back-lay-trade-horses-football: 8 MARCH

The Bajan Bandit won, only just and I was able to monitor and get out of the lay with a 0.10 point loss ....but Armaturk 's lay went like clockwork - Hunter CHase, unknown jockey, and poor recent form made this a great lay
In media res was pulled up.
Frustrating 4th for Visconte for each way backers

No real chance for Truckers Lady, the 3 into 1 system selection in very heavy ground at Ayr - if there is a selection at Ayr today, I won't be betting it given the ground.
Nice win for Le Havre
AYR
THe ground was terrible yesterday with slow motion finishes so a concerted lay of short priced favourites may be an option here - it's certainly not a backer's card
USing the racing post betting forecast favourites, it will be interesting to see how they fare.

CHEPSTOW
230
BETTING FORECAST: 13/8 West End Rocker, 100/30 Gentle Ranger, 4/1 Bold Punt, 13/2 Herons Well, 11/1 Gargallo, Notabotheronme, 20/1 Chase The Dawn, Kentford Mist, 22/1 Chevy To The Levy, Sir Pandy, 25/1 July Johnson, 28/1 Live The Life, 40/1 Zaffarani´s Star, 66/1 Alfie Atkins, Tallow Road, Tel Nero .

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: A trio of last-time-out Irish point winners, the most interesting being Gentle Ranger, mean market reference should be useful. However, WEST END ROCKER (nap) has already achieved a reasonable level of form over hurdles, including over 2m4f here in November and then over this trip of 3m at Taunton last time, so he is preferred. [MCu]

gentle RAnger for the Pipe team looks a decent each way alternative to the now odds on favourite
3 milers and conditional jockeys races make this a bookies benefit card

SANDOWN
240
BETTING FORECAST: 2/1 Beau Michel, 5/2 Without A Doubt, 4/1 Mokum, 8/1 Bowleaze, Turthen, 9/1 Bubble Boy.
Non runners may open this up to BEau Michel and Without a doubt - both are backeable, or stakes can be altered to leave a break even on one.
Alternatively the place only market on Beau Michel ( 2 the place) may be worthy of support

425
BETTING FORECAST: 6/4 Takeroc, 5/2 Gentle John, 3/1 Wogan, 6/1 Etoile Russe.
Again level stakes on the front 2 on betfair leaves break even on Takeroc and nice profit on Gentle John.

WOLVES
410
BETTING FORECAST: 10/11 Ten Down, 5/2 Wee Buns, 4/1 Kamal, 25/1 Arkando, Yattendon.
Level stakes on the front 2 leaves a nice payout for Wee Bunns and slight loss on Ten Down who has been winning in his turn but may be vulnerable

3 INTO 1

240 Sandown	Without a doubt
250 Ayr	Brandy Wine
400 Ayr	Something silver
410 Wolves	Ten down

FOOTY

A packed programme kicks off as Man Utd take on portsmouth at Old Trafford. 1/3 is a fair reflection of United's chances. Again it looks like Half time /Full time United/United and Draw/United will give us a good run for our money. With my computer on the go slow alas I cannot check the full betfair markets.

Bayern will be rolling after their midweek demolition of Anderlecht and again, half time/full time Bayern/Bayern and Draw/Bayern will enhance the 2/9
Over 2.5 goals may be a good trading option given thee attacking options and return to fitness of Ribery

Liverpool, as I said in an earlier blog, look to be playing to their price, and it could be more of the same today at 4/11. Newcastle will win eventually but look very disjointed.
Torres to score is just evens but worth support to enhance the 4/11 match odds.

Southend at home at 1/2 may be worth supporting against the hatters in tatters

barnesly's FA CUP dream should come to a shuddering halt this evening ( famous last words) and Chelsea to win by 2 or 3 in the winning margin market / asian handiap market should bring them back down to earth.

MUG PUNTER ACCA

1	Man Utd v Portsmouth (Backing Man Utd @ 1.31)
2	B Munich v Karlsruhe (Backing B Munich @ 1.27)
3	East Fife v Albion (Laying Albion @ 14.61)
4	Liverpool v Newcastle (Laying Newcastle @ 14.08)
5	Southend v Luton (Laying Luton @ 7.02)
6	Inter v Reggina (Laying Reggina @ 47.9)
7	Barnsley v Chelsea (Backing Chelsea @ 1.29)