1/4

ONE A DAY - 230 Ludlow -perfect reward to place only. This is an 8 runner race, 3 only are under 16/1 so even if he may not win, Perfect reward should be competitive with a clear round. Yes, a seller but I am looking at this from a probability perspective. If the betting market is accurate, then there are only 3 in this race, and 3 places available. 1.15 currently.

My one a day bet would have been Sweden u17 v Malta u17 at around the 1.13 offered on Betfair but at time of writing there is £13 available at 1.13, £2 available at 1.12, making this a great frustration.

No racing tomorrow. There will be a message if there are pertinent football/tennis markets to look at.




I know there was not strictly a one a day bet yesterday but that didn't stop one lucky reader speculating on the market movers

" Hi, Clive, cheers for Ring of time (Ring for time!), Mountain Forest and Ajzal - Ajzal ran a cracker in defeat ( I was watching) and like you say someone fancied him . But I can't complain with 8,1 (8/1), 13/2and 5/1 placed on the other horse you mentioned in Mountain Forest's race (Rare coincidence). Yes I know, not really betting one a day, but I had the day off and thought I'd follow the market movers. Glad I did-cheers - Derek!"

Well done to Derek for sniffing out those 4 horses from the messageNow this won't happen every day of the week, but it just shows that there may be more to the one a day message than just my choice. Remember the day before, Cobo Bay and Red Gulch won. It will be worth my while I think, to monitor these "all red" bets as they do signal horses that are 1) fancied and 2) being backed continuously during the day.

To be honest I had no need to be so cautious yesterday.The 240 and 300 races both went as I had hoped.
The Arsenal/Arsenal lay came in .

230 LUDLOW
BETTING FORECAST: 8/15 Perfect Reward, 9/2 Jordan´s Light, 6/1 Cantabilly, 14/1 Tar, 16/1 Kirkhammerton, 33/1 No More Favours, 40/1 Pembo, 50/1 The Wily Woodcock.

DIOMED VERDICT: Hard to see beyond PERFECT REWARD, who was better than a plater in Ireland and looked back to that form when winning very well on his debut for this yard in a Fontwell seller recently. Jordan's Light may be next best.

Only 3 under 14/1 here of interest? Note - seller so can they be trusted.

300 lUDLOW
BETTING FORECAST: 8/15 Latanier, 3/1 Matuhi, 5/1 Kack Handed, 33/1 Brimley, 50/1 Varekai.

DIOMED VERDICT: LATANIER is a cut above this opposition on his best form, which includes a C&D win in November. Though he flopped at 1-2 last time, his jumping was uncharacteristically sketcky and 3m was probably too far. He ought to take a lot of catching back over2m4f round here, with Kack Handed preferred to Matuhi for forecast seekers.

A 3 horse race ( slightly different to the 340 Hereford yesterday) with the 3 only under 33/1 to consider for the 2 places

500 LUDLOW
BETTING FORECAST: 6/5 Prescelli, 7/2 Rothres, 4/1 Bescot Springs, 9/1 Future Vision, 14/1 Miller´s Dawn, 16/1 True Blue Saga, 25/1 Dark Oasis, 50/1 Nevada Red.

DIOMED VERDICT: PRESCELLI is preferred to Rothres of the two recent winners. Only 4 under 16/1 and Future vision is the market mover slightly into 6/1 but still worthy of each way support FOOTBALL 645pm - FC Basel v Sion - they just played in their last match - a 2-2 draw. Basel today are 1.33 to win at home. Sion have lost to 3 of the top 5 that they have played away. Would be a great game to trade were it in running as I would suspect Basel would lead at some point in the game 7pm - England u17 v Slovakia u17 - uefa u17 championship - England beat Sweden 4-0 . Sweden beat Slovakia 2-0. Ergo , England beats Slovakia at around 1.3? 7pm - Malta u17 v Sweden u17 - 1.15 away side - spanked by England in their last match, Malta should again fall foul to the Swedes. These 2 markets are very illiquid but prices are available at Sportingbet. 805pm - Hamburg v Standard liege - 1.56 - Standard have only taken one point from the top 4 away from home and I get the feeling Hamburg are equal to, or better, than the top 4 in a limited Belgian league. They have Van Nistelrooy too who should be a class above. There are BRazilian Cup games this evening where all 4 sides at home are under 1.3 to win. Might be worth further investigation if there isn't a good bet anywhere else. 1130pm - Gremio at home are 1.2 on Betfair (limited money) and 1.14 with Ladbrokes. Ditto Atletico pr who are 1.24 on betfair and 1.14 with ladbrokes. Trust the bookies here to show us the more accurate prices? SHORTLIST Heavy ground at the flat meeting at Folkstone means no bets there. Soft ground at Ludlow means we have to be cautious about the possible change in ground conditions. 230 LUDLOW - although this is a selling hurdle, it is 8 runners and 3 places.Only 3 horses under 14/1 and we hope that, like yesterday's 8 runner race with 3 dominating the market, that they all fill the 3 places on offer. Perfect REward is a " cut above this level" and "hard to see beyond" 1.18 to place Perfect reward 1.39 CAntabilly 1.4 Jordan's light Concern with Perfect reward that the win came when left clear after a faller last time out, and that the win was on good to soft ground, but has had plenty of runs on soft ground being an Irish horse. This looks his level with previous form very poor. 300 Ludlow is not a race I would involve myself with, with Latanier failing to place in a 4 horse race last time out when 1/2 favourite. Guess what - similarly priced today. A horse whose jumping is not the best ,leaving me to wonder if the horse is a better lay to back at higher prices in running if making an error. This has the look of a 3 horse race for 2 places but I cannot trust Latanier, and don't know enough about the other 2 market leaders 500 Ludlow - whenever I see a 33/1 shot winning last time and then transplanted into 6/5 favourite, I ge concerned that the last run was an anomoly, and for that reason would not consider Prescelli today. FUTURE VISION is the mover in a race where only 4 are under 16/1 Future vision looks like the winners yesterday - all red and shortening.4/1 is an each way price and with the race as it is, Future Vision could place in the first 3 7pm Malta u17 v Sweden u17 - a game that interests me greatly were it not for the illiquid betting market - £13 at 1.13 and £2 at 1.12 says it all. A pity as this would have been my one a day bet especially with some of the 1.15 that has gone already. SHORTLIST OF THE SHORTLIST 230 LUDLOW - despite the selling status of this race, there are 8 runners, 3 only are under 16/1 and Perfect Reward is a " cut above this level" and "hard to see beyond" and "should be tough to beat" Cantabilly is the one for support other than the favourite at 7/2 presently. With heavy ground at Folkstone, that's it today horse racing wise. I would consider Sweden u17 against malta u17 as a rock solid football bet were it not for the pitiful sums available on Betfair. Sportingbet offer odds of 1.04 in the match odds http://www.sportingbet.com/t/eventbrowsing/sportsAction.aspx?sportGroupIds=102&action=EVALLMARKETS&ecNo=276454&sportNo=102&eventNo=1330585 and I would look at 1.25 half time odds here . If a team are so strongly supported in the match odds market, surely they can score at least one in the first half, BUT remember we are dealing with 80 minute games here. There is an argument for backing Englandu17 against Slovenia today but I would prefer this to be in running. There is a form line as shown that goes through Sweden which is compelling for an England victory

31/03

ONE A DAY -NO BET TODAY nothing rock solid at all today. The 2 shortlist races are both of interest but the 240 Hereford has to presuppose the 3 under 14/1 dominate, and with the ground possibly becoming heavy as the day progresses, I am not willing to take that chance. The 300 Southwell sees the 2 market leaders coming back from long absences - my preference would be Ibn hiyyann to place
As seen last night, the Champions League at this stage is unreadable but I did fancy the Arsenal/Arsenal halftime/fulltime lay
NO BET TODAY, but don't let that stop anyone taken by any of the arguments


An appalling choice yesterday of a team with 2 goals and 10 points lead at the head of the SPL and with zero motivation to win.I was persuaded by the fact Rangers had beaten St Johnstone twice, home and away and had only lost one game away ( that being the only loss all season)
Cue a drubbing. A great frustration as anyone taken by the trade in the 230 Fontwell would have been out of the trade BEFORE THE RACE HAD EVEN BEEN RUN! Superior Wisdom was as low as 1.81 before the race, having been noted at 2.46 earlier.
I pointed out Il Ittihad were facing weakened opposition and they duly won 4-0. The lay of Bayern would have proved profitable despite them winning.

Rangers are no longer betting propositions this season.
A poor final decision.

FOOTBALL

745pm - Inter Milan v CSKA Moscow - 1.46
Inter do not lose at home (IN THE LEAGUE) under Mourinho, and are priced this evening not to lose tonight. In the back of my mind though is the knowledge that CSKA are a surprise package and therefore not to be underestimated - remember they were leading 3-1 at Old Trafford at one stage

745pm - Arsenal v Barcelona - all talk about Messi but we tend to forget how poor he has been against English opposition away . Goals are expected, but why is over 1.5 goals a massive 1.29 relative to what I expected? I am not really taken by Niklas Bendner as a forward of any repute. Ibra and Henry are hardly setting the world alight themselves either ( despite Ibra coming up with the winner mid week and scoring in his last 3 games)
Other bets of interest? Lay Arsenal/Arsenal at halftime/fulltime at 6.2? Equivalent of a 1.19 bet. This bet would be a winner by half time if Barca are winning or if it is a draw. If Arsenal are winning the first half, we still have the 2nd half to redress the balance.
Under 4.5 goals is 1.19 -5 goals would need to be scored for this bet to come in. Recent domestic performances by both sides do not hint at this, and the away goal rule could be a crucial factor.


240 HEREFORD
BETTING FORECAST: 15/8 Shakalakaboomboom, 2/1 Oscar Gogo, 9/2 Keep Guessing, 6/1 Mr Chippy, 14/1 Ring For Time, 20/1 Magusta, Strongbows Legend, 66/1 Dark Haven.

DIOMED VERDICT: Keep Guessing ran well enough on slow ground at Sandown to make him of interest back on this surface, while Oscar Gogo has clearly improved for his layoff, but SHAKALAKABOOMBOOM should be suited by this shorter trip and is given another chance.

My concern at Hereford is that the ground might change to Heavy from the advertised Soft. As things stand ,though, this is an 8 runner field, the smallest field for 3 places ( bar non runners) and of automatic interest.
In the live market there are 3 horses only under 14/1
Big move for Ring for time into 6/1 and the obvious each way alternative?
McCoy on the fav, The Williams clan on the 2nd fav.
3 horses are 40/1 or bigger reducing the competitive field to 5, 3 of whom will place. Favouratism is being shared by Shak and Oscar Gogo.
Oscar Gogo has the hurdles form in the book, Shak has only had the one hurdles run.
1.19 for Oscar gogo to place .

300 SOUTHWELL
BETTING FORECAST: 4/11 Sir Pitt, 5/1 Pennfield Pirate, 6/1 Ibn Hiyyan, 16/1 Rosie Raymond, 66/1 Deportista, Flute Magic, 100/1 Mik.

