history at Anfield but ,at 1.63 , are worthy of laying in my opinion against an improving Villa side who, recently, held them to a 0-0 at their pad.
This is, as ever, an in running trade, and the hope is for a Villa goal, -Villa have scored in each of the 3 above mentioned occasions. The hope is that John Carew plays today for Villa - he is likely to give Sami ( nursing home) Hyppia a torrid time.

No comments: