All shortlisters placed
150 SALISBURY
BETTING FORECAST: 11/4 Entreat, 3/1 Aromatic, 9/2 Polly´s Mark, 8/1 Silken Promise, You Say I Say, 10/1 Luthien, 12/1 Jumaana, Morning Calm, 16/1 Beauchamp Xiara, 33/1 Lady Artemisia, 40/1 Rocky Heights, 50/1 Vella, 100/1 No Sting,
SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: Interesting to see if the market again prefers Entreat to You Say I Say, while progressive Polly's Mark looks sure to give it another good shot but Ribblesdale entry AROMATIC is an interesting filly for middle distances this year and her promising 2yo run has been made to look all the better recently.[PJ] |
3rd fav a non runner. Only 4 under 12/1 in this maiden - some powerful stables represented
200 PERTH
BETTING FORECAST: 7/4 Present Gesture, 3/1 Divers, 9/2 Mr Woods, 5/1 So Billiant, 6/1 Winning Counsel, 12/1 Fool´s Wildcat, 100/1 Hurricane Warning.
SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: Mr Woods could take plenty of catching if he's allowed his own way up front, while Divers also enters calculations, but the vote goes to PRESENT GESTURE (nap) who ran well in a decent handicap at Cheltenham last month and hasn't had many chances at this sort of trip.[SB] |
3rd fav a non runner should emphasise the price gap between the front 2 and the rest of the field
only 2 places though and only 1 real outsider
210 YORK
BETTING FORECAST: Evs Dar Re Mi, 2/1 Crystal Capella, 3/1 Changing Skies, 25/1 Princess Taylor, 100/1 Rio Guru.
SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: This looks a suitable starting-off point for DAR RE MI, unpenalised for her Group 3 win last summer and capable of acquitting herself well against the best of her sex, and, as she has won from the front, it is unlikely that connections will let this develop into a test of speed. Crystal Capella ended last year very much on the upgrade but this demands more conceding 4lb all round while Changing Skies could use some rain.[AC] |
5 runner race and 2 outsiders who hopefully can be discounted in this group 3 class 1 race
Frankie on fav, Ryan on 2nd fav and Frank on 3rd fav. Fav has not run since October 2008 and this has been a dilemma during all early summer flat races
Changing skies 6/1 should not pose a threat to the 2 market leaders if the prices are accurate
240 YORK
BETTING FORECAST: 6/4 Crowded House, 6/1 Kite Wood, 13/2 Freemantle, 8/1 Redwood, 10/1 Nehaam, 12/1 Sans Frontieres, 14/1 Black Bear Island, 16/1 Glass Harmonium, 20/1 Monitor Closely, Native Ruler.
SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: An enthralling race packed full of lightly raced, highly promising sorts and Crowded House will need to be every bit as good as he looked in the Racing Post Trophy to justify his lofty place in the Derby betting. With Godolphin now showing signs of a resurgence their acquistion KITE WOOD, who looked such a good prospect for middle distances last autumn, can put down his marker for Epsom in a race to savour.[AC] |
Headline horse Crowded House is a price gapper in this Group 2 race and must, by default, be respected -I see my old pal is on board which, ahem, fills me with confidence - again not run since October 2008 -this really is a competitive field too
300 PERTH
BETTING FORECAST: Evs Lord Lansdown, 7/2 Essifer, 9/2 Arturo Uno, 13/2 Seven Is Lucky, 12/1 Oscar´s Emerald, 20/1 Putitawayforayear, 33/1 Mr McGonagle, 66/1 Athollbrose, 100/1 Theatre Rights.
SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: LORD LANSDOWN doesn't leave the strong impression he wants a drop to 2m but he may get away with it at this level as he has a decent chance on what he's achieved over hurdles and promises to be even better as a chaser.[SB] |
Another fav for trainer Gordon Elliott whose shorties well, fell short yesterday
3 horses are 100/1 or bigger
Only 4 horses under 16/1
325 SALISBURY
BETTING FORECAST: 5/1 Shadow Bay, 11/2 Special Cuvee, 6/1 Taste Of Honey, 7/1 Danies Boy, 8/1 Swiss Art, 10/1 Swans A Swimming, 12/1 Cognac Boy, Countess Zara, 16/1 Louidor, Miss Kadee, MrFlannegan, 20/1 Inside Trade, Steamer, 33/1 Abhainn, Cwmni, 50/1 Benetti, Kamanja.
SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: bShadow Bay, Special Cuvee, Taste Of Honey and Swiss Art at least know how to win and are all well drawn, but preference is for DANIES BOY, who has shaped well enough in maidens to suggest he could be hard to beat at this level.[SM] |
Danies Boy 2/1 and well fancied it would seem in this claimer
335 PERTH
BETTING FORECAST: 6/4 Eddie Dowling, 4/1 Jordan´s Light, Knocklayde Rose, 5/1 Shipboard Romance, 10/1 Red Seven, 12/1 Cherri Fosfate, 25/1 Princess Of Aeneas, 33/1 Spare Days.
SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: EDDIE DOWLING looks the pick of the weights on the balance of his form dropped to a claimer. Fellow Irish raiders Knocklayde Rose and Cherri Fosfate also haven't had many chances over hurdles and may be capable of making an impact at this level.[SB] |
8 runners down to 7 and Eddie Dowling remains strong at time of writing
420 YORK
BETTING FORECAST: 7/4 Beethoven, 5/1 Original Dancer, 7/1 Fine Sight, Hasty, 9/1 Almadaa, 10/1 Flying Statesman, No Hubris, 14/1 Trade Secret, 33/1 Kerolad, 50/1 Tagula Pearl.
SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: The pair with form look likely to fall short of the required standard and the betting should provide some valuable clues. BEETHOVEN is likely to make a bold bid to follow in the hoofprints of Marcus Andronicus who made a winning debut for Aidan O'Brien here four years ago. Original Dancer may be the one to beat.[ Price gapper here for Ballydoyle in a race where, all bar 2, are debutants so live market is key and an element in bookmaker's assessment of horses ' abilities. 525 LUDLOW BETTING FORECAST: 7/4 Sergheyev, 3/1 Capo Di Capi, 7/2 North Walk, 4/1 Bet Noir, 20/1 Epidaurian King, 25/1 Bailey France, Judgement Of Error, Pistol Hill, 100/1 Star Berry.
4 under 20/1 in the betting forecast but not reflected in the live betting market. Epidaurian is now 12/1 and Bailey France is 10/1 - important market movers or has the betting forecast got it wrong? 545 NEWMARKET BETTING FORECAST: 10/11 The Hermitage, 7/4 Marosh, 12/1 Social Grace, 14/1 Audacity Of Hope, Rosedale.
Strong market support for the fav here in a maiden where 3 have had the one run out and 2 are debutants. Again live market is a key determinant. Fav is a Johnston horse and his horses are characterised by their fighting spirit - head 2nd only a week or so ago is highly encouraging. 650 NEWMARKET BETTING FORECAST: 9/4 Ottoman Empire, 11/2 Flame Of Gibraltar, Mared, 6/1 Alhaque, 7/1 Xtra Special, 10/1 Golden Rock, 12/1 Twisted, 14/1 Danse On Wood, 16/1 Gripsholm Castle.
Fav a price gapper of sorts - others to consider Mared and Alhaque (the latter i have backed to place successfully previously) 705 LUDLOW BETTING FORECAST: 2/9 Mcevoy, 6/1 Cheeky Lad, 14/1 Seaforde, Super Nomad, 33/1 Give Me Love, Made In France,
Again, in a tricky day, can we just let the bookmakers point us in the right direction? 750 FOLKSTONE BETTING FORECAST: 11/8 Organiz, 11/4 Kadount, 7/2 Hatsnall, 14/1 Ilikehimmac, 20/1 Hi Fi, Reflex Blue, 25/1 Bally Rainey, River Pirate, 33/1 Future To Future, 50/1 Brigadier Du Bois.
hunter chase with 3 only under 20/1 - the ones to concentrate on? Kadount is 7/4 along with Organiz 810 LUDLOW BETTING FORECAST: 10/11 Horseford Hill, 11/8 King´s Alchemist, 6/1 Prince Of Gdansk, 25/1 Spiritwind, 100/1 Dawn At Sea, Moonlight, Simplyirresistible.
Only 2 places.Again 3 under 20/1 FOOTBALL
SHORTLIST Currently 1130am so will do update nearer to 1245pm to account for any late possible non runners and market movers. As things stand, the 705 and 810 Ludlow , 545 Nmkt, 210 and 240 York look to be the races to concentrate on Brondby looks the best of the footy shorties at this stage |
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