DIOMED VERDICT: A weak maiden which should go to SIR PITT whose 2yo debut form sets a clear standard and whose in-form trainer wastes few bullets here. The betting forecaster's confidence is not shared in the live market where Sir Pitt is now 4/7. Ibn Hiyyan is now 7/2 and represents Fanning/Johnston. 3 horses only under 25/1 should be the ones to focus on. 1.28 for Sir Pitt to place and 1.75 for Ibn Hiyyan to place. I am a little concerned at the relative lack of confidence with the favourite as compared to the betting forecaster's price. 4 horses are 33/1 or bigger. If the market is correct, this should be a 3 horse race for 2 places 440 HEREFORD BETTING FORECAST: 2/1 Flanagan, 4/1 Azulada Bay, Malindi Bay, 7/1 Abey M´Boy, 8/1 The Chazer, 14/1 Chit Chat, Not A Bob, 16/1 Royal Chatelier, 40/1 Born To Be Wilde, 100/1 Ninogaro. DIOMED VERDICT: Most have something to prove but FLANAGAN (nap) should go very close. Only 5 horses under 25/1 here should be the consideration for the places. 1.31 to place. SPotlight and Diomed expect a competitive run from Flanagan in a race where there are only really 5 contenders if the market is to be believed. 500 SOUTHWELL BETTING FORECAST: 4/1 Stagecoach Emerald, 9/2 Dulce Domum, Zaffeu, 6/1 Bandanaman, 7/1 Orkney, 8/1 Cragganmore Creek, 10/1 Rare Coincidence, 16/1 Mountain Forest, 25/1 Davana, 33/1 Telling Stories, 50/1 Ice And Fire, Just Dan. DIOMED VERDICT: Veteran Zaffeu has claims if reproducing his latest C&D success, but two miles round here is going to suit STAGECOACH EMERALD and he is preferred. Just out of interest, Mountain forest is now 7/1 and shortening and Rare Coincidence now 6/1 Expect Mountain Forest to shorten further. 510 HEREFORD BETTING FORECAST: 11/4 Abbey Dore, 7/2 Glimmer Of Light, 5/1 Wishes Or Watches, 7/1 Mr Parson, 12/1 Kercabellec, 14/1 Bob´s Temptation, Mixsterthetrixster, 16/1 Colinette, 20/1 Major Euro, Tytheknot, Western Pride, 25/1 Ajzal. DIOMED VERDICT: There has been more encouragement from GLIMMER OF LIGHT recently and he can get back to winning ways. Hello, Hello, Hello! Can you see Ajzal in the betting forecast? (hint, look at the end!)Now tell me why he is 4/1 2nd favourite and threatening favouratism? 530 KEMPTON BETTING FORECAST: 11/4 Athwaab, 4/1 Avow, Micky´s Knock Off, 5/1 Blue Neptune, 7/1 Impressioniste, 10/1 Avonside, 16/1 Reach For The Sky, 20/1 Ballyvonane, 100/1 Account Closed. DIOMED VERDICT: ATHWAAB is fully effective under these conditions and can capitalise on this drop in grade. Athwaab is now 7/4, drops in grade, has Ryan Moore in the plate and is a course and distance winner -a class 6 claimer makes it a little less appealing 630 KEMPTON BETTING FORECAST: 5/4 Zigato, 9/2 Manxman, 5/1 Heading To First, 6/1 High On A Hill, 8/1 Tappanappa, 10/1 Layla´s Boy, 25/1 Tallulah Mai, 66/1 Aintgottaname, Lady Christie, Miss Formidable. DIOMED VERDICT: It will be disappointing if the very well-bred ZIGATO can't make an impact at this ordinary level. More will be revealed nearer race time but it is Zigato and Manxman ( Johnston employing Dettori again) that interest - the former is a debutant - cannot really comment now as there is some 7 hours til race time 900 KEMPTON BETTING FORECAST: 7/4 Copperwood, 11/2 Ede´s Dot Com, Gazboolou, Print, 8/1 Perfect Friend, 10/1 Musical Script, Steel Free, 14/1 Simple Rhythm, DIOMED VERDICT: COPPERWOOD is thriving at present and he is taken to complete a four time. Quite a price gapper here on a 4 timer but has only won his last 2 races by a short head and a neck, and a rise in class today. BUT he did win one of the 3 at 10/1 when unfancied! SHORTLIST Yet again we have the spectre of potential changing ground at Hereford. Soft at present. Heavy showers and sleet are predicted.

The 500 Southwell, and 510 Hereford are both races mentioned with possible gambles. Not really nailed on , rather more speculative.

240 HEREFORD - the market seems clear here. 3 horses under 14/1 should dominate this race.
Ring of Time is a very interesting market mover - 14/1 in the betting forecast into 6/1 clear 3rd fav.
The market has Shakalakaboomboom and Oscar Gogo as inseparable market leaders. To these eyes, Oscar Gogo has the greater hurdling experience but has only had one recent run, albeit a winning run. A 14/1 9 length winner, I am reminded of the 10/1 last time out 2nd placed horse under Barry Geraghty who flattered to decieve.
Surely Oscar Gogo was 14/1 for a reason that day? Runs under a penalty today.
Any involvement in the race will assume that the 3 mentioned horses dominate.

300 SOUTHWELL - a 43% strike rate for Sir Pitt's connections cannot be sniffed at , but this is a debutant coming off a long absence making a debut on a unique all weather surface.
Ibn Hiyyann has been solidly backed all morning and is creeping down in price, now 11/4 across the board.
A race where only 3 are under 25/1. We can play the probabilities here -should be a 3 horse race - of those 3, 2 will place.Ibn Hiyyann has not run since October 2009 so we only have the market to guide.
745pm - Arsenal v Barcelona - laying Arsenal/Arsenal would appeal to me given the fact that Barcelona are set to attack this evening. 6.2 is the current lay price.
With all the talk of goals, how about 1.29 over 1.5 goals ( tradeable with a first half goal)?

29/3

ONE A DAY - 210 LINGFIELD - Abbondanza 1.08 to place -try to place bets nearer the off. The 1.3 for the win bet is very enticing. This is a very eyecatching price gapper indeed, has Mr Dettori in the plate, and should win with ease, but of course place only betting is far safer given the fact there are 2 horses at 66/1 or bigger meaning Abbondanza needs only to beat 2 horses of the 5 remaining to place.

I am also taken by Man City this evening. Their recent home form (if ignoring strong Everton and Liverpool) has been very good. I personally would consider this match against Wigan later on at 8pm. There are 2 ways I would approach this.
1) I would back Man City in the match odds market and trade after they score first (hopefully)
2) I would back over 1.5 goals and hope for a tradeable opportunity with an earlyish goal.

Of course this is not the one a day philosophy and I hope you have topped up your betting with the 2 successful multiples on Saturday and Sunday gone





Thanks again to Ajax adding 3 to some breathtaking recent form. Blue Spinnaker won -a signal that the 16/1 system is ready to sift out the early gambles this flat season! Checking the results, any multiple would have won yesterday with a combination of laying and backing in the multiple.
I have an idea -the Spanish league is ding-dong with Barca and Real. The dutch league has 3 teams who must keep winning - PSV /Ajax and Twente ( all won this weekend)- the premier league have 3 teams who must keep winning - Arse/Utd/Chelski - what about putting them in a multiple when they all play AND when they are all priced to win?
210 LINGFIELD
BETTING FORECAST: 1/2 Abbondanza, 8/1 Heroes, Ravi River, 10/1 The Mumbo, Tous Les Deux, 25/1 Kathleen Kennet, Whisky Jack, 200/1 Flight Wise.

DIOMED VERDICT: ABBONDANZA will appreciate this massive drop in class and can make all the running in the hands of Frankie Dettori.

