Great result for Bayern. I just thought that price was way too big against a Swiss side. Bastien Schweinsteiger is definitely on my Christmas Card list.
3pm - Croatia U17 v Bulgaria U17 - 1.59 home - 2-0 in 2007 - Croatia have drawn 3 of their last 4 and only won one of their last 7.
Bulgaria have lost their last 4,
5pm - Palestine v Iraq - 1.29 away - 4-0 and 3-0 to the Iraqis in friendlies and in another WAFF Championship game they won 1-0 in 2007. - Illiquid betting market. www.bet365.com is more liquid at 1.25 to Iraq.
Palestine have drawn 6 and lost 6 of their last 12 matches. This included the 2 defeats by Iraq on 10th and 14th July 2009.
At home, Palestine have played sparcely, losing 7 and drawing 1 since 2007.
Iraq beat Yemen on 25th September 2010 2-1.
Yemen beat Palestine 3-1 on 27th September 2010.
This indicates the odds for Iraq could be correct.
WWLWWWW recent form for Iraq, albeit mainly in friendlies.
LLDLLDLLD for Iraq away from home ( included 2 0-0's and 2 1-0's, and they played Spain and South Korea in World Cup friendlies)
530pm - Rubin Kazan v Barcelona - 1.73 away - 0-0 and 1-2 famous results for Rubin Kazan last Champions League (2009) surely a repeat will not be tolerated this time? Likely to play "shut out" again? Maybe we should learn from last year and back Barca and the 0-0 insurance cover bet?
Rubin's last 3 matches have been 1-0's ( 2 wins and a loss) so could play tight but unlikely to be free flowing goalscorers.
Rubin have won their last 7 matches at home .
Barca have won their 3 away league matches and have put to bed winning sequences by Athletico Madrid . They were 1.7 against Athl Bilbao and beat them 3-1 in what was expected to be a tough match.
Will they break this Rubin hoodoo?
745pm - Inter v W Bremen -1.51 home - still not convinced by the Fat Spanish Waiter at Inter, but he was adept in the Champions League at Liverpool, generally delivering the results required.
2-1 Werder and 1-1 draw in 2008 head to heads.
5,5,2,4,0,6 - the goals in Werder games this season.
Werder have conceded 2,4,2,2 in their last 4 matches. Their games are generally over 2.5 goals fodder.
Inter are surprisingly warm favourites here at 1.51 . They did score 2 against Twente away from home in their most recent Champions League fixture.
Tough one to call. Under 4.5 goals is 1.19 which is quite high.
745pm - Valencia v Man Utd - the form team in the Spanish League.Man Utd won a friendly 2-0 in 2009.
WDWWWW ( latest first) for Valencia this season. They have not played Real Madrid or Barca yet, but did beat Athletico Madrid.
Can we take anything from their summer friendlies? 0-0 at Villa and 2-0 loss at Man City.
United v Rangers - United put an insultingly poor side out against Rangers and paid the price with a draw in a game they should have won. This arrogance should ensure a strong team tonight.
United are unbeaten this season and full of goals in the league.
2,3,3,3,2,3 in the league this season.
745pm - Rangers v Bursaspor- 2 of the weakest sides in their group meet. The Rangers result against Man Utd was more down to Old Red Nose's arrogance in putting a weak team out, than any shut out job by Rangers.
Bursaspor were beaten 4-0 by Valencia. What can we gauge from this?
3am - Santos Laguna v Joe Public FC - 1.19 home - I think this is concacaf champions league and Mexican home side v Trinidad and Tobago side. 5-2 to Santos in recent head to heads.
Santos have won 10 and drawn 2 of their last 12 at home in all competitions.
LDD for Joe Public in their CHampions League matches. The 5-2 Santos result was as recently as August 2010 and was away from home. The 1.19 looks right but I don't know the proper price as this is an illiquid market with so long til kick off.
200 SALISBURY
BETTING FORECAST: 7/4 Chain Lightning, 100/30 Discoteca, 15/2 Argocat, 8/1 Violet Ray, 9/1 Blue Dazzler, 10/1 Census, 12/1 Kadoodd, 20/1 Great Shot, Salaamie, 28/1 Dixie Land Band, Smart George, 40/1 Drumadoon, Sum Satisfaction.
| DIOMED VERDICT: CHAIN LIGHTNING (nap) sets quite a useful standard on his second placings behind decent winners in 7f maidens of late and can gain a deserved first win. Discoteca may pose most problems. |
Yesterday's 2 year old had a viable excuse for underperforming - and that was that he did not handle Brighton as I flagged up.
Chain lightning was a head 2nd last time out. This Hannon/Hughes 2 year old is yet another market leader with deceptively comforting form of 22 in last 2 runs, but we have seen that we are stilling putting our faith in 2 year olds.
Analysis of last run
"Chain Lightning improved from his debut, when he started slowly, to finish runner-up in a fair 7f maiden atEpsom in July. He set a fair standard and his rider tried to make his experience count by jumping him out and dictating the gallop. He could not hold off the winner´s challenge but battled back under pressure and should not have to wait too long to get off the mark".
210 NEWCASTLE
BETTING FORECAST: 6/4 Parlour Games, 9/4 Jalors, 5/1 El Torbellino, Good Boy Jackson, 16/1 Blue Ronnie, 33/1 Copt Hill, Diamond City, Smirfys Emerald, 66/1 Willow´s Wish, 100/1 Good Faith.
| DIOMED VERDICT: PARLOUR GAMES shaped well on his debut, is open to improvement and, unlike his main market rival Jalors is proven in soft ground. |
Another maiden and 2 year olds meet soft ground. Parlour games, as mentioned above, is used to the soft, albeit from a solitary run.
This is a race where only 4 of the 8 are under 25/1
230 SALISBURY
BETTING FORECAST: 11/8 Zain Shamardal, 4/1 Carlton House, 15/2 Danceyourselfdizzy, 17/2 Lejaam, 10/1 Albert Bridge, Pivotman, 12/1 Xclaim, 16/1 Diamond Bob, 20/1 Whiplash Willie, 25/1 Experimentalist, 40/1 Fleeting Tiger, 50/1 Tileyf.
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