28/3

Well we saw the value of the neutral bet yesterday in the footy - 2-2 - went like a dream - Droylsden scored 1st and Aldershot did as I hoped and responded only for Droylseden to score again - over 2.5 goals NO SWEAT - far better than 1.43 about Aldershot in the match odds - lower league games can be so unpredictable - this was bottom against top!

I was so near to getting Companero beaten by Spitfire Sortie - down to 1.25 in running! - would have been a nice payout!
Any each way speculators would have been rewarded by keepthedreamalive in a race which should have involved the front 2 - a 7 runner race means we were taking a little bit of a risk with only 2 the place but the horse consented to win!

This horse game defies logic sometimes - there am I thinking the handicap topweight system is potentially a good lay system when the 2 big prices yesterday came 2nd each at good each way odds, this follows to 5/1 + winners for the top weights (5lbs or more) - still they lost albeit at not really layable odds

No real chance with another 3 into 1 hunter chase selection who ,guess what ,lost again! These hunter chases really do provide good lay opportunities and gathering more evidence, such as the time off track for this one and we have a far more likely lay than back at the prices.

3 into 1 is mechanical and perhaps a look through all selections and the race types may provide a pattern for me for this still profitable system (not level stakes though)

As already mentioned, odds on selections are running at aa double figure odds level stakes loss for this system and I do keep track of results for evens to 3/1 ( some 13 points profit to level stakes) and all prices separately
DUNDALK
720
BETTING FORECAST: 9/4 Zars Gold, 7/2 Mary Josephine, 4/1 Ashka, 5/1 Leo´s Pride, 8/1 Golden Tokyo, 10/1 Dawn Eclipse, 12/1 Evita Evita, Read The Script, Salamis, 14/1 He´s Cool, 20/1 Blue Turk, Torina, 25/1 Insomnitas, Tiger Abby,

Fav has a high draw on Ireland's all weather over 7 furlongs - enough for me to take it on? Mary Josephine has been placed on all outings and, if at an each way price (4/1 or higher) can be backed to worry Zars Gold whose draw I hope will be the hindrance

910
BETTING FORECAST: 11/8 Kempes, 2/1 Prince Erik, 10/1 Akadyr, 12/1 Charlies First, Cloone River, 16/1 Nora Chrissie, 20/1 Alfredian Park, Amarjit, Charlemagne, 25/1 Bankalan, 33/1 Gulladoo Gold, 50/1 Ektishaaf.

THese markets are unformed on BEtfair but I will agree with the synopsis that this should be between Kempes and Prince Erik. The latter has the solid Weld/Smullen partnership and the greater odds at time of writing and ,if the prices,once formed on BEtfair, allow, I will load profit on Prince Erik and break even/slight loss on Kempes - Big price gap to the 3rd horse

KEMPTON

720
BETTING FORECAST: 9/4 Apache Dawn, 7/2 Dushstorm, 4/1 Not Now Lewis, 8/1 Victor Trumper, 12/1 Bed Fellow, Cactus King, Film Queen, 14/1 Shouldntbethere, 16/1 Barry Island .

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: An ordinary claimer that could see NOT NOW LEWIS make a mockery of the official figures in current progressive form over a C&D that brings the best out of him.[BDO]

A 3 horse race? - Victor Trumper the spoiler? Even though not each way price (ideal each way price) Not now lewis looks a big positive from Spotlight and is worth support -perhaps a break even? - £10 on the place for example at 1.55 returns £5.50 (commission not withstanding) - put that £5.50 on the win at 4.6 and hope the horse places at least

920
ETTING FORECAST: 9/4 Straight Face, 11/4 Prince Valentine, 100/30 Suhayl Star, 12/1 Tvara, 14/1 Only If I Laugh, 20/1 A Teen, Cyfrwys, Doctor Ned, Northstar Express, Raise Again, 25/1 Mtoto Girl, 33/1 Jabraan, 50/1 Canary Girl, 100/1 Pajada.

It looked like a 3 horse race but why is Tvara 5.4 on BEtfair and 4/1 in the morning prices - yes we have the whole day to wait, but worth each way support if remaining around 4/1 -a significant market move in a lowly classified stakes race?

LINGFIELD
200

BETTING FORECAST: 13/8 Gulch´s Rose, 3/1 Nightjar, 4/1 Blur, 5/1 Riqaab, 10/1 Indian Skipper, 20/1 Thankuforthemusic, 25/1 Buck Cannon, 33/1 Arniecoco, 66/1 Wicksy Creek, 100/1 Malt Empress, Too Much To Do.

Early season maiden with a number of newcomers - looks a 3 horse race but Indian star sneaks in with a slight price drop to 6.8 on betfair - worthy of each way support albeit none too confident given the race type

WOLVES
220
BETTING FORECAST: 4/1 Avontuur, Compton Classic, 5/1 Green Pirate, Music Box Express, 6/1 Wicked Uncle, 8/1 Hamaasy, 10/1 Marko Jadeo, 12/1 Mr Rev .

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: Green Pirate should be staying on here if they go a decent pace and he looks the type his new stable will do well with. Avontuur is another possible, but COMPTON CLASSIC looks to have a fair bit in his favour this time and can return to winning ways

Incredibly tight price market with Betfair prices 6,6,7.2, 5.4, 7.6, 8.2, 17, 19
immediately we can dutch 5 at least if including the 5.4 horse but I will speculate given the bookies seemingly can't split them and go with Music Box express at 8.2 on betfair - again each way

3 into 1

230 Lingfield	Danetime lord
325 Wolves	Dhhamaan

HANDICAP TOP WEIGHTS

240 Newbury	My immortal	5lbs	20 in win market
425 Newbury	Kings revenge	5lbs	6.4 win 2.4 place

FOOTY
Le HAvre away to Amiens and there is a form line through Boulogne -sur -mer - Le HAvre were 1/3 on to beat them and they did 2-0. Boulogne sur mer beat Amiens 2-1

11/10 is good enough for Le Havre tonight away from home 5 from 6 wins latest - only defeat to fellow table toppers Troyes - more importantly away form looks solid.