From Dubai to Lingfield for Mr Dettori, and a fav now 1/3 - is this the one a day nailed in the first race? 8 runners and 3 places but a seller. 1.3 for the win , 1.08 for the place but now it's 7 runners and 3 places - original joint 2nd fav heroes is a non runner.
So, despite the price, must be a strong win only candidate, never mind placing in the first 3

220 WOLVES
BETTING FORECAST: 5/2 Seasider, 11/4 Cobo Bay, 4/1 The Kyllachy Kid, 5/1 Silver Wind, 10/1 Bazroy, 12/1 War And Peace, 16/1 Pachakutek.

DIOMED VERDICT: COBO BAY is virtually guaranteed to run his race from this draw and can follow up his latest C&D win in this grade.

A beautfiul bay on the west coast of Guernsey and has leapfrogged into price gapper fav. " virtually guaranteed to run his race"?
Only 2 places though and a male jockey takes over from Amy Ryan 1.57 to place tells us it's tight and there's only 2 places

250 WOLVES
BETTING FORECAST: 3/1 Red Gulch, 100/30 Skyfire, 7/2 Gojeri, 9/2 Catbells, West Emirates, 10/1 Stay On Track, 40/1 Imperial Djay, 50/1 Just Call Me Dave.

DIOMED VERDICT: RED GULCH was a promising third at Kempton in November and gets the vote ahead of Gojeri, West Emirates and the newcomer Skyfire.

The market must guide with absentees returning and red gulch has hardened into 11/8 fav under a certain Fallon 1.23 to place - we would have to rely on the market here after the absence

300 TOWCESTER
BETTING FORECAST: 11/8 Drumshambo, 7/4 Calypso Bay, 9/2 Mallusk, 10/1 Converti, 12/1 Wild Bay, 66/1 Another Minx.

DIOMED VERDICT: Calypso Bay was talented on the Flat but these are tough conditions for his hurdle debut and DRUMSHAMBO gets the vote returned to easier company.

A move for Mallusk into 5/2 may be significant with the soft ground. BUT again only 2 places and a tight market 1.58 to place for Mallusk

410 LINGFIELD
BETTING FORECAST: 7/4 Street Entertainer, 2/1 Ancient Times, 9/4 Zuider Zee, 14/1 Mister Pleau, 33/1 The Wonga Coup.

DIOMED VERDICT: ANCIENT TIMES ran his best race to date last time and may still have more to offer. He gets the nod in a race lacking strength in depth.

An eyecatching partnership = Frankie Dettori and Mark Johnston on Ancient times. The top 3 cannot be split though - will Frankie ensure the place? 1.6 to place for Ancient times

FOOTBALL
7pm - Cambuur v Top Oss -1.22 Juliper league and worth investigation as this is a home team -2nd versus 19th
Only lost one at home - have won 5 and drawn one of last 6 at home
5-4 head to head with Top Oss
Top Oss away have lost 4-0 and 3-1 to 1st and 3rd in the league 2/3rd of their away games are over 1.5 goals. The odds look about right here. Top Oss have won 2 and drawn 2 of their last 5 away games but the wins were against 14th and 15th . I would side with goals bet here if available

7pm- England u17 v Malta u17 - 1.12 ( very illiquid on betfair - I would visit bet365 or another online bookmaker which will have fixed odds) - I cannot see it at Bet365. The 1.12 is too short in comparison to the 1.2 lay price meaning there are no market forces at work at Betfair
745pm - Bray v Bohemians - 1.46 - the dominant force in Irish Football are likely to win all of their matches this season. Start off with an away win?
8pm - Man City v Wigan - 1.32 - a game in hand over Spuds and 2 over Liverpool for 4th spot, a must win therefore with home advantage and priced as such.
Home form has taken a hit last 2 games with loss to Everton and draw v Liverpool so I suppose given the calibre of opposition not too much of a shock
These 2 games come after 6 home wins on the trot.
The last 10 games have been filled with 6 away games so we cannot really judge how a home team today will play based on 60% home games in last 10 - 2 losses and 2 draws from those 6.
Against top 10 sides away, Wigan won anomolous 2-0 v Villa and have since lost the other 7 they have played. A sign the top 10 teams represent a climb in class
Wigan have lost 3 and drawn 1 of their last 4 away.

SHORTLIST
210 LINGFIELD - Abbondanza is dropping considerably in class - why? Hopefully just to get a run out and a win, otherwise it would be a bit of a concern from class 1,2,3 to class 6 seller.
1.3 to win and 1.08 to place in a 7 horse race with 3 places. Dettori could be the clincher here.

The other 4 races rely on faith in the market. 3 of those races are 2 the place races which should not involve speculation on the hint of market support , rather more solid foundations for place backing
7pm - Cambuur v Top Oss - 1.22 - only 2 markets on Betfair and I would have preferred the over 1.5 goals market as Top Oss have won 2 and drawn 2 of their last 5 away ( albeit not against top of the table teams) - this is enough to convince me they could weigh in with a goal.
7pm - England under 17 v Malta under 17 - if the market hots up nearer the off, and there is a little more liquidity then this would interest me.
8pm - surely City can beat Wigan at home.1.24 over 1.5 goals may be a good bet with Betfair putting up a correct score 2 market and a +1.5 goal for Wigan handicap market ( hmmm, do you think they think there'll be goals?)

SHORTLIST OF THE SHORTLIST
210 LINGFIELD - Abbondanza must have an outstanding place only chance here is a 7 runner field and 3 places - 2 horses are 66/1 or bigger .A HUGE price gapper, those who want extra risk could entertain a straight win only bet at 1.3 but 1.08 to place allows us some leeway ( if we ignore the 2 horses 66/1 or bigger, he only has to beat 2 to place)
8pm - Man City v Wigan. It would be a shock ,I think, were City to lose this match-they have lost once all season at home, and barring the last loss at home v Everton and the 0-0 v Liverpool, they won all home games since 5th December 2009.
Wigan's home draw to City (1-1) came back in October 2009.

28/3

ONE A DAY
All shortlist of the shortlisters look solid today and I would again put my faith in ajax with home advantage and in rude health at 1.22
I know they can't keep on winning. I just hope today is not the day they falter

Triggerman would be my horse selection I feel.

Multiples? Again, a lay multiple with lay of arsenal kiev, back young boys, lay sunderland, lay atromitos- in fact make your own with what you feel are the strongest arguments

I am concerned the Ajax bet might not reach you in time. It is in running. I just hope they don't score early. To make the bet extra safe, do trade.



