***** ONE A DAY 310 GOODWOOD - back Clear Reason to place only**** - market needs a bit more liquidity so delay backing to nearer race time
In a day with plenty of opportunities, why on earth I chose the favourite of a competitive St Leger is beyond me. I hope some went with Real Madrid who won. Such idiocy! I fell hook, line and sinker for the bookmaker hype that he was the best backed horse this year blah blah blah! I knoew it was risky and should have insisted on something else.
FOOTBALL
1245pm - AGF v Hvidovre - 1.25 home - Danish 2nd Division - 5 wins and a draw for AGF so far - 7 game unbeaten run - 6 wins and a draw.
AGF used to be a Division 1 side and their home scorelines in Division 2 indicate this is a far easier league for them. 3-1, 3-1, 4-1 in their 3 home matches so far. Away side have lost one and drawn 1 so far away from home
Home side look to have kept the majority of their Division 1 side if home results ( comprehensive wins) are anything to go by.
2pm - Lokomotiv Plovdiv v Montana - 1.33 home - in running - +1.5 to +2.5 asian handicaps.4-2 ( loss) and 3-2 win in 2 head to heads. Goals anyone? Over 1.5 goals includes both sides.Plovdiv have scored 3,2,2,3 in last 4 matches. Early in the season so no immediate form lines.
4pm - Anorthosis v APOP/Kinyras - 1.27 home -only one league match so far with Anorthosis fresh from europa league competition recently.APOP lost their last 6 matches.
WLWWWW for Anorthosis in head to heads typically winning by 2. Their loss came in 2009 , losing 2-0 to APOP.
+2 asian handicap is very optimistic that Anorthosis will replicate the 2 or 3 goals head to heads.
Illiquid betting market alas.
4pm - Plzen v Usti nad Labem - 1.26 home - Czech First Division - Last met in 2005 and 2004.Plzen look the dominant force in this league - 3 times they scored 3 and once they scored 4 and once only 1 goal.
Won 7, drawn 1 of last 8 league matches.
Sigma , 2nd to Plzen so far in the league, won 3-0 at home over Usti so this is expected ideal scoreline for Plzen at home.
430pm - Videoton v Szolnoki MAV - 1.31 home - away side promoted from division 2 to division 1 in Hungary, hence Videoton's short price.
5pm - Brondby v SonderjyskE - 1.48 home - -WDWWWD for head to heads in favour of Brondby so they should not, at least, lose.
DDW at home so far this season for Brondby , hence the tight asian handicaps -2 draws on the trot were score draws.DLW for Sond away and they have been one goal games.
5pm - Rosenborg v Viking - 1.48 home - Norwegian 1st division and Rosenborg a well known club.WDWWW in the league. Rosenborg have won 10 and lost only one ( champions league 1-0 loss to Copenhagen)
At home, they have won all bar one 1-1 draw in last 12 home matches.
In their last 5, viking have drawn 4 and lost 1.
6pm - Metalist v Zorya - 1.38 home - Ukrainian first division. WW in 2010 and 2009 head to heads. Home side have lost their last 3 league matches. Hardly makes them a 1.38 backing prospect .Zorya's last 8 aways have seen 5 1-0's, 2 1-1's and a 0-0. Very consistent defensively away from home.
630pm - AEK v Panserraikos - 1.33 home - 9 wins and 3 draws at home for AEK . Away side look to be one of the promoted sides . Lost 3-2 in only Division 1 away match so far.
AEk only lost against Panathanaikos and Olympiakos last season at home.
7pm - Levski Sofia v Minyor Pernik - 1.16 home - WDWWW for Levski in head to heads.+2.5 asian handicap signals goals which ties in with the 1.16 quote.
Levski have won their last 4, Minyor have lost their last 5.
Levski have won their last 10 at home - scoring 3,2,3,3,5,6,2,2,5,2.
2-1, 3-1, 2-1 away losses for Minyor in most recent league matches.
This should go with the odds or at least a goals bet to be safer ( if the markets become liquid by 7pm)
8pm - South Korea U17 (W) v Germany U17 (W) - 1.16 away - goals here? Germans scored 19 in 2.
5,4,6,3,3,3, the number of goals in South Korea's last 6 matches
11,9, 3, 1,3,4 the number of goals in Germany's last 6 matches.
Goals anyone? The market is ridiculously illiquid at present.
HORSE RACING
Soft ground at the Curragh, Goodwood and Newcastle.
235 GOODWOOD
BETTING FORECAST: 7/4 Mubtadi, 4/1 Bunce, Diamond Charlie, 6/1 Right Said Fred, 8/1 Tipsy Girl, 10/1 Point Du Jour,
| DIOMED VERDICT: There may be more to come from a few of these, with preference for the twice-raced MUBTADI |
4 runners left ( 2 places) and Hannon/Hughes 2 year old Bunce the new favourite - 7 furlongs and soft ground a concern for these 2 year olds.
