Tuesday, 28 December 2010

*****ONE A DAY - 730pm - Club Brugge v Charleroi - back Brugge in the match odds at 1.22*****

A day with a wealth of horse opps, but the 120 Leopardstown offers the best price for a 3 horse/2 place probability .




Maroud won and I was pleased to see the Man Utd score, 0-0, 1-0, 1-1 my prediction and all 3 would have actually made you a trading profit with the goal coming on the hour ( 0-0 would have reduced considerably, 1-0 would have profitted as the equaliser came in the last minute)



730pm -
Bangor City v Prestatyn - 1.3 home - analysis from 27th December -
230PM – Bangor City v Prestatyn – 1.22 home – although I suspect the weather might have a say, this looks a straightforward home win with Bangor 9 from 9 at home this season, ( I cannot really find a proper website to do my usual analysis here as the game does not show up on www.futbol24.com – Bangor are clear at the top of the league with 15 wins and 1 draw this season.
Prestatyn have won 5, drawn 5 and lost 5 and they have won 2 lost 5 away.
DWWW at home in head to heads but not dominant in overall head to heads for Bangor.DWDWLW so only winning half of head to heads.

Prestatyn are unbeaten in last 7 , and last 4 on the trot have been over 2.5 goals

LLLLLWW away from home. Just peaking in their last 2 matches, and given head to heads , this improvement may be a headache for Bangor City.

Perfect for Bangor in last 12 bar a league cup defeat at home.




730pm - Club Brugge v Charleroi - 1.22 home - Brugge have won the last 4 2009/2010 head to heads, most recently 1-0 and then 5-0 away
LLLDLLLLLL for Charleroi in their last 10 matches signals why Brugge are warm order.
Charleroi are 16th (bottom) and against 11th and below at home, Brugge have won 4-3, 4-1, 4-0, 2-0 . Remember the Anderlecht match? It's those 4's again!
Brugge have won 3 of their last 4, the loss coming against Anderlecht ( not a surprise really)
Brugge have already won 5-0 this season away at Charleroi, and this ties in with their performances against bottom 6.
70% of home matches have been over 2.5 goals which is a good stat.
Away to the top 5 ( Brugge are 4th) , Charleroi have lost 4-1, 5-0, 2-1, 2-1 which augurs well for Brugge. Again those 4's and 5's rear their heads in the correct score?
Charleroi have lost their last 7 on the trot.
DLLLDLLLLL away from home for Charleroi.
I am unsure as to the weather which may play its part? It looks an easy assignment for Club Brugge. This is the last match of the year and a nice break afterwards so no excuses really.




745pm - Celtic v Motherwell - 1.32 home - still playing catch up despite breaking a 3 match home draw sequence last time ( and truthfully perhaps that was the time to back Celtic , as they could not tolerate another home match with dropped points.DDWWWW head to heads for Celtic - last win only 1-0
Motherwell were just beaten 4-1 at home v Rangers so this should signal an ideal scoreline to aim for for Celtic.
DDDW at home for Celtic already mentioned and these are in fact the last 4 matches too. Must win in order to keep the pressure on Rangers who have a game in hand as well as the 2 points.
WWWLWLD away for Motherwell - good form - they have succumbed to Rangers away but beat 3rd, 4th, 5th and 8th away in the league. A note of caution for what was a stuttering Celtic at home?




745pm - Chelsea v Bolton - 1.33 home - the decline at Chelsea continues - now 5th and beaten by a side who they normally beat well. DWWWWW in head to heads and scored 4,4,4,1 in last 4 head to heads against Bolton, but this is a different Chelsea at the moment.
This match is actually 5th v 6th and Owen Coyle has made a real difference to this Bolton side ( in stark contrast to Houllier whose charges conceded 3+ goals again yesterday. )
This 1.33 really looks layable doesn't it. I already pointed out to you the lack of goals for Chelsea 0,1,0,0,1,1,1,1 in last 8 matches - no coincidence surely?
LLDDDL in last 6 and LD in last 2 home matches ( last goal was a penalty as if to emphasise trouble in scoring from open play)
Bolton have faltered away to top 7 sides, 2 1-0 losses and a 4-1 reverse at Arsenal.
67% of away matches are under 2.5 goals which will not please Chelsea.
WLDDDDWLL for Bolton away- we see why they are not challenging top 4 - too many draws away. Lost last 2 aways 1-0 so keep things tight . Back 0-0 to trade, lay Chelsea are ready tradeable options I think. Both are priced such that liabilities/stakes at risk are minimal.