Spurs won, and the 1.61 multiple won. The bigger more speculative multiple was let down by Stuttgart winning ....or was it? I introduced the concept of hedging multiples last week which saved my stake again with, guess who? -Bayern. And it would have done so again as Bayern scored first and Stuttgart EVENTUALLY won. BUT Bayern scoring first is key here. Stuttgart's price increased dramatically allowing the "hedger" to back Stuttgart to win the stake put out on the betfair multiple.

The 2 horse shortlisters both placed 2nd so job done there.

FOOTBALL
130pm - It seems that the big 3 are becoming reliable betting propositions week in and week out. Twente won yesterday and today sees Ajax at home to Groningen. Ajax demolished Go Ahead Eagles in the Cup to make their recent goalscoring tally 6 , 5, 4,3,4,4,2,3,4 ( 6 being the latest) - this is consistency if ever there was.
Priced at 1.22 today to win, winners of 10 of their last 12 games ( unbeaten) , winners of their last 12 home matches, with recent scorelines ( latest first) 4-1 , 4-0, 4-0 , 3-0 , 4-0 , 1-0, 3-0, 5-1 , 5-1 , 4-0 , 3-0 , 6-0
Groningen at home have lost to all of the top 5, and away have only played Twente of the top 3 sides, losing 4-0.Have shown strong recent form until we analyse the fact that that form is against teams in the lower half of the table, bar the odd 1-0 win against AZ Alkmaar.
Have won 4 of their last 5 away, but again these are against 9th, 13th, 6th, 4th, 15th.
I would be more impressed with a favourable away performance against 1st, 2nd, 3rd as these are clearly standout in this league.
Another comfortable home win is assumed.

130pm - VVV V PSV - 1.51 - we have seen on many occasions that 1.51 signals, generally, a hard fought away win, potentially tight.
PSV are another of the triumvirate. Must react to Twente winning. Any dropped points and Twente will go even further infront.
VVV are 12th and against top 10 sides at home, have won one game 1-0, drawn 5 and lost 2 ( yet to play Twente or PSV at home)
The key game is the ajax game where they lost 4-0 at home, but it must be said that Ajax, of the 3 big boys, are the most profilic.
VVV have drawn 3-3 with PSV away. BUT that was way back -first game of the season.
It looks as if a draw is possible , so this game should be approached via backing PSV and trading if they score first or an outright lay of VVV
PSV have had 3 tricky games in succession, playing the other 2 big teams, and losing 4-1 to Ajax away and 1-1 with Twente at home.
They also lost 2-1 to NAC Breda away .
Surely a 3rd consecutive away loss cannot be tolerated if they have a sniff of challenging for the title.
Before these last 3 games, it was 8 wins and 2 draws away from home.
In their last 4 away games, PSV have won 1, lost 2 and drawn 1. A slight blip or the sign of something more serious?

2pm - Shaktar v Arsenal Kiev - 1.22 - have won all 10 at home in the league and have had the measure of the opposition consistently in head to heads in 2009

3pm - Young Boys v aarau - 1.17 -- I am slightly suspicious of leagues of only 10 sides so when I say Top v Bottom, put that into perspective!!
1.17, as we know, generally indicates a comfortable win by 2+ goals.
Since the break, Young Boys have won 6 of their 7 games, winning all 4 at home.
Since he break, Aarau have lost 6 and drawn 1 .
QUite obvious opportunity for the Young Boys.

4pm - Liverpool v Sunderland - 1.32 - this guaranteed 4th place of the fat spanish waiter's does not look like materialising. BUT let's look at this game singularly. Liverpool have won their last 7 at home. Thank God, because recent away form reads loss, loss, draw, loss, draw, draw, loss, draw.
Against teams around Sunderland they have won 2-0 and 2-1 at home, so that can be a guide.
All teams 10th and over visiting Anfield have lost so there is still that noticeable gulf in class.
Torres is clear at 16 goals this season and must play today really. Kuyt is next with 9 and Gerrard with 6 - pitiful really for a "top 4" side
Sunderland against sides 11th and above have lost 8 and drawn 2 ( Liverpool is the 11th game)
Again that gulf in class seems obvious.
Good draw v ASton Villa but have struggled away , but the sides have been toughies-Arsenal, Everton, Chelsea , Man city last 4 aways!!
Any faith in backing Liverpool comes on the back of their strong home form only, NOT recent results as a whole.

5pm - Asteras Tripolis v Panthrakikos - 1.17 home side- automatically included as a home side sub 1.17.
13th v 16th - very rarely will we see a side 13th at 1.17 v a side 16th ( and bottom!) Panthrakikos must be PANTSthrakikos.
Asteras have lost their last 7, drawing 1. Yes typical form for a 1.17 shot at home - - - NOT!
At home against 12th, 13th and 15th, have won 2-1, 3-0, and 0-0.
Pants have lost all bar 2 away ( 2 wins) and in their last 4 aways, have lost 2 and won 2 away games.
Where on earth does this 1.17 come from? Looks a great lay? Unless Pants have injury problems.

5pm- Atromitos v Panathanaikos - 1.34 - the struggle for the home side begins against top 5 sides at home. Elsewhere they win well at home
Won 4 and drawn 1 of their last 5 home games ( again note what I wrote above)
Pana have only struggled against top 6 sides away, drawing 2, losing 2 and winning 1
Last 9 games they have drawn 2, lost 3 and won 3. Not really good enough for title contenders.
This looks a step up for Atromitos and a step down for Pana and expectation is for an away win ( perhaps to trade or lay Atromitos in a multiple?)

8pm- Real Madrid v Athletico Madrid - 1.32 - I bet Real were licking their lips at the sight of Barca away to tough home side Mallorca, but Ibra's 1-0 winner means Real now have to win today in a local derby. There is no relenting.
WON ALL at home. -check out the recent scorelines home and away - 4-2 , 3-1 , 4-1 , 3-2 , 5-1 , 6-2 , 3-0 , 3- 0 ,3-1, 2-0.
All wins those!
Higuan and Ronaldo are pretty much the goals for Real and we saw last week again dominant displays by them both. I would want to see them play today.
Athletico away have only beaten the bottom 2. I would see a neutral goals bet as safer here given the 3-2 scoreline last time, but who can argue with the home form and the form of Higuan and Ronaldo up front.

