16/2

Oscar park won, so was worth the risk yesterday at a reasonable price. Rock Wren unplaced as the each way bet.
I was right to go each way in Boy on a swing's bet. It was the 3rd betting forecast fav Rowan Rio who won - so close!
Oh boy, Rapidity won again. THe winning run will end next time I hope! Crack away Jack won for the dutch
Le Havre won at 9/10 - a team worth following I think .
Why can't every game be like Ajax - a 1.21 side who performed and scored like a 1.21 side. Over 2.5 goals easily met in the 1st half along with over 3.5 goals and any unquoted in the correct sore market. Great end to the day.

ASCOT
Full of class 1-2-3 today.
225
BETTING FORECAST: 4/11 Kauto Star, 9/2 Monet´s Garden, 13/2 Racing Demon, 16/1 Fair Along, 25/1 Howle Hill, Vodka Bleu, 150/1 See You Sometime, 200/1 Lord Killeshanra, 500/1 Mystical Star .

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: The odds will be very skinny for sure but it still seems pointless to oppose KAUTO STAR, who was right back to last season's superb best when running away with the King George last time and, granted a clear round, is extremely likely to make this 10 wins from his last 12 starts. Last year's winner Monet's Garden can chase him home, ahead of Racing Demon.

Mouth watering, but from a betting perspective? Monet'[s Garden to place bumps up the odds to 1.56 and may be the way to go. I can't see past Kauto Star at this stage. As a 2 mile 5 furlong race, there's no need to get involved pre race. You can monitor the odds for a few minutes of the race and get involved if it is going to plan.

When Denman ran, the odds remained consistent for a large part of the race.

300
BETTING FORECAST: 4/5 Elusive Dream, 2/1 Lyceum, 7/1 Zilcash, 25/1 Busker Royal, Mister Wiseman .

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: ELUSIVE DREAM is not straightforward by any means but there is no denying his ability and, having been suited by front-running on the Flat, he may prove the most adaptable in what could be a tactical affair. Lyceum is the obvious danger

We can currently level stakes dutch the top 2 leaving a small loss on Elusive dram and a better profit on Lyceum - Elusive is " not straightforward by any means" - could be a way in?

445
ETTING FORECAST: 10/11 Gold Award, 3/1 Conflictofinterest, 7/2 Uffa Fox, 16/1 Fresh Air And Fun, 20/1 Puerto Azul, 25/1 Ffos Las Diamond, 33/1 Manyoshu, 66/1 Park Lodge, 100/1 Supreme De Paille .

