Prime factor's win produced a near 2/1 return with some intelligent staking at Kempton . Snowy morning placed at Leopardstown. Well done to J'y Vole winning again up in class.
The winning margin bet in the MAnchester Derby precluded us from getting involved at short odds and gave us a neutral bet.
I want to look at the ASian bet again because I may have stumbled across something which can ensure us an involvement in all outcomes with worse case (in my case )£10 loss.
Man Utd -1.5 If Man Utd win by 2 or more £190.00
If Man Utd win by 1 £0.00
If Man Utd do not win by 2 or more -£200.00
BET 2
Man City +1.0&+1.5
If Man City draw or win £256.00
If Man Utd win by 1 £128.00
If Man Utd win by 2 or more -£200.00
| Lt's look again at the 3 possible scenarios BET 1 Man Utd win by 2 or more PROFIT £190. BUT BET 2 If Man Utd win by 2 or more LOSS £200 NET LOSS £10 If Man UTD win by 1 - BET 1 BREAK EVEN STAKES RETURNED BUT BET 2 PROFIT £128 NET PROFIT £128 If Man City Win or Draw BET 1LOSS £200 BET 2 WIN £256 - NET PROFIT £56 Now surely this is a great bet? Or have I missed something? The Milan dutch went extremely well - first half no goals allowed market makers too question Milan's chances and respond by increasing the odds I got the Chelsea match right in the half time/full time market with a nice profit on Draw /Draw . SO much for 0-0 half time in the Real match - needless to say they scraped through by the odd goal in 7 and that was without horse face! Porto won 4-0 as a 1/12 shot should! PLUMPTON GOOD TO SOFT AND SOFT 240 BETTING FORECAST: 8/15 Verasi, 3/1 Supreme Huntress, 6/1 Burren Legend, 25/1 The Speaker, 33/1 Master Alf .
Another 2 horse race - interesting Supreme Huntress is around 7/4 morning prices. With current BEtfair prices again we can back both to level stakes and a small loss on Verasi with a just under evens return on Supreme Huntress - like Prime factor yesterday sometimes they come in! WETHERBY Good to soft BEgins with a fillies only maiden hurdle - erm, no thanks! Nothing appeals WOLVERHAMPTON 505 BETTING FORECAST: 4/7 Rapidity, 9/2 Calistos Quest, 10/1 Bury Treasure, Hellfire Bay, 16/1 Marino Prince, 20/1 Carry On Cleo, John Potts, 25/1 Kiwi Princess .
I don't know whether I'm a couple of races early here in opposing Rapidity but the 12 lb hike in the weights ( yes a multiple handicap winner) puts me off. A lay for me to monitor in running FOOTY The Arsenal game is interesting today - Blackburn have drawn their last 3 but not faced any of the top 4 sides. last head to head of any meaning was 1-1 at Ewood Park. This would lead me to believe, from a sequencing perspective that the draw is worth laying tonight. With the added incentive of Chelsea drawing and Man Utd losing, Arsenal have all the motivation they need.
Again, if Arsenal win by 1 goal net we profit £9 If Arsenal win by 2 or more , slight loss of £32 If Arsenal do not win, we profit by £18 Not a bad scenario? Poor returns though. I'm just thinking aloud here. Again, half time/full time is interesting here. Using staking of £20, 10, £5 or increments thereof ,we can back arse/Arse, Draw/Arse, and Draw/Draw (despite the sequences being against it) FOOTY
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