HORSES
200 DONCASTER
BETTING FORECAST: 9/2 Mustajed, 5/1 Crystal Feather, 6/1 Ella Woodcock, 10/1 Blue Spinnaker, Nisaal, Onemoreandstay, Wovoka, 12/1 Magic Haze, 14/1 Monfils Monfils, Waahej, 16/1 Ermine Grey, 20/1 Dream In Blue, 25/1 Everaard, Mojeerr, Sea Land, 33/1 Nayessence, State General,

DIOMED VERDICT: ELLA WOODCOCK has had a fruitful winter and remains well handicapped now back on turf.

Blue Spinnaker well backed into fav. Check out Diomed's comment
Blue Spinnaker

Thrown in on old form; C&D winner before; check market - around 1.93 to place and 4 places. Penitent won yesterday as my only real choice at Doncaster so if you think the market is a good signal here, AND there are 4 places, then Blue Spinnaker may be worth a place only gamble.

HEAVY GROUND at Hexham

215 DOWNPATRICK
BETTING FORECAST: 6/4 Final Approach, 9/4 Fearnwood Girl, 7/2 Tara Warrior, 10/1 The Rossmeister, 12/1 Reportage, Templar Knight, 14/1 Katys Girl, 20/1 Broomhill Lad, 25/1 Ash Lani, Lady Perchance, 33/1 Granski, Jacks Memory, Just Like Freddie.

Final approach is now 4/6 = take the hint for the Walsh/Mullins combo? around 1.23 to place
143 days off and a maiden hurdle - can we trust maiden hurdles though after the failure of the selection 2 days ago in a maiden hurdle when looking equalling as compelling as this horse.

220 WINCANTON
BETTING FORECAST: 9/4 Rougham, 11/4 Nice One Eric, 6/1 Bermuda Boy, 7/1 Shoegazer, 10/1 Double Handful, 14/1 Eastern Paramour, There´s No Panic, 20/1 Bendant, Santo Thomas, Tiger Dream, 33/1 Across The Straits, Celtic Ballad, Russian Song, 100/1 Doric Echo, Kaycee, Mr Straffan, The Boss Rock.

DIOMED VERDICT: Rougham has a bright future regardless of what happens today but conceding 5lb to NICE ONE ERIC could prove tricky.

Only 4 under 14/1 and Nice one eric is " all red" and 7/4 fav - 1.39 and 1.53 the front 2 to place - any involvement in either assumes both will place. Inevitably in these races, one falters

230 DONCASTER
BETTING FORECAST: 5/2 Cultivar, 11/4 African Wave, 9/2 Raktiman, 5/1 Marteau, 14/1 Bullwhip, 16/1 Brananx, Tislaam, 25/1 Battle Study, Eviction, Monkton Vale, Yes Chef, 66/1 Collect Art, Fifty Moore, 100/1 Dovedon Diva, Media Jury, Russian Brigadier,

DIOMED VERDICT: Several interesting newcomers and the market should be revealing, but Barry Hills usually has one sorted out for this race and CULTIVAR may be able to make his experience tell and fulfil his debut promise.

Big market move for a couple here - Cultivar now 7/4 and " all red" - being backed.
Eviction and Monkton vale are 2 potential gambles - quite simply a race where you have to put your faith in the market ( unless you have insider knowledge) and perhaps a bit too speculative for a one a day bet? Do note thoough that follow the market systems are ideal for these types of races.

355 DOWNPATRICK
BETTING FORECAST: 11/10 Hampshire Express, 5/2 Roi Du Mee, 9/2 Hans Crescent, 5/1 L´Oiseau De Feu, 8/1 Sciatin, 20/1 Mary Money, 33/1 Shoot Pontoon, The Occupier, 50/1 Tullnisky Hill, Whole Lotta Rosie.

Very interesting race this one - only 5 under 66/1 and another Walsh/Mullins fav - all of the 5 under 66/1 are being backed, it would seem, in the market, but Hampshire prince must surely be primed to place as he has been backed into 4/7 and we must bow to connections - completely illiquid market so any involvement must be around 350pm.

400 WINCANTON
BETTING FORECAST: 5/4 Triggerman, 11/4 Flaming Charlie, 4/1 Rebel Du Maquis, 7/1 Red Mile, 20/1 Chosen Native, Persian Run, Peter Sent, 33/1 Just Tootsie, 50/1 Whitcombe Spirit, 100/1 Businessmoney Jade, Dust In Time, Musical Wedge, Roxane Bruere.

DIOMED VERDICT: TRIGGERMAN (nap) was lively in the ante-post market for the Pertemps Final only to miss the cut and he's a standout back in novice company.

Triggerman backed into 1/2 in places - only 5 horses under 20/1 and if we take Diomed's comment onboard, should be a strong place only candidate? From class 2 to class 4 and 1.13 to place signals the market expects a good run. 2 mile 5 is a long way - good to soft ground at present. I cannot see the course of course - I just hope this is an accurate description of the ground

SHORTLIST
130pm - old faithful Ajax are at home to Groningen and are priced at around 1.22. The recent scorelines are compelling evidence are they not?
recent scorelines ( latest first) 4-1 , 4-0, 4-0 , 3-0 , 4-0 , 1-0, 3-0, 5-1 , 5-1 , 4-0 , 3-0 , 6-0
Anything to Groningen to make me fearful? Well no, not really. They have lost to the top 5 away.
2pm - Shaktar v Arsenal Kiev - 1.22 - won all 10 at home and overcome opposition convincingly in 2009
3pm- Young Boys v Aarau - 1.17 - very contrasting form for both sides should indicate a home win
8pm - Real Madrid v Athletico Madrid - 1.14 for over 1.5 goals and tradeable if an early goal. Including both sides might be a good move seeing as this is a derby

355 DOWNPATRICK - the unique make up of the market interests me here. Only 5 under 66/1 - Hamshire express unseated rider at Cheltenham in the Coral Cup - will this leave a mark - this lower grade should ease concerns surely?

400 WINCANTON - Triggerman, if running to form, has an outstanding chance of winning, never mind placing

SHORTLIST OF THE SHORTLIST
130pm - Ajax
3pm - Young boys
8pm - real madridr v athletico 0ver 1.5 goals
4pm - Triggerman to place

27/3

ONE A DAY - 3pm Tottenham v Portsmouth - Back Tottenham in the match odds at 1.25.