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: Uffa Fox did well to win in a higher grade here with the race not really run to suit, while Conflictofinterest is very well regarded, but GOLD AWARD looked a smart prospect at Fakenham and is already prominent in the betting for the Champion Bumper at Cheltenham Witha ratio of 11 to 9, backing Gold award and Conflictofinterest may pay off. Another race like Oscar Park, where connections will want to see Gold award winning to enhance his Cheltenham prospects. Of course I made the mistake in a previous dutch of leaving the more obvious horses such as Uffa Fox so bear that in mind. GOWRAN PARK Good to soft - soft to heavy on the courses 200 Kicking King and Justified may be worth dutching, as Hi Cloy has drifted in the market. A ratio of £13 on Kicking and £7 on justified will spread the potential returns at odds of 2.14 and 3.85 currently 510 BETTING FORECAST: 6/4 Apt Approach, 7/2 Ok Corral, 6/1 Paul Kristian, 8/1 Hollies Favourite, 10/1 Bring On Rocket, The Real Project, 12/1 Dont Stop Now, Lady Roberta, Morgantoo, Oscar Award, See U Bob, 14/1 Capdalight, 16/1 Dallaglio, Flirthing Around, Grancore Girl, Rock Angelico, 25/1 Blacko Jacko, Dahra One, Halls Run, Lillinga, A talking horse - no not Mr Ed , Apt Approach has a big reputation and at odds against is worth entertaining albeit in a massive field which is better suited to laying than backing. Will I rue this afterwards? HAYDOCK Another high quality field full of Cheltenham potential horses. 105 BETTING FORECAST: 7/4 Wichita Lineman, 3/1 Special Envoy, 9/2 Lough Derg, 7/1 Chief Dan George, 8/1 Kasbah Bliss, 12/1 No Refuge, 25/1 Accordello . SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: Luckless Special Envoy is better than he showed behind Lough Derg at Ascot but the return to this trip should enable WICHITA LINEMAN to stamp himself as a credible alternative to Inglis Drever in next month's World Hurdle Again, like Oscar Park and Gold Award, a good run is expected by Wichita Lineman if his World Hurdle credentials are to remain in tact. Currently a question mark about market support behind him, now showing at 9/4, with Special Envoy at 3's and a price gap to the others at 7's. You can take the chance that Wichita Lineman will enhance his reputation by a straight win bet, but those more safety minded would have to include Special Envoy in a level stakes dutch. Remember though, this is a high quality field and this is no gimme but I feel is worthy of inclusion. KEMPTON 920 BETTING FORECAST: 6/4 Basalt, 3/1 Alnwick, 6/1 Trachonitis, 8/1 Right Option, 10/1 Abounding, 16/1 Linden Lime, 25/1 Riff Raff, Savannah, 33/1 First Friend . SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: BASALT (nap) has quickly emerged as a useful prospect on AW and ought to possess the class to successfully shoulder a big weight at this level. C&D winner Alnwick can chase him hom Alnwick to place ( or create a break even bet by putting the potential place only winnings onto the horse to win. Basalt may win but he's shouldering a penalty after winning 2 ( although Rapidity isn't helping my cause with this!) UTTOXETER A difficult card WINCANTON 130 BETTING FORECAST: 8/11 Song Of Songs, 4/1 Turfshuffle, 6/1 Hot Diamond, 12/1 Southern Regent, 16/1 Zaif, 25/1 Magic Rush, Piamontini, 33/1 Stark Contrast, 50/1 Mae Cigan, Peau Aime, Think Lucky, 66/1 Recalcitrant, Travelling Fox, 100/1 Bull Market, Lydlinch, Master Halling, Tanktastic, 200/1 Bowl Of Cherries . SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: Interesting to see what the market makes of newcomers Southern Regent and Turfshuffle, both of whom hold Cheltenham entries, but SONG OF SONGS, who could also figure at the festival, sets a very good standard and can defy a penalt Quantity over quality? 14 horses at 28/1 or bigger leaves Song of Songs, Turf Shuffle, Hot Diamond and Southern Regent Another who must really win to enhance his Cheltenham chances in Song of Songs. Another level stakes dutch on Song of songs, Turf, Southern, and Hot Diamond to stakes 10,10,4,6 leaves a slight loss on Song of songs, breakeven(ish) on Turfshuffle and decent profit on the other 2 - worth doing with the field size 240 and 310 - Nicholls/Heard could have a quick fire double on Arturio and NEptunes Collonges - speculative I know but both are price gappers. 415 BETTING FORECAST: 5/6 Duc De Regniere, 11/10 Starzaan . SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: STARZAAN is the older horse with better form and Duc De Regniere the comparative youngster with major potential. It is an intriguing head-to-head, not least in terms of tactics, but Duc De Regniere will probably have to brush up his jumping Toss a coin - simple as that .The fav is only 5/6 because the bookie cannot price the horses at their correct odds - evens the both FOOTY Preference for me will be concentrating on the football today as I think it is a little more straightforward than the gee gee's today - short prices in high quality races have decent opposition. Werder Bremen, again worth an over 2.5 goal trade. I would prefer a neutral bet like this . Chelsea game and again I'll try an "Ajax" - enhance the 1.11 match odds somewhere else. Potential markets to look at - half time/full time ; chelsea to have a clean sheet; over 2.5 goals ; Wither ones of these bets enhances the 1.11 match odds and has a good chance of coming in. REmember, Chelsea never lose at home! Liverpool v Barnsley - 1.18 to win at home, but will they cock it up as is Liverpool's habit. Barnsley away from home have lost by 3 and 4 and2 in their last 3 away games without scoring. This does not augur well today, but which Liverpool side will play today? Rafa has a tendency to underestimate the ease a weakened Liverpool side might have. I'm going to try a little something today - 1st goal odds - 11-20 minutes and 21-30 minutes are priced at 4.6 and 5.9 and are worthy of level stakes support. .As long as there isn't a goal in the first 10 minutes we have a chance. 1.58 to over 2.5 goals looks reasonable enough, again to trade as well. Gretna v Motherwell has a good chance of over 2.5 goals given Gretna do tend to score at home rather than away. Man Utd v Arsenal is mouthwatering.Winning margin bet of 0 and 1 looks reasonable given past history. £8 on no goals and £12 on 1 goal spreads the profit in a game it's difficult to get an angle into

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