Kempton farce gifts Bruning incredible debut victory
JOSEPHINE BRUNING (left) was left staring over her shoulder in disbelief as she gained her first career win by 16 lengths courtesy of "gross inexperience" by her three fellow apprentice rivals in the opener at Kempton on Tuesday. Billy Cray, Paul Nolan and Ross Atkinson were banned for a total of 34 days for allowing Bruning's mount Sol Rojo to gallop a full 30 lengths clear off the home turn without attempting to respond.
Says it all really - and a lesson to leave these unprofessional apprentices to it in future!
The dutch in the 220 came off but perserverence was a really speculative bet - guess I chose the wrong race for an outsider given the debacle of the above mentioned race.
Under 2.5 goals came in the Celtic match but they couldn't replicate the last match for a nice payout on the draw. A possible way to cover losses may have been a bet on Aberdeen at 0-0 half time at double figure odds for £2. This would negate the Aberdeen 2nd half win - great with hindsight but a method for the future?
Slight loss of £1.20 in the Lyon match
All in all a day to forget thanks to ineptitude in the saddle and the bhoys inability to win or draw at home. Interestingly now it's a 0-0 draw and 1-0 loss in 2 consecutive games. What chance a 3rd game without Celtic scoring on the trot?
CHEPSTOW - HEAVY
210
BETTING FORECAST: 1/2 Dansimar, 9/4 Pentasilea, 25/1 Flag Flier, Madame Secretary, 33/1 Nefertari, Poppy Smith, 100/1 Florindalus .
A probable 2 horse race here but again I will chance Flagflier each way at 18/1 currently. The heavy ground, alas, should not overtly concern over 2 miles and the expectation will be for the front 2 to dominate. 6 to place and 30 to win means stakes can be reduced to £2 on place and win (if normal stakes are say £10!)
500
BETTING FORECAST: 1/3 Chabrimal Minster, 8/1 Mister Bigtime, 10/1 Wendys Dynamo, 12/1 Brown Flyer, Hades De Sienne, 40/1 Grey Kid, 66/1 Trooper .
Says it all really - and a lesson to leave these unprofessional apprentices to it in future!
The dutch in the 220 came off but perserverence was a really speculative bet - guess I chose the wrong race for an outsider given the debacle of the above mentioned race.
Under 2.5 goals came in the Celtic match but they couldn't replicate the last match for a nice payout on the draw. A possible way to cover losses may have been a bet on Aberdeen at 0-0 half time at double figure odds for £2. This would negate the Aberdeen 2nd half win - great with hindsight but a method for the future?
Slight loss of £1.20 in the Lyon match
All in all a day to forget thanks to ineptitude in the saddle and the bhoys inability to win or draw at home. Interestingly now it's a 0-0 draw and 1-0 loss in 2 consecutive games. What chance a 3rd game without Celtic scoring on the trot?
CHEPSTOW - HEAVY
210
BETTING FORECAST: 1/2 Dansimar, 9/4 Pentasilea, 25/1 Flag Flier, Madame Secretary, 33/1 Nefertari, Poppy Smith, 100/1 Florindalus .
| SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: A race to be wary of with the two apparent principals unproven on ground anything like as testing as they encounter here. DANSIMAR won a stronger race at Wincanton and is preferred to Pentasilea. |
A probable 2 horse race here but again I will chance Flagflier each way at 18/1 currently. The heavy ground, alas, should not overtly concern over 2 miles and the expectation will be for the front 2 to dominate. 6 to place and 30 to win means stakes can be reduced to £2 on place and win (if normal stakes are say £10!)
500
BETTING FORECAST: 1/3 Chabrimal Minster, 8/1 Mister Bigtime, 10/1 Wendys Dynamo, 12/1 Brown Flyer, Hades De Sienne, 40/1 Grey Kid, 66/1 Trooper .
| SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: An uncompetitive event which should go to CHABRIMAL MINSTER barring accidents. Wendys Dynamo may be the one to take advantage of any slip-ups. |
At current 1.56, well worth laying Chambril Minster to monitor in running in this hunter chase. Preference would have been for a smaller field as its easier for the horses to stay competitive, and 3 miles 5 allows plenty of scope for mistakes. Monitoring in running is the ideal here to get out at a decent price above 1.56
3 into 1
Good win yesterday at 13/8
| 210 Chepstow | Dansimar |
| 300 Lingfield 325 market Rasen - Nor Nor east | Always Certain |
Spotlight tells you all you need to know regarding Dansimar and heavy ground - priced as a 2 horse race the question is will he handle the ground?
RAcing very unappealing today
The Man Utd match interests this evening. Beaten 1-0 by an Anelka led Bolton side last time, this evening , this could be tricky for Man Utd with Bolton fighting for their lives, but equivalent teams recent performances against Bolton produced 3-1 and 4-1 victories. Man Utd have posted 2 4-1 results at home against Bolton in the past.
A recurring theme - they seem to be able to find a goal but lose by 2 or more.
I will lay any unquoted at 3.85 - it seems awfully short and allows us to trade as the match progresses . The assumption is United will score 4- despite the scorelines of the past, Bolton should put up a fight
1-0, 2-0, 2-1, 3-0, 3-1 are priced 7.8, 6.4, 12, 7.4, 13 and can be backed to level stakes - perhaps a saver/break even on the 0-0 at 24.
I might try the first goal odds market level stakes on 11-20 minutes, 21-30 minutes , 31 - 40 minutes, 41-50 minutes, 51-60 minutes and hope there's no early goal - slight loss on 11-20 minutes and profits escalate with time.
Bolton generally seem able to hold on in the first 10 minutes
Again we see a 1/14 side -Rangers at home against Partick Thistle - a chance for an enhanced odds bet?
Odds can be bumped up to 1.44 half time/full time from 1.14 match odds.
Not in running so there's not many markets to chose from. I would have liked the over 3.5 goals here but it's not available on Betfair
Spurs v Chelsea - derby match - under 2.5 goals at 1.79 for trading purposes looks good in what could be a tight game early on despite the fire power.
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