PLEASE NOTE THAT MY BROTHER IS GETTING MARRIED TODAY SO I HAVE HAD TO DO THIS MESSAGE RELATIVELY EARLY. THE CEREMONY STARTS AT 130PM I LEAVE AT 1030AM. I HOPE TO ARRIVE AROUND MIDDAY AND FINGERS CROSSED WILL FIND SOME SPACE IN WHICH TO LOOK AT THE HORSE RACING MARKETS INPARTICULAR. PLEASE DO EXPECT AN UPDATE AFTER MIDDAY ( ALL BEING WELL, BUT PLEASE DO NOTE THE UNIQUE CIRCUMSTANCES OF TODAY)

As this is a weekend day, then there is an opportunity for multiple bets. So which would I personally consider?
Well, I cannot see Man Utd losing away to Bolton, so would consider laying Bolton as part of a multiple, along with a lay of Grenoble away to Lyon, lay Kilmarnock away to Celtic (a 2nd loss will not be tolerated) , lay Heracles away to AZ Alkmaar, back Spurs - this bumps Spurs odds up to 1.61.
HEDGING is an option here. Eg if any of the teams we have laid in this multiple are losing, and the game is in running, we can back them at much higher odds to win back our multiple stake should the unexpected happen and they win! Ditto Spurs. If Spurs win, we can LAY them at shorter odds to cover the multiple stake.
1.19 over 1.5 goals in the Werder Bremen v Nurnberg game



Very disappointing yesterday - plenty of money backing the selection but the 10/1 2nd last time out looked to have been a tad misleading.

FOOTBALL
2pm - Dinamo Zagreb v Zapresic - 1/7 at Ladbrokes and 1.2 at Betfair but only £15 at time of writing
Home team Dinamo Zag have a home record of 8-2-0 (W-D-L) for their 10 home games this season
Away team Inter Zap have an away record of 2-2-6 (W-D-L) for their 10 away games this season
Check this out.
Dinamo Zag have a recent goal tally of 12-1(6 games), season total of 59-10 from 21 games. Inter Zap have a recent goal tally of 2-11(6 games), season total of 24-33 from 21 games.
Contrasting fortunes.
Caution though - Zagreb have drawn their last 2 home games 0-0 and head to heads against this lot, last 2 games, have been 1-0.
Remember Inter recently? 2 0-0's at home and the sequence broken when priced to do so. This might be the case with Dinamo Zagreb today.
2pm - Hadjuk Split v Varteks - 1.26 - only £3 available
230pm - bayern Munich v Stuttgart -in their last 5 games Bayern have faltered - no coincidence that they have drawn away twice and lost once away. Home form remains superb where they have won their last 7. Stuttgart away have played 5 of the top 6 and drawn 2.
this is a warning sign for Bayern given their head to head was 0-0.
A game I would consider laying Stuttgart perhaps. Bayern MUST WIN
230pm - Werder Bremen v Nurnberg - 1.46 - 5th v 15th. They both need the points for different reasons- Werder at home have won 2 and drawn 2 of their last 4 - 69% of their home games end over 2.5 goals and 6 of the last 7 home games ended over 2.5 goals ( the other was 2-0) .An angle in therefore. Priced at 1.46 a home win is expected. Nurnberg are showing some battling qualities on their last 5 games -3 draws and 2 wins - note they drew 1-1 with Bayern - they have lost all matches away to the top 4. Perhaps here I would consider a goals bet to include both sides, although the fact they lost 4-0 to 3rd and 4th away ( Werder are 5th) AND with Werder's reputation for goals, this could be a good match odds bet to trade.
3pm - Birmingham v Arsenal - 1.57 away- no relegation concerns for Birmingham. Arsenal are the ones in greater need of the points. It's ding dong at the top and a full quota of points from hereonin is a must for a side not out of the title race.A win takes them temporarily top. A win is a must though being, as they are, 2 points down .The wonderful run of 12 games unbeaten has kept Brum safe but has also evaporated BUT their last 5 losses have all come away from home.At home they have drawn all of the top 5 sides that they have played, and only lost to Bolton and Villa.33% of home games are under 2.5 goals .60% of Arsenal's away games have finished over 2.5 goals so it's a battle of wills today.
Arsenal have won their last 6 matches including 2 away albeit to Stoke and Hull.

3pm - Celtic v Kilmarnock - 1.22 - St Mirren spanked them and caught Mowbray out. Neil Lennon onboard and he is a "name" rather than an established manager. Kilmarnock have been beaten away 3-0 against the old Firm. That is the expectation. The bookies expect a backlash.
3pm - Chelsea v Aston Villa- 1.43 - must win for both and I think Aston Villa have been dismissed somewhat here.Unbeaten in their last 10 games, I pointed out last time that they have drawn far too many ( 7 of those 10). A lay of Villa perhaps for me. Chelsea at home have dropped points only twice.80% of home games finish over 2.5 goals. Quite a stat
3pm - Tottenham v Portsmouth - 1.25 - buoyant after their win in the Cup against Fulham, Spurs look to cement hopes of 4th place with 3 against the whipping boys.Spuds have put in 2 woeful efforts against teams similarly priced ( Stoke, Wolves and Hull) Have won their last 4 including 2 home wins. Pompey have lost to all of the top 12 sides they have played away. 9 losses, 2 wins, 2 draws in their last 13. A strong home bet this it would seem?
4pm - Lyon v Grenoble - 1.32 -6th v bottom. Since the start of the year, Lyon have won 6 , drawn 3 and lost 1. The air of invincibility and dependency ( from a betting perspective) may be returning. Against rock bottom Grenoble, they should win.
Grenoble have only won 1 away all season, drawn 2 and lost 11. Expectation therefore for a loss, OR AT LEAST NOT A WIN.
530pm - Bolton v Man Utd - 1.44 - another of the 3 vying for the title who dare not lose.Bolton against the top 5 have only taken 2 points from 10 home and away games.Their strong home form comes when playing teams 15th or lower in the league, and the rarified air of the top of the league sees them gasping .Interestingly, have only lost one of their last 7 home games, and interestingly, that was against Arsenal, one of the top 3! So they perform well outside the top 10 teams.Like Arsenal, United are on a charge, and have won their last 4 games. Away from home though, they have lost 2, drawn 2, and won 3 of their last 7.More recently a loss to Villa and draw with Everton away lost vital points, and they only managed a 1-0 win over Wolves away with a 73rd minute Scholes goal. Patience required I would suspect.
645pm - AZ Alkmaar v Heracles- 1.45 - not the force of old, shown by their inability to break into the title scrap between PSV, Ajax, Twente, BUT AZ are showing signs of what they used to do with regularity.Won 6 and drawn 2 of their last 7. At home, they have scored 10 in their last 2.They are playing a side just one place below them in the league yet are short odds on to win.
Probably because Heracles owe their status to strong home form and strong away form against teams 13th and lower.
Beat AZ 3-2 when they visited.
7pm- Mallorca v Barcelona - 1.57 - Here is why Mallorca are 4th in the league.They have won EVERY single home match bar one, and that was against Sevilla . NOTE - they have NOT played any of the top 4 at home this season, and there is a hint from the loss to Sevilla (5th) that they may drop points.They did score though against Sevilla and have ( naturally) scored in every home match. Good for goals bet then?
Barca beat Mallorca 4-2 at the Nou Camp.
Barca have dropped points in 2 of their last 3 away games.

