This could be one of those frustrations for Real tonight but I expect them to win eventually. Zaragoza have won 1 match only all season and lost 2-0 and 3-0 against 1st and 3rd - Real are 2nd.
A tradeable match if 1-0 for an uncomfortable period.
Safer bet of course tonight is Barcelona at 1.11 -should be a comfortable evening
Good win for Bayern and I got the 3-0 scoreline too for good measure. Nearly a clean sweep with the top class horses with Cue Card 2nd and the rest winning.
2pm - Roma v Bari - 1.34 home - 9th against bottom here and immediately a reason Roma are so short ( apart from being at home)
Roma have won last 3 head to heads but 2010 head to head was 1-0 away at Bari.
2 losses only in last 12 for Roma in all competitions. One of those came in the Champions League.
DDWWWWW at home for Roma is extremely comforting for Roma backers.
WWWDWLD for Roma - last 2 dropped points matches were away from home
DLLLDLL away for Bari and this is one of those matches where home and away form is extremely contrasting.
Bari have not won a match in their last 10 matches - 0-0, 0-1, 1-0, 1-1 for Bari in 4 of 5 most recent matches hinted at an element of defensive progression but that was ended by 3-1 loss last time out.
3pm - Luton v Welling Utd - 1.31 home - Conference v Conference south in English FA Trophy - not a competition I have much faith in.
315pm - Olympiakos v Atromitos - 1.25 home - greek top flight - 5 of the last 6 head to head wins for home side. 2-0 in last 2 home matches and 1-0 away - this 2-0 is the kind of minimum scoreline that this price would signal.
10 wins and 2 losses in last 12 matches for Oly is extremely good form.
Equal top with Panathanaikos so incentive to win.
WWWWWW at home for Oly - you can't ask for better than that. Slight concern that last 2 matches ( both away) have been 1-0's ( a loss and win for Oly) - is this a sign of a slight goal drought and reversion to typical Greek displays.
Oly have scored 3 and 5 in last 2 matches at home which somewhat negates the 2 1-0 aways in last 2 matches.
LLDLWW away from home for Atromitos. 3 1-0's and 2 1-1's in last 5 matches, and 1-0 wins in last 2 aways. Oh no! Not the 1-0 scoreline in Greece!! Makes these matches a pain to weigh up - it could go like Oly's last 2 home matches ( 3 and 5 goals) or Atromitos's last 2 aways ( 2 1-0's)
4pm - Guimaraes v Torreense - 1.25 home - Portugeuse Cup match so faith in the odds really and the gulf in leagues ( Division 1 to Division 3 S)
5pm - Anderlecht v Lokeren - 1.43 home - 2nd in the league by 2 points and a game in hand - a win takes Anderlecht top.
3,5,2,2,4 the goals scored by Anderlecht in last 5 at home.
WWDWWWDW for Anderlecht at home
3-0 and 4-0 in 2010 head to heads away for Anderlecht which is recent, consistent and dominant.
WWDWWWW in last 7 for Anderlecht.
3/4 home matches are over 2.5 goals and 3/4 of home matches are wins.
8 wins and 2 draws for Lokeren in last 10 matches is some surprise given they were tonked twice by Anderlecht in 2010.
Lokeren have lost convincingly against top 2 sides , conceding 3 on each occasion.
We have to decide whether we take the results against the top 2 or whether we acknowledge the superb recent form of Lokeren.
I think perhaps goals could be an option here as a safer neutral bet.
6pm - Zaragoza v Real Madrid - 1.31 away - 2 points behind Barca so all games are must wins ( Barca are 1.11 today so should win therefore)
7 match winning run ended by Barca. Resumed with a win after Barca loss.
DWDWWWL away from home.
Zaragoza are bottom of the league so this should ideally be an away win.
2-2, 2-2, 1-2 in head to heads at Zaragoza - are goals safer here as there have been 2 /3 draws.
1 win all season for Zaragoza.
LDDLWLL - Barca won 2-0 at Zaragoza so this is something Real Madrid should replicate.
Zaragoza have conceded 3,2,2 at home in last 3.
71% of home matches have been over 2.5 goals.
2-0 and 3-0 home losses against 1st and 3rd in league - Real are 2nd.
8pm - Barcelona v Sociedad - 1.11 home - the best footballing side in Europe must win this evening but can we trust either a half time/fulltime enhanced bet or goals ( over 2.5 or over 3.5 are signalled by such odds)
8 match winning streak but check out the scorelines - 2,2,5,3,3,8,5,3 in those 8 matches scored by Barca. Breathtaking and consistent.
Last 6 matches have been over 2.5 goals.
1-0, 5-0, 1-0 last 3 head to heads at Barca surely must end with goals rather than 1-0's this evening?
DLLLWLW away for Sociedad. 2 away wins out of 3 a sign of revival?
Only away wins and draws for Sociedad came against bottom 4.
Sociedad have only conceded 5 in the first half all season so panic not if it is tight in the first half.
Barca have scored 19 in the first half.
LLWW in last 4 for Sociedad.
hmmm! DO we trust the all powerful barca to score and score freely at home? Or are Sociedad's last 2 wins in last 3 a sign of a revival?
120 CORK BETTING FORECAST: 6/4 Bishopsfurze, 5/2 The Bull Hayes, 5/1 Four Commanders, 10/1 Oscar Mac, Ten Bob, The Big Mosquito, 12/1 Luddsdenene, 14/1 Prince Of Milan, 16/1 Changing Times, 33/1 Distinguished Gent, Malt Milan, Painted Canyon, Port And Brandy, Railway Road.
Fav is Mullins/Townend and one of only 3 under 16/1
115 SOUTHWELL
BETTING FORECAST: 5/4 Majuro, 4/1 Opus Maximus, 6/1 Avonrose, 10/1 Fault, 14/1 Elusive Warrior, Masked Dance, Toby Tyler, 16/1 Crocodile Bay, Master Leon, 25/1 Chat De La Burg, 33/1 Amary, 50/1 Louisiade.
| DIOMED VERDICT: MAJURO, the clear pick of the weights, brings winning form into this race and is a winner at this track. |
Huge price gapper here and all red this Majuro 8/13 - - - - - 7/1 - trust this price gap in a claimer where Majuro has not run on fibresand before ( although has run at Wolves)
SHORTLIST
2pm - Roma v Bari - 1.34 home - strong home form against poor away form enough to see a strong Roma side through?
6pm - Zaragoza v Real Madrid - 1.31 away - bottom side and only 1 win all season. Lost 2-0 and 3-0 to 1st and 3rd in league at home and I really expect Real madrid to replicate these scorelines. 1.2 over 1.5 goals is interesting here given 71% of Zaragoza's home matches have been over 2.5 goals.
8pm - Barcelona v Sociedad - 1.11 home
2,2,5,3,3,8,5,3 scored in last 8 matches for Barcelona - surely they can replicate this this evening?
1.33 over 2.5 goals is tradeable.
115 SOUTHWELL - Majuro is 1.13 to place and a massive price gapper but trust a debutant at Southwell's fibresand surface? That's the concern.
NB Please note that these email advices are duplicated via the blog at the following address.
http://www.cliveoneaday.com
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