Friday, 24 August 2007

24 AUGUST 2007

Only 2 placed horses yesterday, although, on reflection, I was correct to highlight the each way races as they were, on the whole, won by the outsiders .
On the one a day/progressive/price gap bets Dark Angel obliged despite 19 opponent and the place bet placed!
EACH WAY BETS
555 BATH
BETTING FORECAST: 11/4 Dresden Doll, 8/1 Midnight Oasis, Second Opinion, Silca Destination, Tense, 12/1 Betty Burke, 14/1 Libertytyne, Rathmolyon, Showtime Ice, 16/1 Autumn Star, Rhode Island Red, Safari Time, 20/1 Little Evie, 25/1 Culzean Bay, 33/1 Ballyhealy Lady, 50/1 April Reigns .

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: It's difficult to be confident about Dresden Doll after her Lingfield flop so preference is for MIDNIGHT OASIS, who looks sure to improve for her recent debut.[AM]

Interesting Spotlight comment about Dresden Doll -4 horses priced at 8/1 - I'll take 2 of them in Tense and Second opinion
655 BATH
BETTING FORECAST: 7/4 Alleviate, 2/1 Esclarmonde, 8/1 Sowdrey, 12/1 Daylami Dreams, 14/1 Bathwick Breeze, Rainbow Flame, 16/1 Hatton Flight, Kyllachy Storm, 25/1 Everyman, 33/1 Ron In Ernest,

The betting forecast indicates a 2 horse race on paper, although I will chance Daylami Dreams - 4th fav could place if one of the market leaders misfires
1250 NEWBURY
BETTING FORECAST: 11/4 Morestead, 4/1 We´Re Delighted, 5/1 Oxbridge, 6/1 Summer Winds, 8/1 Hit The Roof, 14/1 Marchpane, Reel Star, 16/1 In A Pickle, Tobago Bay, 25/1 Ballochroy, Distant Diamond, Lady Jinks, 33/1 Copperwood, Little Toto, 50/1 River N´ Blues.

many debutants in this field and it'll be 3rd and 5th favs fr me each way in Oxbridge and Hit the roof
150 NEWBURY
BETTING FORECAST: 3/1 Magic Mountain, 100/30 Birkside, 4/1 Lindy Lou, Tufton, 8/1 Anatolian Prince, 10/1 Up In Arms, 25/1 Law Of The Land, 33/1 Hard As Iron.

Up in arms is positioned just before the projected outsiders so I will chance him against market leaders priced 3/1
635 NEWCASTLE
BETTING FORECAST: 11/4 Casino Night, 9/2 Willyn, 7/1 Dhaka Dazzle, Prigsnov Dancer, 10/1 Dawn Light, Reel Buddy Star, Somarini, 14/1 Elusive Lady, Tenth Night, 20/1 Amy Lionheart, Buju, 25/1 Piccolo Pete, 33/1 Green´s Delight, 66/1 Mujinda, 100/1 Carlton Mac, Social Height.

A claiming race - my selections will come from the 7/1 - 14/1 price bands. Dawn light and Tenth night each way
705 NEWCASTLE
BETTING FORECAST: 6/4 Exclusionist, 5/2 Spell Casting, 4/1 Royal Jasra, 10/1 Soubriquet, Starbougg, 14/1 Ammeyrr, 33/1 Drama Kid, Florentino, 100/1 Flaming Cat, Ronnies Girl.

1st tier 6/4, 5/2 ,4/1 - 2nd tier 10/1, 14/1 - 3rd tier 33/1 and bigger
I will go with Royal Jasra and Ammeyrr from the 2nd tier each way

530 NEWMARKET
BETTING FORECAST: 3/1 Curtail, 4/1 Bond Boy, 9/2 Efistorm, 6/1 Tony The Tap, 8/1 Coconut Moon, 9/1 Bold Minstrel, 10/1 Canadian Danehill, Handsome Cross, 16/1 Figaro Flyer,

16/1 the outsider tells its own story - looks open - Coconut Moon and Bold minstrel each way - positioned in the centre

300 THIRSK
BETTING FORECAST: 9/4 Dhhamaan, 7/2 Swift Gift, 4/1 Green Diamond, 8/1 Mollyatti, 10/1 Beetuna, 16/1 Ras Laffan, Rosa Grace, 20/1 Dareios, Jonny Lesters Hair, 25/1 Call Of Ktulu, Kiwi Princess, Sand Maiden, 66/1 Son Of Spartacus, 100/1 Fellrunner.

Mollyatti and Beetuna are just before the 16/1's so are positioned to hint they may place


WIN ONLY AND PLACE BETS

655 BATH

BETTING FORECAST: 7/4 Alleviate, 2/1 Esclarmonde, 8/1 Sowdrey, 12/1 Daylami Dreams, 14/1 Bathwick Breeze, Rainbow Flame, 16/1 Hatton Flight, Kyllachy Storm, 25/1 Everyman, 33/1 Ron In Ernest ,

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: ALLEVIATE (nap), impressive when scoring at Sandown last time, can complete her hat-trick at the chief expense of Esclarmonde.[AM]

Big price gap - Alleviate to place here, because of the proximity of Esclarmonde

555 BATH
BETTING FORECAST: 11/4 Dresden Doll, 8/1 Midnight Oasis, Second Opinion, Silca Destination, Tense, 12/1 Betty Burke, 14/1 Libertytyne, Rathmolyon, Showtime Ice, 16/1 Autumn Star, Rhode Island Red, Safari Time, 20/1 Little Evie, 25/1 Culzean Bay, 33/1 Ballyhealy Lady, 50/1 April Reigns .

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: It's difficult to be confident about Dresden Doll after her Lingfield flop so preference is for MIDNIGHT OASIS, who looks sure to improve for her recent debut.[AM]

Worth just making a note of this one - the price gap is there but Spotlight is hardly jumping through hoops to back it!

130 THIRSK
BETTING FORECAST: 6/4 Call For Liberty, 5/1 Le Toreador, 6/1 Visconti, 8/1 Glittering Prize, 10/1 Highland Love, Smarterthanuthink, 14/1 American Welcome, 20/1 Fyodorovich, Harlequinn Danseur, 33/1 Just Sam, Strictly Elsie, Trojan Hero, 66/1 Dolly No Hair .

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: CALL FOR LIBERTY looked a useful prospect when second at Haydock last time and, with the rail to run against, he could prove very difficult to pass if re-employing the forcing tactics.[PSm]

Good price gap - the hint from spotlight of bold run - only concern is it's a maiden race

The racing just isn't there today and trying to manufacture opportunities is pointless. Call for liberty I would be happier having as a place only bet, but let's see how the horse runs

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