745pm - Twente v Sparta Rotterdam - 1.24 - won all bar a draw v PSV at home this season, hence always short prices at home. Beat Sparta away 2-0.
Have won their last 13 home games.
Only dropped points in recent times have come versus Ajax and PSV, their main title contenders.
Sparta have only won 1 away game all season

HORSE RACING
Please note my brother is getting married today and I did ask him to put it off until I finished my blog but he was having none of it. It is 915am and I will work with the markets as they are and hope there is a window around midday ,before the ceremony, for me to update the message.

A listed jumps card at Newbury = v competitive.
220 KEMPTON
BETTING FORECAST: 15/8 Elnawin, Tiddliwinks, 4/1 Son Of The Cat, 5/1 Prohibit, 16/1 Indian Skipper, 250/1 Wavertree Princess.

DIOMED VERDICT: TIDDLIWINKS has gone from strength to strength since being dropped in trip and he can maintain his unbeaten record over 6f.

One non runner and a 250/1 outsider makes this a 4 horse race for 2 places

240 BANGOR
BETTING FORECAST: 15/8 Betterthanlikely, 11/4 Mister Stickler, 6/1 You Never Said, 8/1 Castlerock, Danmegella, Pie At Midnight, 12/1 Whenwehadmoney, 100/1 Moonlight Rose.

DIOMED VERDICT: BETTERTHANLIKELY, whose stable have done well with his brother The Panama Kid and also enjoyed success with his dam Mrs Jodi, can go one better than on his pleasing debut, perhaps at the main expense of Mister Stickler.

The straight 8 here makes this ideal for place only betting. At time of writing there are only 3 horses under 14/1 here.

310 DONCASTER
BETTING FORECAST: 3/1 Penitent, 10/1 Mull Of Killough, 12/1 Huzzah, Prime Exhibit, Tiger Reigns, 14/1 Albaqaa, Extraterrestrial, Mia´s Boy, 16/1 Collateral Damage, Viva Vettori, 20/1 Harrison George, Smokey Oakey, Vitznau, 33/1 Lang Shining, Mister Hardy, 40/1 Dubai´s Touch, 50/1 Advanced, Kaolak, Reve De Nuit, 66/1 Full Toss, Ishetoo,

DIOMED VERDICT: The market has often got this right in recent years and PENITENT, who has conditions to suit and has more to offer this year, can justify his position at the head of the betting and give his trainer a third success in this race. Tiger Reigns and Prime Exhibit are feared most.

First day of the flat season so really we should be laying low until April is over and form has been established, but I have to mention Penitent here simply due to the fact he is such a strong price gapper here in such a big field.
Soft ground too at the first flat meeting of the season is an important consideration.

315 BANGOR
BETTING FORECAST: 1/6 Viking Rebel, 100/30 Costa Courta, 66/1 Huntingford, 100/1 One More Native.

DIOMED VERDICT: VIKING REBEL has by far his easiest task over fences to date and it will be bitterly disappointing if he cannot come home in his own time. Costa Courta is by far the best of the other three.

Lord Villez and Silent Cliche both placed yesterday in heavy ground when similarly priced. faith therefore in Viking Rebel? This looks quite clearly a 2 horse race for 2 places and the only way for defeat is a mistake in the jumping department.

530 BANGOR
BETTING FORECAST: 7/4 Off Gallivanting, 9/4 Carribs Leap, 7/1 Call Me Bill, Cool Cascade, 10/1 The Banana Man, 14/1 Good Lad, 20/1 Minden March, Neltara, 40/1 The Osculator, 100/1 Duncanthomas.

DIOMED VERDICT: Call Me Bill and Cool Cascade are quite interesting newcomers but OFF GALLIVANTING who shaped with plenty of promise last spring on his debut, is taken score at the main expense of penalised Ludlow winner Carribs Leap. 2nd fav is a significant non runner which surely makes life a lot easier for Off Galivanting who has hardened into odds on here. SHORTLIST Football wise, the standout bet for me today is Spurs to beat Portsmouth at home at 1.25. I am reminded though that I was as enthusiastic about them when they played Stoke, Hull and Wolves at home and they faltered on all of those 3 occasions. But Portsmouth have nothing to play for at all. Twente look worth supporting again at home. I would also consider over 1.5 goals bets in the Werder Bremen match and AZ match. Dinamo Zagreb look to have a great chance of winning today in a match where both sides' fortunes really are contrasting. In a multiple, I would consider laying Grenoble, laying Stuttgart, laying Heracles and Bolton with a back of Spurs just to enhance the odds. Highly speculative so mark these words 8 Selections Chosen 1 B Munich v Stuttgart (Laying Stuttgart @ 7.1) 2 W Bremen v Nurnberg (Laying Nurnberg @ 10.4) 3 Celtic v Kilmarnock (Laying Kilmarnock @ 30.52) 4 Tottenham v Portsmouth (Backing Tottenham @ 1.19) 5 Birmingham v Arsenal (Laying Birmingham @ 7.68) 6 Lyon v Grenoble (Laying Grenoble @ 16.91) 7 Bolton v Man Utd (Laying Bolton @ 9.83) 8 AZ Alkmaar v Heracles (Laying Heracles @ 10.44) 8-Folds Selections Odds* Stake Potential win 1,2,3,4,5,6,7 and 8 2.39 £100.00 £139.00 *Odds shown are indicative and may vary. More info Total stake: £100.00 Your total potential win: £139.00 Possible weak points? Stuttgart , Birmingham( may nick a 1-0?) 315 BANGOR - quite obvious contender, Viking rebel has run in 3 chases, latterly a class 1 chase. 530 BANGOR - I do like getting involved in races where there is a significant non runner, and this is a case in point. Off Galivanting could be a good bet here now his main rival is out.