6 march

I must have got a bang on the head yesterday dutching in a hunter chase! Alderluck won at Fontwell in a race where the dutch with Vodka Brook was on - these fecking multiple winning handicappers - you lay them and they win - you back them and they lose - so it was with Silca Destination - again for those able to follow the live betting, the clues were in the market and did not replicate the 10/11 in the RAcing Post
Ten Down was the 3 into 1 selection - another coming into the race on the back of a hatrick of wins -an unlucky 2nd at 2/1

Liverpool look o be returning to trustworthy betting proposition status if recent days have been anything to go by. A small lay at 1.44 was blown out of the water by Torres.
No problem with the Chelsea bets, and clean sheet, although winning margins were undone by the 3rd.

Airdrie 3-0 for the overs bet ( no ability to trade here)

Again as has been a habit of late, all the money I make seems to be from the football with the pre Cheltenham racing proving unbettable really.

CARLISLE - SOFT GROUND
240

BETTING FORECAST: 6/4 Overserved, 4/1 Monolith, 5/1 Ballyvoge, 6/1 Cash Man, Rothbury, 12/1 Mongorno, 33/1 Im So Lonely, 66/1 Lord Samposin, 100/1 Sammy Spiderman .

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: Several of these have suggested they can find races over fences, including Monolith and Ballyvoge, but OVERSERVED has been thriving in recent weeks and will be hard to beat if taking to the larger obstacles.[SR]

9 in contention - 3 at 33/1 or over bringing the field down to 6. Overserved a potential price gapper ( would prefer bigger price gap) - "will be hard to beat if..." - but I can approach this each way.
Ballyvoge for me - 3rd in betting forecast. Preference for place only with a bit on the win

LINGFIELD
230
BETTING FORECAST: 13/8 Laredo Sound, 2/1 Pascha Bere, 100/30 Prince Broc, 14/1 Hareem, Sir Liam, 20/1 Noble Minstrel, 25/1 Bollywood, 50/1 Jimmytheblacksmith, 100/1 Baron Brookdale .

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: Laredo Sound and Prince Broc are respected opponents but PASCHA BERE got the job done with some authority at Folkestone and this could be a stepping stone to something better for Nick Gifford's youngster.[AWJ]

3 definite tiers
Tier 1 - Laredo, Pascha, PRince
Tier 2 - Hareem, Sir
Tier 3 - Noble onwards

A number of options here - straight each way on Prince Broc
You could back Prince Broc and Hareem to place - 2.14 and 3 the odds-slight profit if one places
Or a straight dutch on Laredo and Pascha.

At the odds, each way on PRince Broc is the best value option - 2.14 to place and 10.5 for the win. (concern though that the 10.5 does not replicate the 10/3 betting forecast price)

305
BETTING FORECAST: 6/4 Stolen Moments, 5/2 Supreme Cara, 11/4 Dr Hart, 8/1 Palmers Peak, 12/1 Cunning Pursuit, 20/1 The Speaker, 100/1 Brasilia Prince, Ushnu, 200/1 Homeleighwildchild, Shikoku Lass .

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: Drying ground might not see Supreme Cara in the best light and STOLEN MOMENTS (nap) is much preferred, as he's done very little wrong in two defeats over fences and deserves another chance. Dr Hart is comfortably best of the res

5 horse race? Odds for Cunning Pursuit are 40/.1 early market and odds for the Speaker 14/1 early market - some price discrepanncies with the betting forecaster.

I will chance the dutch here on the front 3 - prices currently are 2.3, 4.8, 5.3 and stakes for me of £14, £8, and £8 leave marginal gains on Stolen Moments -this is a 3 mile event.

Not a nailed on dutch because of the price discrepancies talked about earlier and the proximity of Palmers Peak

515 NAD AL SHEEBA
BETTING FORECAST: 6/4 Asiatic Boy, 7/2 Blackat Blackitten, 7/1 Watch What Happens, 10/1 Green Coast, Marbush, 14/1 Drift Ice, Elusive Warning, 20/1 Roman´s Run, 25/1 Boston Lodge, Jet Express, 33/1 Beckermet, Brave Tin Soldier, Halkin, 66/1 Etihaad .

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: Blackat Blackitten has shown a fine attitude to face up to the kickback and to respond to pressure when winning twice over C&D. However he's faced nothing of the calibre of ASIATIC BOY and it's the latter that is taken to preserve his unbeaten record on dirt, despite conceding weight all round. His reappearance run told us little new about him but he should be spot on and will be well suited by the return to this trip. He'll have to win this in style to justify his position near the head of the Dubai World Cup market Always worth backing horses that HAVE to win like Asiatic Boy 350 THURLES BETTING FORECAST: 8/15 Rosy Cyborg, 6/1 Anyaab, 8/1 Moustic, 10/1 Praetorian, 12/1 Follow The Plan, 14/1 My Boy Bobby, 20/1 Aileen Supreme, Alis Choice, Nano, 25/1 Catch Twenty Two, Fayread, Fly Home Cassy, My Light, 33/1 Brokeback Ocean, Captain Sirus, Fosters Bank, Rio Divo, Tellmethisnow , SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: ROSY CYBORG looks clearly superior to these rivals. Better ground should suit the Willie Mullins-trained gelding, for whom it may have been on the soft side when he was a creditable third behind the improving Shazand and last season's Champion Bumper second Sophocles on his hurdling debut at Gowran in November. He beat the useful Cait Ni Chaonaigh first time out in a Sligo bumper last May and followed up in a Killarney event in which useful yardstick Made In Taipan was third.\n Another Willie Mullins mare heads another big fields market - 2 from 3 have won recently and Rosy Cyborg ,if confident in the betting market, is worth following to trade in running WINCANTON 255 BETTING FORECAST: 13/8 Atouchbetweenacara, 9/2 Comber, Jim Edwards, 6/1 Tosula, 10/1 Kedgeree, 14/1 Great Character, 16/1 Hydromatic, Kilrogan . SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: ATOUCHBETWEENACARA (nap) scored in good style on his chasing debut on Sunday and looks capable of defying a penalty, possibly at the main expense of Jim Edwards.[FC JimEdwards each way looks ideally placed to take advantage should the penalty find the fav out 3 INTO 1 SELECTIONS 255 Wincanton - A touch between acara 400 Wincanton - Karanja 440 Lingfield - Green gamble 720 Wolves - Danetime Lord FOOTBALL Difficult UEFA Cup matches this evening. If Bayern Munich are going to cememnt their placing as favourites for the competition they will have to get a result away at Anderlecht. Half time/full time on Bayern/Bayern ; Draw/Bayern and Draw /Draw looks worth entertaining - to level stakes we get a nice return on the draw results and a break even on Bayern/Bayern The RAcing Post make a convincing argument for the under 2.5 goals trade in the Rangers/Werder game and I may go along with this. I will lay Bolton this evening with one eye on trading against a good Sporting Lisbon - where are Bolton going to get the goal from?