8pm - Liverpool v Wolves - 1.32 home - Liverpool have won their last 4 home matches and well too, 2-1, 2-0, 3-0, 3-0 - the 3-0's came against strugglers West Ham and Villa and Wolves are in the same part of the table. ( bottom)
2-0 ( late 2nd half goals and Wolves down to 10 men) and 0-0 last 2 head to heads signal a match of frustration for Liverpool this afternoon. With Kevin Doyle out though for Wolves, it is difficult to see them reply should they concede.
Trust that Liverpool have turned a corner at home or leave well alone?


1250 LEOPARDSTOWN

BETTING FORECAST: 1/2 Zaidpour, 7/2 Hidden Cyclone, 8/1 First Lieutenant, 12/1 Perfect Smile, 20/1 Hazeymm.

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: Having won the Royal Bond with the minimum of exertion, ZAIDPOUR is very hard to oppose, though a bumper winn for the Hanlon stable here yesterday provides an encouraging omen for the prospects of the unbeaten Hidden Cyclone who rates the dangers

Front 2 set to dominate with Hidden the obvious value alternative to the hot pot. Heavy ground so a degree of caution here


120 LEOPARDSTOWN

BETTING FORECAST: 11/10 Big Zeb, 2/1 Golden Silver, 7/2 Captain Cee Bee, 14/1 J´y Vole, 25/1 Scotsirish.

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: The reigning two-mile champion BIG ZEB won this event two seasons ago and holds a clear edge over last year's winner Golden Silver, whom he beat in the Fortria at Navan on his seasonal debut, [Alan Sweetman


With J'yvole out, this is 3 horses for 2 places with one clear outsider. Default to Big Zeb in a great probability race?


155 LEOPARDSTOWN

BETTING FORECAST: 8/13 Hurricane Fly, 7/4 Solwhit, 12/1 Thousand Stars, 16/1 Luska Lad, 33/1 Won In The Dark.

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: A rematch of the Hatton's Grace in which Solwhit failed to make his race-fitness count and was unable to resist HURRICANE FLY who can be fancied to emerge best again.

Another match up here with a clear round

355 LIMERICK


BETTING FORECAST: 4/6 Allee Garde, 7/1 Academy General, 8/1 Letter Of Credit, 8/1 Radio Eireann, 10/1 Indian Spinner, 12/1Artic King, 12/1 Giveabobback, 16/1 Friendly Society, 20/1 Publisher Supremo, 33/1 Betwixn Between, 33/1 Bobby Cullen, 33/1 The Burrow Vision, 50/1 Croghan Hill, 50/1 Sorry Folks, 50/1 Waveney Heights.

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: Little reason to oppose ALLEE GARDE, who stands out clearly on form for the leading bumper trainer.Indian Spinner can chase him home. [Johnny Ward]

Price gapper here although less pronounced in the live market.

1230 NEWBURY

BETTING FORECAST: 4/5 Grandouet, 9/2 Pullyourfingerout, 5/1 Domtaline, 6/1 A Media Luz, 20/1 Knockdolian, 33/1 Mark Twain, 50/1 L´eminence Grise, 100/1 Langley.

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: GRANDOUET, second to Triumph Hurdle ante-post favourite Sam Winner last month, should find this opposition less demanding. Pullyourfingerout is going the right way and may prove most dangerous.[Frank Carter]

8 runners and 3 places and only 4 under 16/1 - trust the fav to place with a clear round?


100 NEWBURY

BETTING FORECAST: 1/2 Punchestowns, 9/4 Pride Of Dulcote, 12/1 Hills Of Aran, 14/1 Tatenen.

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: A fascinating clash of two potential Gold Cup contenders who are returning from enforced absences due to injury, namely PUNCHESTOWNS and Pride Of Dulcote. Punchestowns, who has already won a couple of Graded events over fences, is very much the one to beat on form but Pride Of Dulcote does have plenty of potential and it will be interesting to see how he gets on after 14 months off the track.[Steven Boow]

And another match up!!


320 NEWBURY

BETTING FORECAST: 2/11 Big Buck´s, 7/1 Duc De Regniere, 14/1 Restless Harry, 25/1 Kayf Aramis, 40/1 Lough Derg, 100/1Afsoun.

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: No getting away from BIG BUCK'S who has 20lb in hand on official figures, landed the postponed edition of this race here a year ago and continues to carry all before him in this division. Duc De Regniere can take the measure ofRestless Harry in the battle for minor honours.[Frank Carter]

Obvious win only ?


SHORTLIST

730pm - Club Brugge v Charleroi - 1.22 home

8pm - Liverpool v Wolves - 1.32 home - trust the home form ?

All the horseraces are contenders today.1250, 120 , 155 Leop the ones for me with the 120 standout

Big Bucks 1.2 to win is tempting.





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