310 GOODWOOD
BETTING FORECAST: 5/2 Call To Reason, 9/2 Finest Reserve, 5/1 Mujood, 13/2 My Best Bet, 7/1 Mustakmil, Salient, 8/1 Docofthebay, 20/1 Flipping.
| DIOMED VERDICT: CALL TO REASON is totally unexposed and is preferred to Finest Reserve and well-treated course specialist Mujood. |
8 down to 6 runners, and one clear outsider, Call to Reason is a soft ground winner last time out and has Richard Hughes onboard for Jeremy Noseda.
445 NEWCASTLE
BETTING FORECAST: 6/4 Kalk Bay, 4/1 Little Scotland, 6/1 Al Farahidi, 8/1 Bowmaker, Mistic Magic, Tres Coronas, 14/1 Unshakable Will,
| DIOMED VERDICT: KALK BAY is a progressive sort who handles soft ground. |
Handles soft ground this Kalk Bay. Concern he is a multiple winner and they will end their losing run soon enough.
TENNIS - Nadal v Djokovic. Well the lay of Federer to trade proved founded eventually. And I suppose Nadal could be layable as this is a US Open Final.
SHORTLIST
2pm - Lokomotiv Plovdiv v Montana - 1.33 home - over 1.5 goals has a chance of coming in if head to heads can be replicated. Add to this Plovdiv's recent goalscoring exploits and we have a shout in this in running match.1.24 in an illiquid market.
4pm - Plzen v Usti nad Labem - 1.26 home - price looks backable based on Plzen's strong winning form and goalscoring.
630pm - AEK v Panserraikos - 1.33 home - strong home form last season I hope can carry on this season against newcomers who I hope will not " do a Hercules" ( Barca fans will know)
7pm - Levski Sofia v Minyor Pernik - 1.15 home - Levski have won their last 10 at home - scoring 3,2,3,3,5,6,2,2,5,2
I would like a goals bet but the markets are too illiquid.
1.10 with the bookies - £3,500 is available at 1.15 currently.
8pm - South Korea U17 (W) v Germany U17 (W) - markets too illiquid
310 GOODWOOD - Clear reason looks to have a great place only chance 1.15 to place in an illiquid market
SHORTLIST OF THE SHORTLIST
4pm - Plzen v Usti nad Labem - 1.26 home - home side just look solid but the Czech league - a solid betting proposition? I don't know
7pm - Levski Sofia v Minyor Pernik - 1.15 home £3,500 currently available and all points to comfortable home win given the goalscoring exploits of home side.
310 GOODWOOD - yes soft ground but Clear Reason won on soft latest and is clear price gapper in a 6 runner race, 3 places and one clear outsider at 25/1
- --------------------
NB Please note that these email advices are duplicated via the blog at the following address.
http://www.cliveoneaday.com
------------
Please note there is no guarantee that these selections will win. Gambling is high risk and Canonbury Publishing Ltd and it's writers and editors cannot be held accountable for any monetary losses incurred. Please note that any bets you place are at your own risk.
----------------
One A Day
oneadayclive@canonburypublishing.com
Subscription Line: 0208 597 0181
-------------------------
Canonbury Publishing Ltd
Unit 1, Hainault Works, Hainualt Road, Little Heath,
Romford, RM6 5SS
Registered office address:
Canonbury Publishing Ltd, Curzon House, 24 High Street, Banstead, Surrey, SM7 2LJ
Registered in England No: 193 7374 Vat No: GB 629 7287 94
1 comment:
Hey, you experienced running around being scared to open your mouth? I'm sure you do that's why a lot of you are always working trying to attract money. lol looking for drugs and finances because you need dental reconstruction. anyway, i'm not selling anything or anything but i do want to encourage everyone to look up veneers. google it or find it somewher or ask your dentist. it is the freaking best thing the world.
all that wonderful candy that those retards at mars got you tricked you and got you and your wife running around looking like the wicked witches and wizards of the west.
You go to the denstist and get a cleaning but what the hell is that going to do? You've got caved in teeth, appalachan mountain teeth, rocky mountain teeth, and general crackhead related teeth.
It's rough on you I know but it's true. I used to be the same way. I did happen to spend a couple g's on some veneers in atlanta ga (google it if you're not from the US). Now I do give a happy smile on every occasion i meet a face, in abstract to the past where it's hide the smile! But anyway some of you might definitely need to undergo such a process.
From another perspective, it's a great way to continue the dental industry and make sure we have motivated dentists to come up with new innovative ways to fix our teeth. veneers is a big step over gold and silver teeth replacements which are gaudy and look crazy.
[url="http://veneers.posterous.com/"]atlanta veneers[/url]
Post a Comment